660 S 30Th Ave · Show Low, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- New ac unit
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.3% in Show Low — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#90 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Show Low Unified District (4393) (rural): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 249 in AZ (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 891 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 485 units permitted in Navajo County in 2024 (11 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Navajo County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $135k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.83%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $196,454
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -31.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681 S 30Th Ave | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+7%) | 13mo | $152,500 | $159 | 72 |
| 2350 W Whipple St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 896 (0%) | 20mo | $259,000 | $289 | 59 |
| 2701 W Stock | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+7%) | 14mo | $211,000 | $220 | 58 |
| 3020 W Young | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,024 (+14%) | 11mo | $218,000 | $213 | 57 |
| 2621 W Young -- | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 968 (+8%) | 23mo | $196,000 | $202 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $9,836
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $49,250
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85901
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Active inventory
- 891
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $487/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $499
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1351 W Sierra Buena Ct Show Low, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,650 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $135,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-04status Pending 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2026-05-03status Active 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2026-05-01historical 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2026-04-02price $135,000 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2026-03-04price $139,900 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2026-02-07price $144,900 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2026-01-20price $150,000 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2025-12-05price $155,000 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2025-11-10price $160,000 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2025-10-22$175,000 Active 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.
-
2025-07-03price $169,900
-
2025-06-18price $174,900
-
2025-05-19price $179,900
-
2025-04-25price $184,000
-
2025-04-05price $189,900
-
2024-11-09price $195,000
-
2008-05-30soldstatus $85,000
-
2000-01-04soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $487 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$404/yr (+$34/mo · 83.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$487
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $3,981
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$955
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Show Low Unified District (4393)
- NCES district ID
- 0407700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,240
- Composite
- 29.9/100
- National rank
- #6387
- State rank
- #89 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Show Low
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #13573
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Show Low, AZ
- City population
- 18,821
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,821
Population outlook (Navajo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,760 people
- By 2030
- 103,301 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 97,070 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 88,850 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 65,180 · -38.4%
- By 2100
- 37,281 · -64.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Navajo
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.2) · D 40.9% · R 58.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.5pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -17.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+7.9 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.52%
- Current HPI
- 386.3007
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+141.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — WMMLS
- 2026-05-03 Relisted — WMMLS
- 2026-05-01 Delisted — WMMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $135,000 WMMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $139,900 WMMLS
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $144,900 WMMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $150,000 WMMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $155,000 WMMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $160,000 WMMLS
- 2025-10-22 Listed $175,000 WMMLS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $169,900 WMMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $174,900 WMMLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $179,900 WMMLS
- 2025-04-25 Price Changed $184,000 WMMLS
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $189,900 WMMLS
- 2024-11-09 Price Changed $195,000 WMMLS
- 2008-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2000-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $487 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…