11006 Wood Run Cir · Green Oak, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. Built in 2015 and offering almost 1,500 square feet of living space, this home features an open floor plan that seamlessly connects the spacious living room, dining area, and kitchen with a large island, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized walk-in closet and a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy peaceful wooded views from the backyard, as the home backs directly to the woods, creating added privacy and a serene setting. A storage shed provides convenient extra space for tools and outdoor equipment. Located in the award-winning South Lyon School District, this home combines space, functionality, and a prime location. Lot rent is $895 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include walking trails, pool, two dog parks, tennis courts, basketball courts, clubhouse, and playground. Pets are allowed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. Agents, you do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Storage shed
- Large island
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Community amenities include pool, clubhouse, fitness center, and tennis courts; Community pool is in-ground and indoor
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no garage)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Shed(s); Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.1 acre (50 x 100)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range hood; Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Lighting; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- South Lyon Community Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #74 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 345 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.03%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $26,919
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.06×
- Total profit
- $76,929
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48178
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,610 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $651
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11222 Shady Brook Ct Unit 367 South Lyon, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,549 | $0.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 11803 Stoneridge Ct Unit 307 South Lyon, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,569 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-28$89,900 Active
-
2026-05-27$89,900 Active 1369-char remark
Show marketing remark (1369 chars)
Step into this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. Built in 2015 and offering almost 1,500 square feet of living space, this home features an open floor plan that seamlessly connects the spacious living room, dining area, and kitchen with a large island, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized walk-in closet and a large walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms provide flexible space for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy peaceful wooded views from the backyard, as the home backs directly to the woods, creating added privacy and a serene setting. A storage shed provides convenient extra space for tools and outdoor equipment. Located in the award-winning South Lyon School District, this home combines space, functionality, and a prime location. Lot rent is $895 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include walking trails, pool, two dog parks, tennis courts, basketball courts, clubhouse, and playground. Pets are allowed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. Agents, you do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,326
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,546
- − Management
- −$1,546
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $6,785
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,628
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,184/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Lyon Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2632250
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,419
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2372
- State rank
- #74 of 540 in MI
Livability — Green Oak
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,789
- Household income
- $131,558
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 141.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.96%
- Current HPI
- 197.5122
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…