5231 Greywood Dr · Cross Lanes, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors, this cute bungalow with a nice yard would make a perfect rental property. House needs a little TLC to make it a unique home.
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- Listed 81 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas Range
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $683 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 4.8% in Cross Lanes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#90 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Point Harmony Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #130 of 377 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Andrew Jackson Middle School (math 23% / reading 41%, grade F, #46 of 109 statewide, top 46%, 512 students, 0% FRL); Nitro High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #21 of 110 statewide, top 26%, 827 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.20%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,944
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5020 Kilgore Ln | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (-2%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $142 | 65 |
| 5294A Questa Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+4%) | 5mo | $153,900 | $128 | 64 |
| 5225 Beechcrest Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (+8%) | 3mo | $39,900 | $32 | 60 |
| 5106 Dublin Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-13%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $50 | 59 |
| 5502 Lynnwood Dr | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (-15%) | 4mo | $132,500 | $135 | 57 |
| 5247 Doc Bailey Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+2%) | 11mo | $31,000 | $26 | 57 |
| 5114 Rockdale Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-13%) | 14mo | $118,041 | $118 | 53 |
| 5105 Greg Tan Ln | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-13%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 5137 Waycross Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-9%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $144 | 46 |
| 5311 Katie Ln | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-9%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $149 | 43 |
| 5411 Kendall Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-13%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $120 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $33,423
- Equity at exit
- $9,244
- IRR
- 50.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $85,028
- Equity at exit
- $5,361
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25313
- Home prices YoY
- -12.4%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $177/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $683
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-04-24price $62,000
-
2026-04-13price $65,000
-
2026-02-16$68,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $177 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $366 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$188/yr (+$16/mo · 106.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$177
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $7,615
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,828
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,366/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kanawha County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400600
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,329
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6540
- State rank
- #17 of 55 in WV
Livability — Cross Lanes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #10503
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cross Lanes, WV
- County
- Kanawha County · 33,502 people
- Metro
- Charleston, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,760
- Household income
- $64,385
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 324.0
Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,946 people
- By 2030
- 172,906 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 159,874 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 148,148 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 123,257 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 96,454 · -46.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.10%
- Current HPI
- 199.1903
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charleston, WV
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-8.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — KVBOR
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $62,000 KVBOR
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $65,000 KVBOR
- 2026-02-16 Listed $68,000 KVBOR
Property tax history
-4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $177 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…