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415 S Columbia St
A- Composite 80.15
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,499

415 S Columbia St · Union City, IN 47390
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,432 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1880 6,534 sqft lot $69/sqft · at area comps Est $115k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unique opportunity in Union City! This spacious 4-bedroom home at 415 S Columbia Street sits on approximately three city lots and occupies an entire corner lot, offering an uncommon amount of space, privacy, and potential. The property features a pool, garden area, and multiple outbuildings that provide excellent storage, workshop space, hobby areas, or future improvement possibilities. The home offers generous living space and plenty of character, with room for someone to bring their vision and updates to life. While repairs and improvements are needed, the combination of the large home, oversized corner lot, pool, garden space, and additional structures creates strong upside potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to build equity. Enjoy the convenience of town living while still having room to spread out outdoors. Plenty of space for entertaining, gardening, recreation, pets, parking, or additional possibilities. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and downtown Union City. Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing likely best suited for this property.

Key facts

  • Workshop space
  • Garden area
  • Storage

Tags

CORNER LOTPOOLGARDEN AREAMULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGSSTORAGEWORKSHOP SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation and crawl space
  • Exterior features: Above-ground outdoor pool with pool cover; Storage shed; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total — two on the main level and two on the upper level; Upper bedrooms approximately 8.7 x 12.1 and 12.5 x 15.2; Main-level bedroom approximately 9.5 x 13.4
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Smoke detectors installed; Exterior-entry basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 5.6 x 9.7)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#432 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Randolph Eastern School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #246 of 301 in IN (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Side Elementary School (math 46% / reading 27%, grade F, #571 of 994 statewide, top 58%, 561 students, 72% FRL); Union City Community Jr/Sr High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #337 of 369 statewide, top 92%, 367 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 54% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Randolph County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $99k implies a 352% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,514 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.70%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,728
List price
$99,499
Delta
-13.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
226 E Main St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,396 (-2%) 5mo $149,700 $107 78
224 S 1st St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,476 (+3%) 9mo $159,900 $108 74
309 S Market St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,295 (-10%) 8mo $31,150 $24 68
305 E North St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,385 (-3%) 3mo $45,000 $32 63
9299 Worth Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-5%) 4mo $215,000 $158 56
122 S Division St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,581 (+10%) 2mo $126,000 $80 53
635 W Pearl St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,280 (-11%) 6mo $48,720 $38 51
198 N SR 227 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,593 (+11%) 1mo $220,000 $138 46
623 N Union 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,597 (+12%) 2mo $148,000 $93 45
628 N Columbia St 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,532 (+7%) 7mo $33,750 $22 43
710 N Union St 0.74mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,569 (+10%) 11mo $140,000 $89 35
508 N High St 0.69mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,612 (+13%) 8mo $105,000 $65 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$75,885
Equity at exit
$89,637
10-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
8.41×
Total profit
$206,315
Equity at exit
$193,305

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47390

Home prices YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $483/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $764
Max offer price $99,499
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,499 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,499 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,499 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,499 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,499 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,499 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,499 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,499 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,499 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,499 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,499 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,499 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,499 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,499 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,499 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $99,499 Active 1119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1119 chars)

    Unique opportunity in Union City! This spacious 4-bedroom home at 415 S Columbia Street sits on approximately three city lots and occupies an entire corner lot, offering an uncommon amount of space, privacy, and potential. The property features a pool, garden area, and multiple outbuildings that provide excellent storage, workshop space, hobby areas, or future improvement possibilities. The home offers generous living space and plenty of character, with room for someone to bring their vision and updates to life. While repairs and improvements are needed, the combination of the large home, oversized corner lot, pool, garden space, and additional structures creates strong upside potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to build equity. Enjoy the convenience of town living while still having room to spread out outdoors. Plenty of space for entertaining, gardening, recreation, pets, parking, or additional possibilities. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and downtown Union City. Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing likely best suited for this property.

  17. 2026-05-11
    listed $99,499 Active 1022-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1119 chars)

    Unique opportunity in Union City! This spacious 4-bedroom home at 415 S Columbia Street sits on approximately three city lots and occupies an entire corner lot, offering an uncommon amount of space, privacy, and potential. The property features a pool, garden area, and multiple outbuildings that provide excellent storage, workshop space, hobby areas, or future improvement possibilities. The home offers generous living space and plenty of character, with room for someone to bring their vision and updates to life. While repairs and improvements are needed, the combination of the large home, oversized corner lot, pool, garden space, and additional structures creates strong upside potential for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to build equity. Enjoy the convenience of town living while still having room to spread out outdoors. Plenty of space for entertaining, gardening, recreation, pets, parking, or additional possibilities. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and downtown Union City. Property is being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing likely best suited for this property.

  18. 2010-03-30
    soldstatus $22,000
  19. 2010-03-30
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$483 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$664 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$181/yr (+$15/mo · 37.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,349
− Mortgage interest
−$5,573
− Property taxes
−$483
− Insurance
−$497
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$2,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$625
After-tax cash flow
$3,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Randolph Eastern School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803180
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,652
Composite
24.92/100
National rank
#7570
State rank
#246 of 301 in IN

Livability — Union City

Score
63/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#15530

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Union City, IN
Population (ZIP)
5,084

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,998 people
By 2030
21,815 · -5.1%
By 2040
19,360 · -15.8%
By 2050
17,010 · -26.0%
By 2075
12,491 · -45.7%
By 2100
8,986 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea, Guatemala
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.3% · R 75.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-44.9pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -53.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+24.1 2008: R+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.82%
Current HPI
273.6736
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+318.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $91,999 RRELMS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $99,499 RRELMS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $99,499 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2010-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $483 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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