703 1st Ave E · Lemmon, SD 57638

$70,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,158 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 221 Days on market

Built 1940 7,000 sqft lot Est $130k · 46% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +6.1/10.0
• Schools +4.6/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• Main floor laundry
• Four seasons room
• 7,000 sq ft lot

Tags

• FOUR SEASONS ROOM
• MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#8 in SD, #2,009 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities D.
• Lemmon School District 52-4 (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #60 of 148 in SD (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
• Perkins County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.56% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.21%
• DSCR: 2.03
• GRM: 5.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $129,696
• Comps found: 6

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
901 2nd Ave W	0.25mi	4/2.0	1,131 (-2%)	2mo	$128,000	$113	79
511 4th Ave W	0.37mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,064 (-8%)	12mo	$59,900	$56	54
809 2nd St E	0.67mi	4/1.5	1,200 (+4%)	19mo	$220,000	$183	45
211 W 4th Ave	0.47mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,313 (+13%)	5mo	$55,000	$42	45
501 4th St W	0.47mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,248 (+8%)	16mo	$139,900	$112	45
108 4th Ave W	0.51mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,245 (+8%)	22mo	$81,000	$65	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.51×
• Total profit: $29,606
• Equity at exit: $28,297

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.85×
• Total profit: $75,435
• Equity at exit: $41,283

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Dakota: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 57638

• Home prices YoY: 1.4%
• Active inventory: 21
• Price-to-rent: 5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,092 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$367
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
• Insurance: −$29
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612

Max offer price $70,000

Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,500
• Closing costs: $2,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-12
   status Pending
2. 2025-07-01
   listed $70,000 Active
3. 2024-06-09
   listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,107
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,921
• − Property taxes: −$1,050
• − Insurance: −$350
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,049
• − Management: −$1,049
• − Depreciation: −$2,036
• Taxable income: $3,652
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$876
• After-tax cash flow: $3,673/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lemmon School District 52-4
• NCES district ID: 4641520
• Math proficiency: 50% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $38,532
• Composite: 45.67/100
• National rank: #5633
• State rank: #60 of 148 in SD

Livability — Lemmon

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #8
• US rank: #2009

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lemmon, SD
• Population (ZIP): 1,963

Population outlook (Perkins County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,128 people
• By 2030: 3,207 · +2.5%
• By 2040: 3,391 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 3,602 · +15.2%
• By 2075: 4,340 · +38.7%
• By 2100: 4,754 · +52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 93% Native American 4% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 21% Scottish 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Perkins

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.3% · R 84.3% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -70.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+70.0 2020: R+69.6 2016: R+71.3 2012: R+55.7 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.18%
• Current HPI: 152.8514
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 0.70%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Utilities	1	$1B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-12 Pending — Badlands BOR MLS
• 2025-07-01 Listed $70,000 Badlands BOR MLS
• 2024-06-09 Listed $70,000 Badlands BOR MLS