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C Composite 56.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

135/137 Indian Harbor Trl Unit E16/17 · Norwood, NC 27306
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 592 sqft · SingleFamily · 503 Days on market
Built 1991 5,227 sqft lot Est $118k · at est. $87/mo HOA · 7% of rent ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Double lots with lots of room. E16/17 Welcome to 135/137 Indian Harbor Tr. This 1 bedroom 1 bath Dutchmen unit is ready to use. Large open main living space at 360 sq ft. Nice comfortable furniture to remain. Windows everywhere in the room makes it feel like you are outdoors. Opens into a front end kitchen camper that has been well loved. An additional 232 sq ft makes this unit feel nice a spacious. Real potty in the bathroom, good storage throughout. Open front deck with fence for dogs at 300 sq ft. There is a survey showing all setbacks have been met. Everything that is there is to remain except the Ez-Go Golf Cart available for additional $5k. Current owner has never used the propane in

Key facts

  • Double lots
  • Fence for dogs
  • Owned propane tank

Tags

DOUBLE LOTSOPEN MAIN LIVING SPACEOPEN FRONT DECKFENCE FOR DOGSOWNED PROPANE TANK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Private maintained road; Road surface: dirt and paved
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with mandatory annual dues; Annual association fee of $1,040; Community amenities: lake access, outdoor pool, picnic area, playground, recreation area, walking trails

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Gated community; Street lights
  • Utilities: County water; County sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One story; Facing details not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as manufactured construction
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Level lot; Beach access (public); Community boat ramp; Community boat slip

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Space heater; Wall furnace; Wall-mounted cooling units; Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Sliding doors; Electric fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.9% in Norwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#410 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Montgomery County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #143 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 138 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 503 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 503 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.37%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,400
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
138 Larboard Trl 0.29mi 2/1.0 (+1) 600 (+1%) 6mo $120,000 $200 74
111 River Ridge Trl 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 650 (+10%) 12mo $20,000 $31 63
111 Sunshine Trl Unit A 249/250 0.57mi 2/1.0 (+1) 608 (+3%) 2mo $124,900 $205 62
104 Powder Horn Trl Unit C92 0.22mi 2/1.0 (+1) 636 (+7%) 13mo $110,000 $173 62
148 Twin Bluff Trl Unit C42 0.25mi 1/1.0 513 (-13%) 9mo $150,000 $292 58
158 Arrowood Trl Unit F27 0.57mi 1/1.0 600 (+1%) 20mo $130,000 $217 55
167 Holly Harbor Trl Unit 169/170 0.42mi 1/1.0 665 (+12%) 12mo $125,000 $188 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$917
Equity at exit
$28,101
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$22,618
Equity at exit
$29,801

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27306

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,299 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$87
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,116
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$87 · $1,044/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $115,000
  2. 2025-12-03
    price $130,000
  3. 2025-10-10
    price $140,000
  4. 2025-07-27
    price $145,000
  5. 2025-07-13
    price $155,000
  6. 2025-06-15
    price $159,500
  7. 2025-01-08
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,583
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,247
− Management
−$1,247
− HOA
−$1,044
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$41
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$10
After-tax cash flow
$1,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Schools
NCES district ID
3703060
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$34,706
Composite
25.97/100
National rank
#7328
State rank
#143 of 178 in NC

Livability — Norwood

Score
63/100
State rank
#410
US rank
#15485

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,457

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,533 people
By 2030
25,724 · -3.0%
By 2040
23,842 · -10.1%
By 2050
22,077 · -16.8%
By 2075
18,754 · -29.3%
By 2100
15,537 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 5% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.8% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -11.0pp · 2024: -37.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.8 2020: R+31.8 2016: R+25.9 2012: R+15.2 2008: R+11.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.94%
Current HPI
334.2599
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $115,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $130,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $140,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-27 Price Changed $145,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-13 Price Changed $155,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-15 Price Changed $159,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-08 Listed $165,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…