Multi-family
44 Taft Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$374,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Short sale subject to third-party approval. Cash offers only. Drive-by only—no interior access. Property has been vacant for over 10 years and has been fully stripped: no plumbing, pipes, or electrical. Windows and doors have been cemented shut. Sold strictly as-is, with no access.
Key facts
- 3,700 sq ft lot
- Built 1901
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: 110V electric service
- Home design: 3-story building; Approximate year built
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Building area total approximately 1,808
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.08 acres (about 3,700 sq ft); Lot dimensions approximately 37 x 100; Zoned R3A
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (located on the 2nd level)
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Total: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Oil heating
- Interior features: Two-unit building configuration
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $374k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $374k).
- Recommended offer: $363k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 61 William A Morris (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #418 of 729 statewide, top 59%, 932 students, 84% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,151/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2008% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($363k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.50%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $860,608
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Taft Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,556 (-14%) | 12mo | $740,000 | $476 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-135
- Equity at exit
- $55,765
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $118,588
- Equity at exit
- $32,337
Cash invested: $104,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10301
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,151 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,961
- Tax from tax record
- −$421 /mo · $5,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$872
- Net cashflow
- $741
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $953 | -5% $847 | +0% $741 | +5% $636 | +10% $530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $413 | -5% $577 | +0% $741 | +5% $905 | +10% $1,069 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $930 | -0.5pp $837 | base $741 | +0.5pp $644 | +1.0pp $546 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,500
- Closing costs
- $11,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Westervelt Ave Unit 1 Staten Island, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2100 | $2,600 | $1.24 | 26d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 90 Bay Street Lndg Unit 4B Staten Island, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $6,000 | $3.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 90 Bay Street Lndg Staten Island, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $5,250 | $3.14 | 5d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 24 Clinton Ave Unit 2 Staten Island, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $3,753 | $2.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 65 Bard Ave Staten Island, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,950 | $2.11 | 26d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 703 Bay St Staten Island, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1337 | $3,500 | $2.62 | 26d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $374,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $374,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $374,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $374,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $374,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $374,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $374,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-03$374,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,051 · $421/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,686 · $474/mo
- Expected delta
- +$635/yr (+$53/mo · 12.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,950
- − Property taxes
- −$5,051
- − Insurance
- −$1,870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,985
- − Management
- −$3,985
- − Depreciation
- −$10,880
- Taxable income
- $3,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$742
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Richmond County · 404,174 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,052
- Household income
- $85,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2008.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -407.37%
- Current HPI
- 319.0616
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.07%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Listed $374,000 SIBORMLS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,051 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…