1684 Whittier Ave #20 · Costa Mesa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable coastal living just 6 miles from Newport Beach and 6.25 miles from Huntington Beach Pier. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, an inside laundry area, and parking for two cars. The kitchen features new appliances, including a stove, microwave, and refrigerator. Shed included for extra storage space. Ideally located near downtown Costa Mesa, Eastside Costa Mesa, Trader Joe’s, Sprouts, Mother’s Market, and a wide selection of shopping and dining options. Contact the listing agent to schedule a private showing.
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Natural light
- Curb appeal
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $211k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 1.8% in Costa Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#558 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, amenities B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Newport-Mesa Unified (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.87%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,299
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- 98.50%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1750 Whittier Ave #27 | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (0%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $100 | 87 |
| 1660 Whittier Ave. #35 #35 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (0%) | 18mo | $129,000 | $161 | 80 |
| 1660 Whittier Ave #30 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-13%) | 11mo | $168,000 | $241 | 64 |
| 1535 Superior Ave #33 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-10%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $160 | 44 |
| 1535 Superior Ave #24 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+10%) | 23mo | $138,000 | $157 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $38,823
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $118,532
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92627
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,553 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$746
- Net cashflow
- $1,252
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1819 Monrovia Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $2,805 | $3.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1850 Whittier Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $3,657 | $4.72 | 1d | 9 | 0.49mi |
| 1525 Placentia Ave Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 635 | $3,200 | $5.04 | 5d | 3 | 0.53mi |
| 955 W 19th St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,043 | $3.38 | 13d | 2 | 0.54mi |
| 1544 Placentia Ave Newport Beach, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,035 | $3.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1530 Placentia Ave Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $2,995 | $4.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 825 Center St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $3,200 | $3.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1433 Superior Ave Newport Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,845 | $4.74 | 43d | 3 | 0.64mi |
| 1846 Placentia Ave Apt A Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,700 | $3.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1846 Placentia Ave Apt D Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $2,595 | $4.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 454 Bolero Way Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $4,195 | $4.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 724 W 18th St Unit 3 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,850 | $2.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 102 Scholz Plz Newport Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $3,200 | $4.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 102 Scholz Plz Newport Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $3,045 | $4.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 300 Cagney Ln #9 Newport Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $3,700 | $4.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 220 Nice Ln #215 Newport Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $4,500 | $4.92 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 500 Cagney Ln #109 Newport Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,100 | $3.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 210 Lille Ln #208 Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $8,000 | $7.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 625 Shalimar Dr Apt 4 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,550 | $3.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 130 47th St Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $5,000 | $5.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 280 Cagney Ln #312 Newport Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $4,750 | $5.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 128 46th St Apt A Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $5,500 | $5.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 119 46th St Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $4,500 | $5.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4510 Seashore Dr Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $6,150 | $6.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 108 Olive St Newport Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,650 | $5.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4208 River Ave Unit B Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $4,500 | $5.29 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1975 Pomona Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,995 | $3.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 201 E 16th St Unit C Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $3,700 | $3.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 201 E 16th St Unit D Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $3,700 | $3.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1612 Orange Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $3,795 | $5.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1614 Orange Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $3,795 | $5.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 226 La Jolla Dr Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $7,500 | $7.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2061-D Wallace Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $2,735 | $2.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 204 16th Pl Unit C Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $3,100 | $3.52 | 5d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2115 Placentia Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,595 | $3.58 | 2d | 4 | 1.19mi |
| 626 Clubhouse Ave Unit 626 Clubhouse D Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $4,750 | $6.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 790 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $2,300 | $4.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 502 36th St Unit A Newport Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $5,300 | $5.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 21661 Brookhurst St Huntington Beach, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $3,165 | $3.39 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2151 Pacific Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 908 | $3,025 | $3.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $224,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-17status Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Affordable coastal living just 6 miles from Newport Beach and 6.25 miles from Huntington Beach Pier. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, an inside laundry area, and parking for two cars. The kitchen features new appliances, including a stove, microwave, and refrigerator. Shed included for extra storage space. Ideally located near downtown Costa Mesa, Eastside Costa Mesa, Trader Joe’s, Sprouts, Mother’s Market, and a wide selection of shopping and dining options. Contact the listing agent to schedule a private showing.
-
2026-04-02$224,900 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Clean, well-maintained home in Orange Coast Mobile Home Lodge with great curb appeal and abundant natural light from large front windows. Bright, open feel throughout. Covered carport, easy side entry, and low-maintenance landscaping. Close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences.
-
2026-04-01status Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Affordable coastal living just 6 miles from Newport Beach and 6.25 miles from Huntington Beach Pier. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, an inside laundry area, and parking for two cars. The kitchen features new appliances, including a stove, microwave, and refrigerator. Shed included for extra storage space. Ideally located near downtown Costa Mesa, Eastside Costa Mesa, Trader Joe’s, Sprouts, Mother’s Market, and a wide selection of shopping and dining options. Contact the listing agent to schedule a private showing.
-
2026-01-31$210,000 Active 544-char remark
Show marketing remark (544 chars)
Affordable coastal living just 6 miles from Newport Beach and 6.25 miles from Huntington Beach Pier. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, an inside laundry area, and parking for two cars. The kitchen features new appliances, including a stove, microwave, and refrigerator. Shed included for extra storage space. Ideally located near downtown Costa Mesa, Eastside Costa Mesa, Trader Joe’s, Sprouts, Mother’s Market, and a wide selection of shopping and dining options. Contact the listing agent to schedule a private showing.
-
2023-03-19status Active
-
2023-02-13$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥82°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,632
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$3,374
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,411
- − Management
- −$3,411
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable income
- $12,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,921
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,107/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport-Mesa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627240
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,922
- Composite
- 47.64/100
- National rank
- #2248
- State rank
- #106 of 517 in CA
Livability — Costa Mesa
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #558
- US rank
- #18441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Costa Mesa, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 111,101
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,393
- Household income
- $108,994
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2889.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1520.53%
- Current HPI
- 455.1299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+50.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $224,900 CRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listed $210,000 CRMLS
- 2023-03-19 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-02-13 Listed $149,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $196 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…