2717 Baldwin St · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$61,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully renovated 2 bedroom 1 bath home new roof, vinyl flooring , carpet, fixtures, partially fenced backyard. Great opportunity for first time home buyer, or investor looking to add to rental portfolio. No seller financing available. Move in Ready.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- New roof
- Listed 172 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($781 rent vs $61k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $422 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $61k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.13%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,184
- List price
- $61,000
- Delta
- -1.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2810 Baldwin St | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 752 (-14%) | 2mo | $58,500 | $78 | 72 |
| 2502 Heard St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 864 (-1%) | 4mo | $67,900 | $79 | 70 |
| 3027 Colorado St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 831 (-4%) | 0mo | $11,000 | $13 | 69 |
| 3011 Colorado St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 894 (+3%) | 9mo | $66,000 | $74 | 66 |
| 2429 Bell St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 966 (+11%) | 6mo | $22,142 | $23 | 54 |
| 937 Diggs Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-3%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $36 | 53 |
| 1010 34th Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 792 (-9%) | 15mo | $47,000 | $59 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $2,591
- Equity at exit
- $9,095
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $22,720
- Equity at exit
- $5,274
Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31906
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $781 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$320
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$164
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,250
- Closing costs
- $1,830
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2724 9th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 916 Lawyers Ln Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $525 | $0.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2983 Buena Vista Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $735 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2516 Schaul St Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $775 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2201 Heard St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $975 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 604 Morris Rd Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 568 | $625 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 784 Terminal Ct Unit 11 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $725 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 497 Mellon St Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1315 Wildwood Ave Unit 1 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $670 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1315 Wildwood Ave Unit 18 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $700 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1315 Wildwood Ave Unit 29 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $710 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1219 Eberhart Ave Unit 2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1919 12th St Unit B Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $725 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 706 Palmetto Ave Unit B Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $700 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2406 Dawson St #2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 565 | $700 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1219 Owsley Ave Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $900 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2630 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $755 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 822 Ragland Ct Unit A Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $775 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 214 23rd Ave Unit A Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $410 | $0.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2106 S Andrews Cir Unit A Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $575 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit 5 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit B Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit D Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 917 Oakview Ave Unit B Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1519 16th Ave Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3911 Steam Mill Rd Columbus, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 959 | $875 | $0.91 | 14d | 12 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-15price $61,000 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Fully renovated 2 bedroom 1 bath home new roof, vinyl flooring , carpet, fixtures, partially fenced backyard. Great opportunity for first time home buyer, or investor looking to add to rental portfolio. No seller financing available. Move in Ready.
-
2025-12-06$70,000 Active 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Fully renovated 2 bedroom 1 bath home new roof, vinyl flooring , carpet, fixtures, partially fenced backyard. Great opportunity for first time home buyer, or investor looking to add to rental portfolio. No seller financing available. Move in Ready.
-
2025-11-05price $70,000
-
2025-08-13price $72,000
-
2025-07-22price $74,000
-
2025-06-25price $76,000
-
2025-06-05historical
-
2025-03-23price $79,500
-
2025-02-01$80,000 Active
-
2025-01-01price $80,000
-
2024-12-04historical
-
2024-08-07price $90,000
-
2024-06-17$99,000 Active
-
2021-03-08soldstatus $24,000
-
2021-03-05soldstatus $24,000
-
2020-12-04$24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,417
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$305
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$750
- − Management
- −$750
- − Depreciation
- −$1,775
- Taxable income
- $1,187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$285
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,400
- Household income
- $44,965
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1003.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.49%
- Current HPI
- 113.2749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+154.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $61,000 CBOR
- 2025-12-06 Listed $70,000 CBOR
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $70,000 CBOR
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $72,000 CBOR
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $74,000 CBOR
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $76,000 CBOR
- 2025-06-05 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-03-23 Price Changed $79,500 CBOR
- 2025-02-01 Listed $80,000 FMLS
- 2025-01-01 Price Changed $80,000 CBOR
- 2024-12-04 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-08-07 Price Changed $90,000 FMLS
- 2024-06-17 Listed $99,000 FMLS
- 2021-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-05 Sold (MLS) $24,000 CBOR
- 2020-12-04 Listed $24,000 CBOR
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,192 · +386.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…