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660 S 30Th Ave
B Composite 73.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

660 S 30Th Ave · Show Low, AZ 85901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured public records · 200 Days on market
Built 1985 5,662 sqft lot $151/sqft · 31% below area Est $196k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • New ac unit
  • New flooring

Tags

NEW FLOORINGNEW AC UNITCOVERED DECKMOVE IN READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.3% in Show Low — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#90 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Show Low Unified District (4393) (rural): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 249 in AZ (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 891 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 485 units permitted in Navajo County in 2024 (11 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Navajo County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $135k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.73%
Cash-on-cash
15.83%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,454
List price
$135,000
Delta
-31.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
681 S 30Th Ave 0.04mi 2/2.0 960 (+7%) 13mo $152,500 $159 72
2350 W Whipple St 0.45mi 2/2.0 896 (0%) 20mo $259,000 $289 59
2701 W Stock 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (+7%) 14mo $211,000 $220 58
3020 W Young 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,024 (+14%) 11mo $218,000 $213 57
2621 W Young -- 0.29mi 2/2.0 968 (+8%) 23mo $196,000 $202 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$9,836
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$49,250
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85901

Home prices YoY
-14.5%
Active inventory
891
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $487/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$499

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,019
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1351 W Sierra Buena Ct Show Low, AZ 1.0 1.0 780 $1,650 $2.12 44d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 200 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 199 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 198 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 197 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 196 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 194 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $135,000 Active 193 DOM
  8. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  9. 2026-05-03
    status Active 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  10. 2026-05-01
    historical 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  11. 2026-04-02
    price $135,000 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  12. 2026-03-04
    price $139,900 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  13. 2026-02-07
    price $144,900 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  14. 2026-01-20
    price $150,000 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  15. 2025-12-05
    price $155,000 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  16. 2025-11-10
    price $160,000 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  17. 2025-10-22
    listed $175,000 Active 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Welcome to your perfect mountain escape in Show Low, Arizona. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is tucked among the tall pines offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential. Inside you will find comfortable living space with a simple functional layout easy to make your own. With new flooring throughout , a brand new AC unit that keeps the home cool and comfortable during warm summer days. And a recently updated front covered deck to enjoy the cool mountain air. It is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a primary residence, vacation getaway or investment property. This home is move in ready with plenty of room to make your own. Don't miss this chance to own a cozy home in the beautiful White Mountains of AZ.

  18. 2025-07-03
    price $169,900
  19. 2025-06-18
    price $174,900
  20. 2025-05-19
    price $179,900
  21. 2025-04-25
    price $184,000
  22. 2025-04-05
    price $189,900
  23. 2024-11-09
    price $195,000
  24. 2008-05-30
    soldstatus $85,000
  25. 2000-01-04
    soldstatus $56,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$487 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$891 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$404/yr (+$34/mo · 83.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,800
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$487
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$3,981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$955
After-tax cash flow
$5,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Show Low Unified District (4393)
NCES district ID
0407700
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,240
Composite
29.9/100
National rank
#6387
State rank
#89 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Show Low

Score
65/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#13573

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Show Low, AZ
City population
18,821
Population (ZIP)
18,821

Population outlook (Navajo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,760 people
By 2030
103,301 · -2.3%
By 2040
97,070 · -8.2%
By 2050
88,850 · -16.0%
By 2075
65,180 · -38.4%
By 2100
37,281 · -64.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Navajo

2024 margin
R (+17.2) · D 40.9% · R 58.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.5pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -17.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+7.9 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.52%
Current HPI
386.3007
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+141.1% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending WMMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Relisted WMMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Delisted WMMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $135,000 WMMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $139,900 WMMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Price Changed $144,900 WMMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $150,000 WMMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $155,000 WMMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $160,000 WMMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $175,000 WMMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $169,900 WMMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $174,900 WMMLS
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $179,900 WMMLS
  • 2025-04-25 Price Changed $184,000 WMMLS
  • 2025-04-05 Price Changed $189,900 WMMLS
  • 2024-11-09 Price Changed $195,000 WMMLS
  • 2008-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2000-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $487 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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