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321 Alexandria Ave Duplex
A- Composite 80.21
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

321 Alexandria Ave · Ticonderoga, NY 12883
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,280 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1938 4,356 sqft lot $31/sqft · 75% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 family with good rental income, currently rented. Fair condition. Located close to schools and downtown. 1 mile to public boat launch for Lake George

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Good rental income
  • Public boat launch

Tags

GOOD RENTAL INCOMECLOSE TO SCHOOLSPUBLIC BOAT LAUNCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $571/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 2.2% in Ticonderoga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#182 in NY, #2,828 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ticonderoga Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #459 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.15%
Cap rate
25.88%
Cash-on-cash
69.96%
DSCR
4.11
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$276,913
List price
$69,900
Delta
-74.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
81.0%
Equity multiple
6.66×
Total profit
$110,849
Equity at exit
$62,971
10-year hold
IRR
75.3%
Equity multiple
14.77×
Total profit
$269,491
Equity at exit
$135,800

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12883

Home prices YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,204 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$204 /mo · $2,453/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$463
Net cashflow
$1,141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,181 -5% $1,161 +0% $1,141 +5% $1,121 +10% $1,101
Rent -10% $967 -5% $1,054 +0% $1,141 +5% $1,228 +10% $1,315
Rate -1.0pp $1,176 -0.5pp $1,159 base $1,141 +0.5pp $1,123 +1.0pp $1,105

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 158 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 157 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 156 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 155 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 152 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 148 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 147 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 143 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 142 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 141 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 140 DOM
  16. 2026-04-19
    price $69,900 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    2 family with good rental income, currently rented. Fair condition. Located close to schools and downtown. 1 mile to public boat launch for Lake George

  17. 2026-03-25
    price $89,900 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    2 family with good rental income, currently rented. Fair condition. Located close to schools and downtown. 1 mile to public boat launch for Lake George

  18. 2026-01-11
    listed $109,900 Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    2 family with good rental income, currently rented. Fair condition. Located close to schools and downtown. 1 mile to public boat launch for Lake George

  19. 2021-11-29
    soldstatus $67,000
  20. 2021-10-22
    historical 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Income producing two family building in Ticonderoga. Two bedroom, one bath and laundry upstairs. Three bedroom, one bath, laundry downstairs.

  21. 2019-06-20
    listed $69,700 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Income producing two family building in Ticonderoga. Two bedroom, one bath and laundry upstairs. Three bedroom, one bath, laundry downstairs.

  22. 2018-09-28
    historical
  23. 2017-09-28
    listed $67,000
  24. 2013-11-01
    soldstatus $50,000
  25. 2013-10-29
    soldstatus $50,000
  26. 2012-08-20
    listed $69,000
  27. 2002-09-17
    soldstatus $32,000
  28. 2001-11-19
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,453 · $204/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,453 · $204/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,448
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$2,453
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,116
− Management
−$2,116
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$13,465
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,232
After-tax cash flow
$10,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ticonderoga Central School District
NCES district ID
3628680
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$46,111
Composite
38.65/100
National rank
#4150
State rank
#459 of 590 in NY

Livability — Ticonderoga

Score
77/100
State rank
#182
US rank
#2828

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ticonderoga, NY
Population (ZIP)
4,781

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,758 people
By 2030
35,697 · -2.9%
By 2040
32,697 · -11.0%
By 2050
29,248 · -20.4%
By 2075
22,641 · -38.4%
By 2100
16,602 · -54.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Essex

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.3pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+5.0 2016: R+3.4 2012: D+15.0 2008: D+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 38.24%
Current HPI
301.3984
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+249.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $69,900 Global MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $89,900 Global MLS
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $109,900 Global MLS
  • 2021-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2021-10-22 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2019-06-20 Listed $69,700 Global MLS
  • 2018-09-28 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2017-09-28 Listed $67,000 Global MLS
  • 2013-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2013-10-29 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Global MLS
  • 2012-08-20 Listed $69,000 Global MLS
  • 2002-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 2001-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,453 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…