9851 Bolsa Ave #175 · Westminster, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Doublewide Lancer home built in 1975 * 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. * * Completely upgraded, move-in ready * It's almost like 3 studios in one with its own kitchen, with separate entrances. * Central heating * Refrigerator, Stoves, Central A/C and storage shed are included * Long driveway with with 4-5 car parking spaces * Additional guest parking spaces are close by * Corner lot home. * In All-ages Community!!! * Space rent to new owner is $1535.
Key facts
- Central heating
- Separate entrance
- Own kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
- Recommended offer: $309k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 1.9% in Westminster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#509 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Garden Grove Unified (suburban): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #132 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,675/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 4639% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.99%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,970
- List price
- $339,900
- Delta
- 68.29%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9851 Bolsa Ave #198 | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 1,458 (+1%) | 6mo | $380,000 | $261 | 93 |
| 9851 Bolsa Ave #196 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-1%) | 5mo | $400,000 | $282 | 89 |
| 9800 BOLSA Ave #14 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 5mo | $158,000 | $110 | 79 |
| 9800 Bolsa #79 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 5mo | $207,000 | $144 | 79 |
| 10200 Bolsa #126 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $108 | 69 |
| 10200 Bolsa Ave #91 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $74 | 69 |
| 9800 BOLSA #48 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (+7%) | 5mo | $142,500 | $93 | 68 |
| 10200 Bolsa #69 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 3mo | $158,000 | $110 | 67 |
| 9702 Bolsa Ave #189 | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (-9%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $255 | 64 |
| 9702 Bolsa #86 | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $253 | 63 |
| 14362 Bushard St #38 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-8%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $201 | 50 |
| 14362 Bushard #39 | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (-15%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $204 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-23,356
- Equity at exit
- $50,680
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $10,751
- Equity at exit
- $29,388
Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92683
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,675 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,782
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$425 /mo · $5,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$772
- Net cashflow
- $554
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $789 | -5% $672 | +0% $554 | +5% $437 | +10% $319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $264 | -5% $409 | +0% $554 | +5% $699 | +10% $844 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $725 | -0.5pp $641 | base $554 | +0.5pp $466 | +1.0pp $376 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,975
- Closing costs
- $10,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15100 Brookhurst St Unit 327 Westminster, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $3,996 | $3.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 15123 Brookhurst St Westminster, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 705 | $2,940 | $4.17 | 0d | 5 | 0.29mi |
| 15100 Brookhurst St Westminster, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $4,828 | $3.85 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14846 Brownstone Ln Westminster, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1454 | $3,600 | $2.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 15400 Belgrade St Westminster, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 888 | $2,950 | $3.32 | 45d | 4 | 0.50mi |
| 9869 Bria Ln Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $3,995 | $2.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 15100 Moran St Westminster, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $3,768 | $3.49 | 0d | 7 | 0.58mi |
| 9551 Robin Ave Westminster, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $4,000 | $3.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10500 Westminster Ave Garden Grove, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $3,100 | $3.10 | 16d | 5 | 1.07mi |
| 10500 Westminster Ave Unit 9 Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $2,595 | $2.62 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 10402 Bowen Cir Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $3,900 | $3.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 15951 Los Reyes St Unit A Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,100 | $3.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8810 Hewitt Pl #22 Garden Grove, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1025 | $3,200 | $3.12 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5010 W Maurie Ave Santa Ana, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $4,000 | $2.53 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5313 W Lehnhardt Ave Santa Ana, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $4,700 | $2.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $339,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $339,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $339,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-03-03$339,900 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
* Doublewide Lancer home built in 1975 * 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. * * Completely upgraded, move-in ready * It's almost like 3 studios in one with its own kitchen, with separate entrances. * Central heating * Refrigerator, Stoves, Central A/C and storage shed are included * Long driveway with with 4-5 car parking spaces * Additional guest parking spaces are close by * Corner lot home. * In All-ages Community!!! * Space rent to new owner is $1535.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,098
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,040
- − Property taxes
- −$5,098
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,528
- − Management
- −$3,528
- − Depreciation
- −$9,888
- Taxable income
- $1,316
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$316
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,334/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garden Grove Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0614880
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,089
- Composite
- 44.89/100
- National rank
- #2715
- State rank
- #132 of 517 in CA
Livability — Westminster
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #509
- US rank
- #17242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westminster, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 89,833
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 89,833
- Household income
- $85,585
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4639.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 51% Hispanic / Latino 24% White 20% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Vietnamese 40% Spanish 18% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -917.95%
- Current HPI
- 410.3463
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.01%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Listed $339,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $80 · +2176.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…