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3360 Big Flat Rd #54
C+ Composite 63.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

3360 Big Flat Rd #54 · Wye, MT 59804
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 213 Days on market
Built 1994 ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • New siding
  • New water heater

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANBRAND NEW FLOORINGNEW ROOFNEW SIDINGNEW WATER HEATERINSULATED WALLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land is leased

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected; Propane; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Updated/remodeled; Has a view; Built by Champion; Entry level not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Storage; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Front porch; Shed(s); Level topography/lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 1.5% in Wye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#156 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Missoula H S (urban): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #53 of 116 in MT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 773 units permitted in Missoula County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Missoula County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.40%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,824
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3360 Big Flat Rd #45 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+5%) 24mo $129,000 $101 71
3360 Big Flat Rd #17 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,292 (+6%) 24mo $80,000 $62 70
3360 Big Flat Rd #42 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-10%) 14mo $70,000 $64 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,367
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$38,622
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59804

Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$434

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,900 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 212 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 207 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 206 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 204 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 203 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 202 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 201 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,900 Active 198 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 197 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 196 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 195 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 194 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,900 Active 193 DOM
  18. 2026-02-17
    price $149,900
  19. 2025-11-18
    listed $155,000 Active
  20. 2025-10-11
    price $165,000
  21. 2025-09-19
    price $169,000
  22. 2025-09-03
    listed $174,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,325
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,786
− Management
−$1,786
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$2,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$719
After-tax cash flow
$4,486/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Missoula H S
NCES district ID
3018540
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,814
Composite
34.87/100
National rank
#5087
State rank
#53 of 116 in MT

Livability — Wye

Score
63/100
State rank
#156
US rank
#15003

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Missoula County · 100,878 people
Metro
Missoula, MT
Population (ZIP)
8,123
Household income
$76,266
Rent vs Own
34.2% rent · 65.8% own
Severe rent burden
311.0

Population outlook (Missoula County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,248 people
By 2030
133,571 · +5.0%
By 2040
144,833 · +13.8%
By 2050
156,753 · +23.2%
By 2075
189,373 · +48.8%
By 2100
217,637 · +71.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Missoula

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.4) · D 59.0% · R 37.5% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.3pp toward R · 2008: 26.7pp · 2024: 21.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.4 2020: D+23.6 2016: D+15.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+26.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -439.88%
Current HPI
270.8595
Rent YoY
Metro
Missoula, MT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $149,900 MRMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $155,000 MRMLS
  • 2025-10-11 Price Changed $165,000 MRMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $169,000 MRMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $174,000 MRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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