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9851 Bolsa Ave #175
C Composite 55.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$339,900

9851 Bolsa Ave #175 · Westminster, CA 92683
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 110 Days on market
Built 1975 $236/sqft · 68% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Doublewide Lancer home built in 1975 * 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. * * Completely upgraded, move-in ready * It's almost like 3 studios in one with its own kitchen, with separate entrances. * Central heating * Refrigerator, Stoves, Central A/C and storage shed are included * Long driveway with with 4-5 car parking spaces * Additional guest parking spaces are close by * Corner lot home. * In All-ages Community!!! * Space rent to new owner is $1535.

Key facts

  • Central heating
  • Separate entrance
  • Own kitchen

Tags

COMPLETELY UPGRADEDOWN KITCHENSEPARATE ENTRANCECENTRAL HEATINGSTORAGE SHEDLONG DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
  • Recommended offer: $309k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 1.9% in Westminster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#509 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Garden Grove Unified (suburban): math 38% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #132 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,675/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 4639% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $309,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.25%
Cash-on-cash
6.99%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,970
List price
$339,900
Delta
68.29%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9851 Bolsa Ave #198 0.00mi 3/3.0 1,458 (+1%) 6mo $380,000 $261 93
9851 Bolsa Ave #196 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-1%) 5mo $400,000 $282 89
9800 BOLSA Ave #14 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 5mo $158,000 $110 79
9800 Bolsa #79 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 5mo $207,000 $144 79
10200 Bolsa #126 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 1mo $155,000 $108 69
10200 Bolsa Ave #91 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 1mo $107,000 $74 69
9800 BOLSA #48 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (+7%) 5mo $142,500 $93 68
10200 Bolsa #69 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 3mo $158,000 $110 67
9702 Bolsa Ave #189 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,314 (-9%) 1mo $335,000 $255 64
9702 Bolsa #86 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-7%) 1mo $340,000 $253 63
14362 Bushard St #38 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-8%) 8mo $265,000 $201 50
14362 Bushard #39 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,227 (-15%) 6mo $250,000 $204 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-23,356
Equity at exit
$50,680
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$10,751
Equity at exit
$29,388

Cash invested: $95,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92683

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,675 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,782
Tax est. 1.5%
$425 /mo · $5,098/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$772
Net cashflow
$554

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,973
Max offer price $339,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $789 -5% $672 +0% $554 +5% $437 +10% $319
Rent -10% $264 -5% $409 +0% $554 +5% $699 +10% $844
Rate -1.0pp $725 -0.5pp $641 base $554 +0.5pp $466 +1.0pp $376

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,975
Closing costs
$10,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15100 Brookhurst St Unit 327 Westminster, CA 2.0 2.0 1254 $3,996 $3.19 0d 1 0.27mi
15123 Brookhurst St Westminster, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 705 $2,940 $4.17 0d 5 0.29mi
15100 Brookhurst St Westminster, CA 2.0 2.0 1254 $4,828 $3.85 13d 1 0.32mi
14846 Brownstone Ln Westminster, CA 3.0 2.5 1454 $3,600 $2.48 0d 1 0.34mi
15400 Belgrade St Westminster, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 888 $2,950 $3.32 45d 4 0.50mi
9869 Bria Ln Garden Grove, CA 2.0 2.5 1780 $3,995 $2.24 3d 1 0.51mi
15100 Moran St Westminster, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $3,768 $3.49 0d 7 0.58mi
9551 Robin Ave Westminster, CA 3.0 2.0 1302 $4,000 $3.07 45d 1 0.63mi
10500 Westminster Ave Garden Grove, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $3,100 $3.10 16d 5 1.07mi
10500 Westminster Ave Unit 9 Garden Grove, CA 2.0 1.0 992 $2,595 $2.62 6d 1 1.07mi
10402 Bowen Cir Garden Grove, CA 3.0 2.0 1219 $3,900 $3.20 45d 1 1.18mi
15951 Los Reyes St Unit A Fountain Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,100 $3.10 45d 1 1.35mi
8810 Hewitt Pl #22 Garden Grove, CA 2.0 2.5 1025 $3,200 $3.12 0d 1 1.40mi
5010 W Maurie Ave Santa Ana, CA 3.0 2.0 1580 $4,000 $2.53 3d 1 1.42mi
5313 W Lehnhardt Ave Santa Ana, CA 3.0 2.0 1750 $4,700 $2.69 45d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $339,900 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $339,900 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $339,900 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $339,900 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $339,900 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $339,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $339,900 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $339,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $339,900 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $339,900 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $339,900 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $339,900 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $339,900 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $339,900 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $339,900 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-03-03
    listed $339,900 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    * Doublewide Lancer home built in 1975 * 3 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. * * Completely upgraded, move-in ready * It's almost like 3 studios in one with its own kitchen, with separate entrances. * Central heating * Refrigerator, Stoves, Central A/C and storage shed are included * Long driveway with with 4-5 car parking spaces * Additional guest parking spaces are close by * Corner lot home. * In All-ages Community!!! * Space rent to new owner is $1535.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,098
− Mortgage interest
−$19,040
− Property taxes
−$5,098
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,528
− Management
−$3,528
− Depreciation
−$9,888
Taxable income
$1,316
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$316
After-tax cash flow
$6,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garden Grove Unified
NCES district ID
0614880
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$60,089
Composite
44.89/100
National rank
#2715
State rank
#132 of 517 in CA

Livability — Westminster

Score
62/100
State rank
#509
US rank
#17242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B- Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westminster, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
89,833
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
89,833
Household income
$85,585
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
4639.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 51% Hispanic / Latino 24% White 20% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
46% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
35% English-only · Vietnamese 40% Spanish 18% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -917.95%
Current HPI
410.3463
Rent YoY
▲ 2.01%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $339,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $80 · +2176.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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