CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
21 Elm St
B- Composite 68.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

21 Elm St · Hampton, GA 30228
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 396 Days on market
Built 1967 0.31 ac lot $141/sqft · 17% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location ! Location ! Location ! 2 for 1 Deal ....(1 Parcel with 2 Lots) Great Opportunity to Build Your Dream Home and Income/Investment Property Together. Perfect for those who are Not looking to deal with a HOA/Subdivision. Convenient to Downtown Hampton, Schools and Shopping.

Key facts

  • Opportunity to build
  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Built 1967

Tags

OPPORTUNITY TO BUILDINCOME INVESTMENT PROPERTYCONVENIENT TO DOWNTOWNCONVENIENT TO SCHOOLSCONVENIENT TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 396 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 396 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.17%
Cash-on-cash
24.55%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$257,323
List price
$95,000
Delta
-63.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28 Elm St 0.13mi 2/1.0 744 (+11%) 0mo $160,000 $215 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$18,074
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$55,569
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30228

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
547
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,510 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$544

Break-even live

Break-even rent $821
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $598 -5% $571 +0% $544 +5% $517 +10% $490
Rent -10% $425 -5% $484 +0% $544 +5% $604 +10% $663
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $568 base $544 +0.5pp $520 +1.0pp $494

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 396 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 395 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 394 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 393 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 391 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 387 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 386 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 385 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 382 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 381 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 380 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 379 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 378 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    price $95,000 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Location ! Location ! Location ! 2 for 1 Deal... Great Opportunity to Build Your Dream Home and Income/Investment Property Together. Perfect for those who are Not looking to deal with a HOA/Subdivision. Convenient to Downtown Hampton, Schools and Shopping.

  15. 2026-05-07
    price $95,000 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Location ! Location ! Location ! 2 for 1 Deal... Great Opportunity to Build Your Dream Home and Income/Investment Property Together. Perfect for those who are Not looking to deal with a HOA/Subdivision. Convenient to Downtown Hampton, Schools and Shopping.

  16. 2026-02-26
    price $95,000
  17. 2026-02-26
    price $95,000
  18. 2025-05-06
    listed $100,000 Active 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Location ! Location ! Location ! 2 for 1 Deal... Great Opportunity to Build Your Dream Home and Income/Investment Property Together. Perfect for those who are Not looking to deal with a HOA/Subdivision. Convenient to Downtown Hampton, Schools and Shopping.

  19. 2025-05-06
    listed $100,000 Active 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Location ! Location ! Location ! 2 for 1 Deal... Great Opportunity to Build Your Dream Home and Income/Investment Property Together. Perfect for those who are Not looking to deal with a HOA/Subdivision. Convenient to Downtown Hampton, Schools and Shopping.

  20. 2025-05-06
    listed $100,000 New
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Location ! Location ! Location ! 2 for 1 Deal... Great Opportunity to Build Your Dream Home and Income/Investment Property Together. Perfect for those who are Not looking to deal with a HOA/Subdivision. Convenient to Downtown Hampton, Schools and Shopping.

  21. 2025-05-06
    listed $100,000 New
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Location ! Location ! Location ! 2 for 1 Deal... Great Opportunity to Build Your Dream Home and Income/Investment Property Together. Perfect for those who are Not looking to deal with a HOA/Subdivision. Convenient to Downtown Hampton, Schools and Shopping.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,119
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,331
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,450
− Management
−$1,450
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$5,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,279
After-tax cash flow
$5,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hampton

Score
65/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#12664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampton, GA
County
Henry County · 316,359 people
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
52,402
Household income
$82,619
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1285.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.11%
Current HPI
222.0357
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $95,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $95,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $95,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $95,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-05-06 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-05-06 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-05-06 Listed $100,000 FMLS
  • 2025-05-06 Listed $100,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,331 · +18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…