Palm Exterior Plan · Freeport, FL 32439

$259,900

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,470 sqft · Townhouse · 164 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Palm Townhome exterior unit at Genoa Landing. This townhome features a welcoming space that has three bedrooms, two and a half bathrooms, and a convenient single car garage. As you enter this townhome you will find a hall leading to an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining area, designed for entertaining and everyday living. Multiple windows illuminate the living area providing for natural light. The kitchen serves as the culinary center with its spacious center island and cabinetry for storage as well as a pantry. The first floor is the heart of the home, while the privacy of the second level holds all bedrooms, ensuring a quiet retreat. The primary bedroom has a generous

Key facts

• Culinary center
• Generous closet
• Open-concept kitchen

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHEN
• NATURAL LIGHT
• SPACIOUS CENTER ISLAND
• CULINARY CENTER
• PRIVACY OF THE SECOND LEVEL
• GENEROUS CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 10 Rudder Ln, Freeport, FL 32439
• Financial info: List price $254,900

Exterior

• Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
• Home design: Single-family plan home; Active listing
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,470

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
• Interior features: Plan home (Palm Exterior plan)

🏗️ New construction. The $259,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $236,670.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $260k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (2.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (14.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $222k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#520 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 1012 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $222,240 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.18%
• DSCR: 1.10
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $236,670
• Comps found: 10

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
13 S Main Deck Dr	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,470 (0%)	0mo	$240,777	$164	96
25 S Main Deck Dr	0.08mi	3/2.5	1,459 (-1%)	0mo	$232,000	$159	94
22 Rudder Ln	0.01mi	3/2.5	1,470 (0%)	6mo	$279,900	$190	94
18 Rudder Ln	0.01mi	3/2.5	1,459 (-1%)	5mo	$243,250	$167	94
41 S Main Deck Dr	0.08mi	3/2.5	1,470 (0%)	3mo	$236,900	$161	94
14 Rudder Ln	0.02mi	3/2.5	1,459 (-1%)	6mo	$234,900	$161	93
45 S Main Deck Dr	0.08mi	3/2.5	1,459 (-1%)	3mo	$222,050	$152	92
51 S Main Deck Dr	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,459 (-1%)	3mo	$229,900	$158	92
57 S Main Deck Dr	0.09mi	3/2.5	1,459 (-1%)	3mo	$233,750	$160	92
61 S Main Deck Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5	1,470 (0%)	3mo	$239,900	$163	92

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.48×
• Total profit: $-34,188
• Equity at exit: $35,288

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-33,777
• Equity at exit: $20,463

Cash invested: $66,268 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32439

• Home prices YoY: -4.2%
• Rents YoY: 1.4%
• Active inventory: 1012
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,222 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,241
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$296 /mo · $3,550/yr
• Insurance: −$99
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$467
• Net cashflow: $120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,070

Max offer price $236,670

Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $284	-5% $202	+0% $120	+5% $38	+10% $-43
Rent	-10% $-55	-5% $32	+0% $120	+5% $208	+10% $296
Rate	-1.0pp $239	-0.5pp $180	base $120	+0.5pp $59	+1.0pp $-4

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $59,168
• Closing costs: $7,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 22 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
51 S Main Deck Dr Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1500	$2,095	$1.40	21d	1	0.08mi
47 S Main Deck Dr Unit 1 Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1459	$2,000	$1.37	21d	1	0.08mi
41 S Main Deck Dr Unit 1 Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1500	$2,195	$1.46	21d	1	0.08mi
103 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1713	$2,095	$1.22	14d	1	0.31mi
160 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1223	$2,495	$2.04	21d	1	0.36mi
170 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1253	$2,300	$1.84	21d	1	0.36mi
2 Polk St Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1155	$1,550	$1.34	21d	1	0.67mi
266 Emr AVE Freeport, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	909	$985	$1.08	14d	5	0.72mi
3495 Sanctuary WAY Melbourne, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1002	$2,412	$2.41	14d	38	0.77mi
15 Oakfield Dr Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1531	$2,350	$1.53	14d	1	1.01mi
70 Jakes Way Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1500	$2,100	$1.40	21d	1	1.11mi
255 N Jackson St Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1456	$2,100	$1.44	21d	1	1.15mi
156 Date Palm Ln Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1432	$2,300	$1.61	21d	1	1.20mi
151 Date Palm Ln Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1484	$1,775	$1.20	14d	1	1.21mi
532 Marquis Way Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1807	$2,950	$1.63	21d	1	1.22mi
15284 U.S. 331 Business Freeport, FL	2.0	3.0	1106	$1,400	$1.27	21d	1	1.23mi
259 N Sand Palm Rd Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1336	$1,600	$1.20	21d	1	1.29mi
246 N Sand Palm Rd Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1471	$1,650	$1.12	21d	1	1.31mi
147 N Sand Palm Rd Freeport, FL	3.0	2.5	1471	$1,595	$1.08	21d	1	1.34mi
201 Marsh Lndg S Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1757	$2,450	$1.39	21d	1	1.38mi
76 N Sand Palm Rd Freeport, FL	2.0	3.0	1128	$1,450	$1.29	21d	1	1.42mi
130 Speckled Trout Ln N Freeport, FL	3.0	2.0	1500	$2,350	$1.57	21d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   price $259,900 Active 164 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $257,400 Active 164 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $257,400 Active 163 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $257,400 Active 162 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $257,400 Active 161 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $257,400 Active 159 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $257,400 Active 158 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $257,400 Active 156 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   pricedays on market $257,400 Active 155 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $254,900 Active 154 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $254,900 Active 153 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $254,900 Active 150 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $254,900 Active 149 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $254,900 Active 148 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $254,900 Active 147 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $254,900 Active 146 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $254,900 Active 145 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,669
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,257
• − Property taxes: −$3,550
• − Insurance: −$1,183
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,134
• − Management: −$2,134
• − Depreciation: −$6,885
• Taxable loss: −$2,474
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$594
• After-tax cash flow: $2,035/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Walton
• NCES district ID: 1201980
• Math proficiency: 62% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 61% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $46,794
• Composite: 52.03/100
• National rank: #1634
• State rank: #10 of 73 in FL

Livability — Freeport

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #520
• US rank: #9579

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Freeport, FL
• County: Walton County · 70,839 people
• City population: 15,328
• Metro: Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
• Population (ZIP): 15,328
• Household income: $83,227
• Rent vs Own: 19.9% rent · 80.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 172.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 80,014 people
• By 2030: 88,120 · +10.1%
• By 2040: 103,537 · +29.4%
• By 2050: 117,034 · +46.3%
• By 2075: 143,901 · +79.8%
• By 2100: 155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -15.18%
• Current HPI: 350.4692
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.40%
• Metro: Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B