3360 Big Flat Rd #54 · Wye, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 21 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- New siding
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land is leased
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected; Propane; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Updated/remodeled; Has a view; Built by Champion; Entry level not specified; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Other foundation
- Exterior features: Storage; Covered patio/porch; Deck; Front porch; Shed(s); Level topography/lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 1.5% in Wye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#156 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Missoula H S (urban): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #53 of 116 in MT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 773 units permitted in Missoula County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Missoula County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.40%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,824
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3360 Big Flat Rd #45 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 24mo | $129,000 | $101 | 71 |
| 3360 Big Flat Rd #17 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (+6%) | 24mo | $80,000 | $62 | 70 |
| 3360 Big Flat Rd #42 | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-10%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $64 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,367
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $38,622
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59804
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,860 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-02-17price $149,900
-
2025-11-18$155,000 Active
-
2025-10-11price $165,000
-
2025-09-19price $169,000
-
2025-09-03$174,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,786
- − Management
- −$1,786
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$719
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Missoula H S
- NCES district ID
- 3018540
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,814
- Composite
- 34.87/100
- National rank
- #5087
- State rank
- #53 of 116 in MT
Livability — Wye
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #156
- US rank
- #15003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Missoula County · 100,878 people
- Metro
- Missoula, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,123
- Household income
- $76,266
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 311.0
Population outlook (Missoula County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,248 people
- By 2030
- 133,571 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 144,833 · +13.8%
- By 2050
- 156,753 · +23.2%
- By 2075
- 189,373 · +48.8%
- By 2100
- 217,637 · +71.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Missoula
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.4) · D 59.0% · R 37.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: 26.7pp · 2024: 21.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.4 2020: D+23.6 2016: D+15.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+26.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -439.88%
- Current HPI
- 270.8595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Missoula, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-13.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $149,900 MRMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $155,000 MRMLS
- 2025-10-11 Price Changed $165,000 MRMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $169,000 MRMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listed $174,000 MRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…