Multi-family
107 Oconnor Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Remarkable 3/3 double located steps from Solar city! House offers maintenance free vinyl siding and has a brand new architectural roof (2017). House has copper plumbing, newer electrical and glass block windows. Both units have porch access for relaxing. Long term tenants make for a reliable investment!
Key facts
- 3,600 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays water; water is included in rent; Operating expenses include water/sewer; Two rental units with current rents of $1,110 and $1,200
Exterior
- Parking: No driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story multi-family building; Resale property; Vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot with 30 x 120 dimensions; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater (appliance listed)
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit described with living room and dining area)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one full bath per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Hardwood and laminate flooring in varied areas; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters and separate electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $185k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.75%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,068
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 331 Mystic St | 0.15mi | 6/2.0 | 2,174 (-2%) | 5mo | $111,500 | $51 | 85 |
| 35 Kimmel Ave | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 | 2,218 (-0%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $101 | 74 |
| 110 Trowbridge St | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 2,264 (+2%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $80 | 71 |
| 693 Hopkins St | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,200 (-1%) | 17mo | $88,000 | $40 | 70 |
| 1726 S Park Ave | 0.61mi | 6/2.0 | 2,232 (+0%) | 6mo | $77,500 | $35 | 67 |
| 30 Macamley St | 0.41mi | 6/2.0 | 2,392 (+7%) | 5mo | $284,000 | $119 | 64 |
| 48 Payne Ave | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 | 2,308 (+4%) | 9mo | $232,500 | $101 | 62 |
| 68 Remoleno St | 0.55mi | 6/2.0 | 2,256 (+1%) | 16mo | $231,150 | $102 | 59 |
| 39 Kimmel Ave | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 | 2,016 (-10%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $75 | 57 |
| 1732 South Park Ave | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 | 2,251 (+1%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $84 | 57 |
| 72 Heussy Ave | 0.49mi | 6/2.0 | 2,350 (+6%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $85 | 56 |
| 147 Trowbridge St | 0.53mi | 6/2.0 | 2,024 (-9%) | 9mo | $138,000 | $68 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $5,506
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $81,088
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,959 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $437/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-16$185,000 Active
-
2017-11-29soldstatus $70,000 Closed Sale or Rented 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Remarkable 3/3 double located steps from Solar city! House offers maintenance free vinyl siding and has a brand new architectural roof (2017). House has copper plumbing, newer electrical and glass block windows. Both units have porch access for relaxing. Long term tenants make for a reliable investment!
-
2017-11-01status Pending Sale 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Remarkable 3/3 double located steps from Solar city! House offers maintenance free vinyl siding and has a brand new architectural roof (2017). House has copper plumbing, newer electrical and glass block windows. Both units have porch access for relaxing. Long term tenants make for a reliable investment!
-
2017-10-18status Under Contract- Do Not Show 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Remarkable 3/3 double located steps from Solar city! House offers maintenance free vinyl siding and has a brand new architectural roof (2017). House has copper plumbing, newer electrical and glass block windows. Both units have porch access for relaxing. Long term tenants make for a reliable investment!
-
2017-09-29$75,000 Active 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Remarkable 3/3 double located steps from Solar city! House offers maintenance free vinyl siding and has a brand new architectural roof (2017). House has copper plumbing, newer electrical and glass block windows. Both units have porch access for relaxing. Long term tenants make for a reliable investment!
-
2006-03-27soldstatus $39,750
-
2005-12-09soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $437 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,782 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,345/yr (+$112/mo · 307.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$437
- − Insurance
- −$1,592
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,881
- − Management
- −$1,881
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $1,973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$474
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,428
- Household income
- $70,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.29%
- Current HPI
- 402.5053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.62%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+927.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $185,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-11-29 Sold (MLS) $70,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-11-01 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-10-18 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-09-29 Listed $75,000 WNYREIS
- 2006-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $39,750 Public Records
- 2005-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $437 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…