1624 Jonquil Dr · Clovis, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for a spacious home in Zia school district this, is it. The traditional floorplan offers space and comfort. 3 large bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The kitchen is spacious and has a bar top island for entertaining. A large den completes the floorplan and features a fireplace. Outside you are greeted by ample yard and parking space. A cinder block storage shed offers extra storage space. Attached 2 car garage for off street parking. This home is a must see, call today
Key facts
- Large den
- Zia school district
- Bar top island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($641/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.31%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,500
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -25.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-20,743
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,522
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88101
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 464
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,598 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1621 N Lea St Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 37 Paseo Vlg Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3520 Adenmor Ct Clovis, NM | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 213 Almond Tree Ln Clovis, NM | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2916 Hammond Blvd Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 112 Cades Ct Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3804 Ben Hogan Dr Clovis, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $185,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-15price $185,000 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
If you are looking for a spacious home in Zia school district this, is it. The traditional floorplan offers space and comfort. 3 large bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The kitchen is spacious and has a bar top island for entertaining. A large den completes the floorplan and features a fireplace. Outside you are greeted by ample yard and parking space. A cinder block storage shed offers extra storage space. Attached 2 car garage for off street parking. This home is a must see, call today
-
2026-04-13$193,000 Active 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
If you are looking for a spacious home in Zia school district this, is it. The traditional floorplan offers space and comfort. 3 large bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The kitchen is spacious and has a bar top island for entertaining. A large den completes the floorplan and features a fireplace. Outside you are greeted by ample yard and parking space. A cinder block storage shed offers extra storage space. Attached 2 car garage for off street parking. This home is a must see, call today
-
2025-07-23price $199,900
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2025-07-15price $215,600
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2023-01-27price $230,000
-
2021-12-13soldstatus
-
2021-08-26$213,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,182
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,535
- − Management
- −$1,535
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,281
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$547
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,188/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, and add landscaping to enhance curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of replacement
- Major landscaping — dry grass and lack of landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · dry grass and lack of landscaping | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $21,000–80,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clovis Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,532
- Composite
- 33.52/100
- National rank
- #5435
- State rank
- #13 of 29 in NM
Livability — Clovis
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #22374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clovis, NM
- County
- Curry County · 44,846 people
- City population
- 44,846
- Metro
- Clovis, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,846
- Household income
- $56,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1724.0
Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,742 people
- By 2030
- 47,759 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 45,444 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 42,403 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 33,878 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 22,414 · -54.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 25%
Political lean MEDSL · Curry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.79%
- Current HPI
- 121.1877
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.54%
- Metro
- Clovis, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-13.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $185,000 NMMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $193,000 NMMLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $199,900 NMMLS
- 2025-07-15 Price Changed $215,600 NMMLS
- 2023-01-27 Price Changed $230,000 NMMLS
- 2021-12-13 Sold (MLS) — NMMLS
- 2021-08-26 Listed $213,000 NMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…