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131 Silver Ln
D Composite 40.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0

$149,500

131 Silver Ln · Brookfield, MO 64628
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,214 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 174 Days on market
Built 1960 0.52 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming one-owner home in Brookfield, MO! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath residence sits on a beautiful . 51-acre lot that gives you the peaceful feel of the country--right in town. The spacious backyard is perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the quiet outdoors. A 26x24 two-car detached garage with workbenches offers plenty of space for projects and storage, and there's also a small storage shed for your lawn tools or seasonal items. Well cared for and full of potential, this property is ready for its next chapter.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Small storage shed
  • 0.52 acre lot

Tags

BEAUTIFUL .51-ACRE LOTSPACIOUS BACKYARD26X24 TWO-CAR DETACHED GARAGESMALL STORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (11.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (32.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#278 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Brookfield R-III (rural): math 46% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #45 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
  • Linn County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $101,549 (32.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.73%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$40,062
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 Market St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,067 (-12%) 10mo $34,900 $33 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$11,139
Equity at exit
$66,427
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$49,001
Equity at exit
$101,759

Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64628

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,015 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$784
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $612/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$-95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $132,704
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-10 -5% $-53 +0% $-95 +5% $-137 +10% $-180
Rent -10% $-175 -5% $-135 +0% $-95 +5% $-55 +10% $-15
Rate -1.0pp $-20 -0.5pp $-57 base $-95 +0.5pp $-134 +1.0pp $-173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,375
Closing costs
$4,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-12
    status Active
  3. 2025-11-10
    price $149,500
  4. 2025-10-09
    listed $160,000 Active
  5. 2001-07-23
    soldstatus
  6. 1959-08-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$612 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,450 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$838/yr (+$70/mo · 136.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,186
− Mortgage interest
−$8,374
− Property taxes
−$612
− Insurance
−$748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$975
− Management
−$975
− Depreciation
−$4,349
Taxable loss
−$3,847
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$923
After-tax cash flow
$-218/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brookfield R-III
NCES district ID
2905940
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$37,022
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3355
State rank
#45 of 324 in MO

Livability — Brookfield

Score
65/100
State rank
#278
US rank
#13057

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brookfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
5,602

Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,437 people
By 2030
10,946 · -4.3%
By 2040
9,969 · -12.8%
By 2050
9,056 · -20.8%
By 2075
7,342 · -35.8%
By 2100
5,656 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Linn

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 20.8% · R 78.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-48.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.91%
Current HPI
219.7856
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending RCBR
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted RCBR
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $149,500 RCBR
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $160,000 RCBR
  • 2001-07-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1959-08-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $612 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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