144-30 Sanford Ave #5 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Cash flow +3.9/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment on the 5th floor features a thoughtfully designed floor plan, including a spacious living room and a dining-friendly kitchen, both practical and comfortable. The large living room is spacious enough to be used as a 2-bedroom layout while maintaining a cozy atmosphere. Ample closet space provides convenient storage. A laundry room is located on the first floor, and parking is available with a waiting list. The maintenance fee covers all utilities except electricity. Subletting is allowed after two years of ownership. The apartment is located in a prime area, just steps away from the 7 train line, LIRR local bus routes Q26/Q15/Q15A, Main St
Key facts
- 5th floor
- Laundry room
- Ample closet space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (14.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (25.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $269k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 405 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,692/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 6765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($349k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.15%
- DSCR
- 0.46
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.09% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-53,696
- Equity at exit
- $124,567
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-48,452
- Equity at exit
- $166,836
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11355
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 405
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,692 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$450 /mo · $5,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$659
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $-1,020
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14427 Sanford Ave Unit 7G Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $3,500 | $5.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 14731 Barclay Ave Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 149-08 41st Ave Unit 3rd Floor Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,850 | $2.74 | 18d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 40-10 149th St Fl 1 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 14489 38th Ave Unit 4C Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $2,400 | $3.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14424 37th Ave Unit 5B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $2,800 | $5.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 36-20 Parsons Blvd Unit 5D Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,600 | $2.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 14238 37th Ave Unit 4C Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 820 | $2,800 | $3.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 14809 Northern Blvd Flushing, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $3,500 | $3.31 | 14d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 13835 39th Ave Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $4,350 | $4.29 | 24d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 13835 39th Ave Flushing, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $4,500 | $4.50 | 1d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 150-01 Northern Blvd Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,800 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13618 Maple Ave Unit 5B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 836 | $3,490 | $4.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 141-25 Northern Blvd Unit A14 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $2,350 | $2.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3641 Union St Unit 2B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $3,100 | $3.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $2,450 | $3.16 | 2d | 2 | 0.55mi |
| 14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,400 | $3.20 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 13812 Northern Blvd Unit 7F Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,500 | $4.17 | 11d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 145-18 34th Ave Unit 8A Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $2,400 | $3.43 | 1d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 13702 Northern Blvd Flushing, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,600 | $3.06 | 7d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 140-16 34th Ave Unit 308 Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,250 | $3.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 140-16 34th Ave Unit 412 Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,250 | $3.75 | 6d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 140-16 34th Ave Unit 1113 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 133-08 41st Rd Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 137-02 Northern Blvd Unit 6K Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,850 | $3.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14016 34th Ave Unit 1210 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 140-16 34th Ave Apt 1003 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,300 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3916 Prince St Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $2,900 | $5.47 | 15d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 133-38 Avery Ave Unit 3F-B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $2,600 | $2.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 139-31 34th Ave Unit 3rd fl Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 13239 Pople Ave Unit 6D Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 13222 41st Rd #501 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 843 | $3,400 | $4.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 13327 39th Ave Unit 3N Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $3,600 | $5.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4105 College Point Blvd Unit 5I Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 600 | $2,600 | $4.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 13203 Sanford Ave Unit 7E Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 702 | $2,800 | $3.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 13416 35th Ave Unit 7E Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 681 | $3,300 | $4.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13226 Avery Ave Unit 8A Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 725 | $2,800 | $3.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13208 Pople Ave Unit 4A Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,500 | $3.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4142 College Point Blvd Unit 6A Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 868 | $3,000 | $3.46 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3132 Union St Unit 4G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,400 | $3.69 | 7d | 1 | 0.81mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-04-07status Pending
-
2025-02-17$360,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$5,400
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,584
- − Management
- −$2,584
- − HOA
- −$7,908
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$18,612
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,467
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,777/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,801
- Household income
- $55,326
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6765.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Asian (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 75% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 7% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 72% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 16% English-only · Chinese 58% Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.09%
- Current HPI
- 253.1482
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-07 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-17 Listed $360,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…