621 Carriagehouse Ln Unit 9F · Garland, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.56%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-established community in Garland, Texas. This thoughtfully designed residence offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces suited for a variety of lifestyles. The interior features an open and practical floor plan that allows for flexible furniture arrangements and everyday living. Natural light enhances the main living areas, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere throughout the home. The kitchen is efficiently arranged with ample cabinet and counter space, supporting both daily use and entertaining. Adjacent dining and living areas provide a seamless flow, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests. The bedroom areas are well proportioned and offer privacy, while the bathrooms are designed for convenience and ease of maintenance. Additional features assigned parking. The property is situated near major roadways, shopping centers, dining options, parks, and public services, offering convenient access to a wide range of local amenities. Public transportation routes and commuter connections are also nearby. This property presents an excellent opportunity for anyone seeking a low-maintenance home in an accessible Garland location. Schedule a showing today to explore the possibilities this residence has to offer.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Convenient access
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $160k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.5% in Garland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in TX, #4,447 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, health & safety F.
- Garland ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #553 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 230 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.77%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,196
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -9.19%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-23,860
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-29,855
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75040
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 230
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,865 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$264
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633 Carriagehouse Ln Unit 3I Garland, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 916 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 312 Cole St Garland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,695 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1405 Meandering Way Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,100 | $1.45 | 7d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 202 Belt Line Rd Garland, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,570 | $1.59 | 3d | 10 | 0.55mi |
| 613 Dawn Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $2,200 | $2.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 510 Sunset Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 618 Pleasant Valley Rd Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1003 | $2,095 | $2.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2606 Shalimar Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,850 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2013 Victoria Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,900 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2013 Victoria Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,900 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 822 Milky Way Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $2,100 | $1.84 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 502 Moonlight Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2005 Glencrest Ln Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $2,400 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1630 Dell Oak Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $2,100 | $1.66 | 7d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1406 Yukon Dr Garland, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1009 Foxe Basin Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1019 | $1,850 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 625 Camilla Ln Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1506 Whiteoak Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1506 Whiteoak Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 902 Town Center Blvd Garland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $2,130 | $2.07 | 4d | 108 | 1.13mi |
| 1617 Meridian Way Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1841 Sage Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,995 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1834 Sage Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3400 Firewheel Pkwy Unit 1015 Garland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,190 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 617 Rosewood Hills Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 501 Rosewood Hills Dr Garland, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1304 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 18d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 305 River Fern Ave Garland, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1594 | $1,927 | $1.21 | 3d | 45 | 1.34mi |
| 3422 Firewheel Pkwy Unit 1317 Garland, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $2,020 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3422 Firewheel Pkwy Garland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1074 | $2,266 | $2.11 | 43d | 33 | 1.36mi |
| 821 Travis St Garland, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $1,875 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3422 Firewheel Pkwy Garland, TX | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1470 | $3,170 | $2.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $264 · $3,168/yr
- Likely covers
- parking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-02-09$160,000 Active 1261-char remark
Show marketing remark (1261 chars)
Welcome to this well-established community in Garland, Texas. This thoughtfully designed residence offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces suited for a variety of lifestyles. The interior features an open and practical floor plan that allows for flexible furniture arrangements and everyday living. Natural light enhances the main living areas, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere throughout the home. The kitchen is efficiently arranged with ample cabinet and counter space, supporting both daily use and entertaining. Adjacent dining and living areas provide a seamless flow, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests. The bedroom areas are well proportioned and offer privacy, while the bathrooms are designed for convenience and ease of maintenance. Additional features assigned parking. The property is situated near major roadways, shopping centers, dining options, parks, and public services, offering convenient access to a wide range of local amenities. Public transportation routes and commuter connections are also nearby. This property presents an excellent opportunity for anyone seeking a low-maintenance home in an accessible Garland location. Schedule a showing today to explore the possibilities this residence has to offer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,790
- − Management
- −$1,790
- − HOA
- −$3,168
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$1,190
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$286
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This moderate rehab project offers a good opportunity to increase the home's value with updates that improve both its appearance and functionality.
Repairs flagged
- Minor wooden fence — some debris
- Minor exterior paint — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace carpet with hardwood — increases both resale and rental value
- Both repair wooden fence — improves curb appeal and safety
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| wooden fence · some debris | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior paint · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace carpet with hardwood — increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Both repair wooden fence — improves curb appeal and safety ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820340
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,392
- Composite
- 28.63/100
- National rank
- #6706
- State rank
- #553 of 826 in TX
Livability — Garland
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #4447
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garland, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 246,342
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,606
- Household income
- $74,519
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1746.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% Two or more races 29% White 21% Black 15% Asian 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 40% Vietnamese 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.91%
- Current HPI
- 325.6966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.43%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $160,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…