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2310 S 19th St
C Composite 57.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

2310 S 19th St · New Castle, IN 47362
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1945 5,619 sqft lot $94/sqft · 21% below area Est $121k · 21% under ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home with Spacious Backyard. Welcome home to this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath property offering comfort, space, and functionality. The home features a large kitchen with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and entertaining, flowing easily into a cozy living room perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. Step outside to enjoy a big backyard, ideal for pets, play, gardening, or future outdoor projects. A detached shed provides extra storage for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment, this home offers a practical layout with room to grow—inside and out. Close to schools, park and other amenities. All items in the home go with the sale of the property.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Cozy living room
  • Spacious backyard

Tags

SPACIOUS BACKYARDLARGE KITCHENCOZY LIVING ROOMDETACHED SHEDCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($953 rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.8% in New Castle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#64 in IN, #4,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • New Castle Community School Corporation (town): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #229 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.34%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,721
List price
$95,000
Delta
-21.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1614 P Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 960 (-5%) 2mo $119,000 $124 82
2803 S 23rd St 0.34mi 2/1.0 960 (-5%) 1mo $75,000 $78 76
2114 S 18th St 0.14mi 2/1.0 912 (-10%) 3mo $50,000 $55 75
1631 P Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 904 (-10%) 4mo $106,000 $117 73
1929 N Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 (+1) 936 (-7%) 4mo $89,900 $96 71
2117 Cherrywood Ave 0.28mi 2/1.0 1,088 (+8%) 6mo $112,000 $103 69
1610 Roosevelt Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-1%) 6mo $145,000 $145 69
2922 Sunnyside Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 980 (-3%) 7mo $70,000 $71 69
1909 Cherrywood Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 922 (-8%) 6mo $147,500 $160 64
1725 Hunter Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,007 (-0%) 1mo $110,000 $109 64
1738 Morton St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+11%) 5mo $115,000 $103 39
1734 Morton St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+11%) 5mo $115,000 $103 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-7,702
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$7,807
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47362

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
214
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$953 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1618 P Ave New Castle, IN 3.0 1.5 1064 $950 $0.89 1d 1 0.17mi
1216 S 19th St New Castle, IN 2.0 1.0 824 $1,000 $1.21 23d 1 0.69mi
940 S 15th St New Castle, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 816 $1,075 $1.32 1d 2 0.88mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    price $95,000 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home with Spacious Backyard. Welcome home to this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath property offering comfort, space, and functionality. The home features a large kitchen with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and entertaining, flowing easily into a cozy living room perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. Step outside to enjoy a big backyard, ideal for pets, play, gardening, or future outdoor projects. A detached shed provides extra storage for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment, this home offers a practical layout with room to grow—inside and out. Close to schools, park and other amenities. All items in the home go with the sale of the property.

  2. 2026-05-01
    price $109,000 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home with Spacious Backyard. Welcome home to this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath property offering comfort, space, and functionality. The home features a large kitchen with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and entertaining, flowing easily into a cozy living room perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. Step outside to enjoy a big backyard, ideal for pets, play, gardening, or future outdoor projects. A detached shed provides extra storage for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment, this home offers a practical layout with room to grow—inside and out. Close to schools, park and other amenities. All items in the home go with the sale of the property.

  3. 2026-03-31
    price $119,000 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home with Spacious Backyard. Welcome home to this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath property offering comfort, space, and functionality. The home features a large kitchen with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and entertaining, flowing easily into a cozy living room perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. Step outside to enjoy a big backyard, ideal for pets, play, gardening, or future outdoor projects. A detached shed provides extra storage for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment, this home offers a practical layout with room to grow—inside and out. Close to schools, park and other amenities. All items in the home go with the sale of the property.

  4. 2026-03-10
    price $124,900 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home with Spacious Backyard. Welcome home to this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath property offering comfort, space, and functionality. The home features a large kitchen with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and entertaining, flowing easily into a cozy living room perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. Step outside to enjoy a big backyard, ideal for pets, play, gardening, or future outdoor projects. A detached shed provides extra storage for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment, this home offers a practical layout with room to grow—inside and out. Close to schools, park and other amenities. All items in the home go with the sale of the property.

  5. 2026-02-11
    listed $127,000 Active 772-char remark
    Show marketing remark (772 chars)

    Charming 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home with Spacious Backyard. Welcome home to this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bath property offering comfort, space, and functionality. The home features a large kitchen with plenty of room for cooking, gathering, and entertaining, flowing easily into a cozy living room perfect for relaxing or hosting guests. Step outside to enjoy a big backyard, ideal for pets, play, gardening, or future outdoor projects. A detached shed provides extra storage for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment, this home offers a practical layout with room to grow—inside and out. Close to schools, park and other amenities. All items in the home go with the sale of the property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,434
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$915
− Management
−$915
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$91
After-tax cash flow
$1,246/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Castle Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1807440
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,717
Composite
26.99/100
National rank
#7067
State rank
#229 of 301 in IN

Livability — New Castle

Score
75/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#4219

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Castle, IN
County
Henry County · 29,337 people
City population
29,337
Metro
New Castle, IN
Population (ZIP)
29,337
Household income
$60,258
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,028 people
By 2030
47,125 · -1.9%
By 2040
44,820 · -6.7%
By 2050
42,207 · -12.1%
By 2075
35,814 · -25.4%
By 2100
26,779 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.3% · R 73.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-43.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -47.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.7 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.70%
Current HPI
228.8885
Rent YoY
▲ 4.59%
Metro
New Castle, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $95,000 RRELMS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $109,000 RRELMS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $119,000 RRELMS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $124,900 RRELMS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $127,000 RRELMS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2020): $26 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…