19421 Forrer St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DO NOT APPROACH THE TENANT OR PROPERTY. TENANT OCCUPIED - 1 YR LEASE IN PLACE RENT IS $1125.00 Charming brick home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home, finished basement and 1 car garage. The seller is also selling 19414 Forrer (side lot included) and 19400 Forrer if buyer is willing to buy all three plus the lot for a bulk price. No showing without an accepted offer. Property is subject to tenant rights. Don't miss out on this income producing property.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Built in 1943
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot about 0.11 acres; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (10 x 10); Second bedroom (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Michigan-style basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.33%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $57,962
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19470 Forrer St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 771 (-3%) | 6mo | $27,000 | $35 | 88 |
| 18950 Biltmore St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 781 (-2%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $59 | 71 |
| 19913 Prevost St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (-10%) | 4mo | $27,900 | $39 | 69 |
| 19510 Ferguson St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 717 (-10%) | 3mo | $21,000 | $29 | 65 |
| 19786 Oakfield St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 780 (-2%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 19751 Oakfield St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 735 (-7%) | 1mo | $17,500 | $24 | 57 |
| 19781 Oakfield St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (-5%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $86 | 55 |
| 19966 Prevost St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+12%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 19975 Ferguson St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 889 (+12%) | 1mo | $50,650 | $57 | 50 |
| 19142 Murray Hill St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 907 (+14%) | 8mo | $87,000 | $96 | 49 |
| 19318 Harlow St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 853 (+7%) | 9mo | $62,500 | $73 | 45 |
| 18410 Forrer St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 689 (-13%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $87 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $16,020
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $53,239
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,291 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $914/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $463
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $511 | -5% $487 | +0% $463 | +5% $439 | +10% $415 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $361 | -5% $412 | +0% $463 | +5% $514 | +10% $565 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $505 | -0.5pp $484 | base $463 | +0.5pp $441 | +1.0pp $418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $995 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 18481 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $980 | $1.03 | 6d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,222 | $1.63 | 16d | 5 | 0.68mi |
| 18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,275 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 20314 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,500 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 19918 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,375 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 20043 Fenmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,453 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,175 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 20539 Southfield Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 11d | 4 | 1.06mi |
| 18637 James Couzens Fwy Apt 103A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $835 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 18637 James Couzens Fwy Unit C103 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $835 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 20527 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,528 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,550 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 833 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 21697 Greenfield Rd Unit A-219 Oak Park, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,774 | $2.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 733 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,373 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 16500 N Park Dr Southfield, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1500 | $1,844 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $85,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$85,000 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
DO NOT APPROACH THE TENANT OR PROPERTY. TENANT OCCUPIED - 1 YR LEASE IN PLACE RENT IS $1125.00 Charming brick home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home, finished basement and 1 car garage. The seller is also selling 19414 Forrer (side lot included) and 19400 Forrer if buyer is willing to buy all three plus the lot for a bulk price. No showing without an accepted offer. Property is subject to tenant rights. Don't miss out on this income producing property.
-
2026-05-26$85,000 Active
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
DO NOT APPROACH THE TENANT OR PROPERTY. TENANT OCCUPIED - 1 YR LEASE IN PLACE RENT IS $1125.00 Charming brick home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home, finished basement and 1 car garage. The seller is also selling 19414 Forrer (side lot included) and 19400 Forrer if buyer is willing to buy all three plus the lot for a bulk price. No showing without an accepted offer. Property is subject to tenant rights. Don't miss out on this income producing property.
-
2026-05-26$85,000 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
DO NOT APPROACH THE TENANT OR PROPERTY. TENANT OCCUPIED - 1 YR LEASE IN PLACE RENT IS $1125.00 Charming brick home with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom home, finished basement and 1 car garage. The seller is also selling 19414 Forrer (side lot included) and 19400 Forrer if buyer is willing to buy all three plus the lot for a bulk price. No showing without an accepted offer. Property is subject to tenant rights. Don't miss out on this income producing property.
-
2007-12-13historical
-
2007-09-09$59,900
-
2007-07-17historical
-
2007-04-16$65,000
-
2007-01-16historical
-
2006-10-18$70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,111 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$198/yr (+$16/mo · 21.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$914
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,239
- − Management
- −$1,239
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,066
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+21.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $85,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2007-12-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-09-09 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-07-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-04-16 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-01-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-10-18 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $914 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…