🏷️ Likely Rental
5541 Court P · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This income-producing investment opportunity was previously rented through Section 8 at $1,000/month, with a $993 housing authority subsidy, offering strong cash flow potential at a $40,000 price point. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,035 square feet, a screened front porch, detached 1-car garage, private alley access, and off-street parking. The property will need repairs and updates before Section 8 re-approval, creating a strong value-add opportunity for investors looking to improve returns and long-term performance. Detached garage adds additional tenant appeal with storage, parking, or workshop flexibility. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, schools, and everyday ess
Key facts
- Screened front porch
- Private alley access
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Tax district: Birmingham
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with rear garage entry; On-street parking; Additional parking (m-level)
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing (previously built) home; Entry and all main rooms on main level; Not a tri-level, split-level, split-foyer, loft, or log home; Lot in subdivision; Lot number 11
- Construction: Siding (other) exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Screened porch; Sidewalks and street lights; Subdivision setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric stove; Eating area; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Carpet floors; Brick wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Ceilings: other (see remarks); No additional built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central Park Elementary School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #616 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 447 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.12%
- DSCR
- 3.36
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,330
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -49.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5541 Court P | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,035 (0%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $34 | 99 |
| 5800 Court Q | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,024 (-1%) | 2mo | $111,000 | $108 | 85 |
| 5625 Avenue Q | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,103 (+7%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $20 | 79 |
| 5621 Avenue Q | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+10%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $63 | 75 |
| 1560 Meadow Ln | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-3%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $86 | 74 |
| 1509 Burgin Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,011 (-2%) | 5mo | $17,500 | $17 | 73 |
| 1407 57th Pl W | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,084 (+5%) | 4mo | $79,000 | $73 | 70 |
| 6144 Court M | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,066 (+3%) | 2mo | $76,000 | $71 | 61 |
| 4929 Avenue R | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (-7%) | 5mo | $43,000 | $45 | 59 |
| 2724 Lee Ave SW | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-7%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $75 | 56 |
| 5512 Terrace J | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 972 (-6%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $23 | 52 |
| 1409 66th St W | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,161 (+12%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $82 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $29,848
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 63.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.85×
- Total profit
- $87,924
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,057 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,351/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $518 | -5% $507 | +0% $496 | +5% $484 | +10% $473 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $412 | -5% $454 | +0% $496 | +5% $538 | +10% $579 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $516 | -0.5pp $506 | base $496 | +0.5pp $485 | +1.0pp $475 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5713 Avenue P Unit P Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 20d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5820 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5832 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5725 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,073 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5808 Court O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1227 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1632 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,100 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1632 51st St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,000 | $0.75 | 2d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1069 | $950 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1606 49th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 709 30th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1273 | $1,000 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1340 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3116 Steiner Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4619 Terrace Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4724 Court R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $895 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 612 26th St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $825 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $800 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $875 | $0.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1410 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1045 57th St Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $975 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,123 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4825 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4801 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,000 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1607 43rd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,150 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1112 47th St W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1166 | $975 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4736 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4732 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1372 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 407 S Park Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 866-char remark
-
2026-05-15$40,000 Active 866-char remark
-
1980-09-01soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,351 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,351 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$1,351
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,014
- − Management
- −$1,014
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $5,696
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,367
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,582/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+34.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $40,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1980-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,351 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…