Duplex
312 King St · Ogdensburg, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment property located less than a block from the hospital, this two family home has had numerous improvements and updates in the past few years to include new flooring windows, paint electrical just to name a few. And with an excellent rental history and with the location less than a block from the hospital, if you had a vacancy, it would be no problem, filling it. The first floor apartment is larger than what you would anticipate having 3 BR, 1.5 bath, a living, dining & family room, updated kitchen with a nice amount of storage. Apartment two is on the second floor however the entrance there is a large bonus room that would be a great family room or office.
Key facts
- Walking trail
- Long term tenants
- Spacious units
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $571/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 7.1% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Madill School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 281 students, 56% FRL); Ogdensburg Free Academy (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,030 of 1,100 statewide, top 94%, 714 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $854 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.14%
- DSCR
- 3.72
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,621
- List price
- $79,999
- Delta
- -35.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7713 State Highway 68 | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 2,200 (-4%) | 5mo | $105,700 | $48 | 58 |
| 820-822 New York Ave | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,351 (+2%) | 20mo | $47,000 | $20 | 51 |
| 421 Hamilton St | 0.93mi | 4/3.0 | 2,250 (-2%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $60 | 43 |
| 828 Mechanic St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 2,067 (-10%) | 22mo | $80,000 | $39 | 40 |
| 716-718 Franklin St | 0.77mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,720 (+18%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $50 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $74,589
- Equity at exit
- $27,591
- IRR
- 65.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.79×
- Total profit
- $174,464
- Equity at exit
- $36,883
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.0 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $139,000 ($66/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -18.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13669
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,357 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$268 /mo · $3,214/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $1,141
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.5 | $2,356 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.5 | $1,178 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.5 | $1,178 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,357 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,187 | -5% $1,164 | +0% $1,141 | +5% $1,119 | +10% $1,096 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $955 | -5% $1,048 | +0% $1,141 | +5% $1,234 | +10% $1,328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,182 | -0.5pp $1,162 | base $1,141 | +0.5pp $1,121 | +1.0pp $1,100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Paved parking
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Multi-family residential income property2 stories
- Construction
- Vinyl siding
- Exterior features
- Metal roofShingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas cooktopElectric cooktopMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminateVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingNatural gas heating
- Interior features
- Insulated windowsGas water heaterMicrowaveRefrigeratorElectric cooktopGas cooktop
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-23days on market $79,999 Active 52 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $79,999 Active 50 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $79,999 Active 49 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $79,999 Active 48 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $79,999 Active 47 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $79,999 Active 46 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $79,999 Active 45 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $79,999 Active 44 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $79,999 Active 43 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $79,999 Active 42 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $79,999 Active 41 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $79,999 Active 40 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $79,999 Active 34 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $79,999 Active 33 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $79,999 Active 32 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $79,999 Active 31 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $79,999 Active 28 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $79,999 Active 27 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $79,999 Active 26 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $79,999 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $79,999 Active 24 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $79,999 Active 23 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $79,999 Active 22 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $79,999 Active 21 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $79,999 Active 20 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $79,999 Active 19 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $79,999 Active 18 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $79,999 Active 17 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $79,999 Active 16 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $79,999 Active 15 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $79,999 Active 14 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $79,999 Active 13 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $79,999 Active 12 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $79,999 Active 11 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $79,999 Active 10 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $79,999 Active 9 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $79,999 Active 8 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $79,999 Active 7 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $79,999 Active 6 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $79,999 Active 5 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,999 Active 4 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $79,999 Active 3 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $79,999 Active 2 DOM
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2026-08-03pricedays on market $79,999 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 216 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 215 DOM
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2025-10-28$79,900 Active 911-char remark
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2025-06-06$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,214 · $268/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,214 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$3,214
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,263
- − Management
- −$2,263
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $13,336
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,201
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This two-family home is in good condition with recent updates and improvements. It is well-maintained and ready for immediate rental or resale.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more tenants ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance and tune-up — Ensures efficient operation and reduces utility costs ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ogdensburg City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621660
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,253
- Composite
- 33.33/100
- National rank
- #5497
- State rank
- #531 of 590 in NY
Livability — Ogdensburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11365
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ogdensburg, NY
- County
- St. Lawrence · 110,027 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,615
- Household income
- $66,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2% of renters
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Polish 6% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 9% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.07%
- Current HPI
- 264.0261
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+61.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-03 Listed $79,999 SLCMLS
- 2026-06-06 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-10-28 Listed $79,900 CNYIS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $79,900 SLCMLS
- 2016-05-06 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2015-06-12 Listed $45,000 CNYIS
- 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2013-08-23 Listed $49,500 CNYIS
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,214 · -37.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…