13573 Bluff Point Dr · Prairieville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$515,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Beautiful, Custom Built 3,432 sq. ft. home is sitting on a large corner lot in the Bluff Heritage Subdivision. It has 5 bedrooms, 4 baths & all the bells & whistles. As you enter in the French doors, you will see the beautiful plank wood flooring throughout most of the living area. The kitchen, keeping & breakfast areas are open with beautiful bead board & vaulted ceilings. This house has two kitchens, one with a gas stove & one with an electric stove so you can choose which one to cook on. The main kitchen features a center island, walk in pantry, gas stove, a sink with a corner window, slab granite & backsplash, stainless appliance plus much more. Kitchen opens to the large living room with a fireplace & built ins. The master bedroom features crown molding, bead board with a master bath that has all the extras in it as well. Four additional bedrooms have walk in closets, Plus a bonus room upstairs. Beautiful landscaping outside with an extending back patio, a partially fenced-in yard & an enclosed two car garage. This home is a must see. Call for your showing today.
Key facts
- Two kitchens
- Large corner lot
- Stainless appliance
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $515k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $484k (5.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $405k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $405k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.3% in Prairieville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($484k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.44%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $515,882
- List price
- $515,000
- Delta
- -0.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13276 Belle Reine Dr | 0.27mi | 5/4.5 | 3,035 (-12%) | 1mo | $505,939 | $167 | 65 |
| 36261 Belle Savanne Ave | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,071 (-10%) | 1mo | $474,900 | $155 | 64 |
| 36265 Belle Parc Ave | 0.25mi | 5/4.5 | 3,102 (-10%) | 9mo | $559,000 | $180 | 63 |
| 13248 Belle Reine Dr | 0.27mi | 5/4.5 | 3,059 (-11%) | 7mo | $523,936 | $171 | 61 |
| 36234 Belle Parc Ave | 0.21mi | 5/4.5 | 3,035 (-12%) | 10mo | $517,766 | $171 | 60 |
| 36124 Belle Parc Ave | 0.34mi | 5/4.5 | 3,059 (-11%) | 5mo | $522,823 | $171 | 60 |
| 36124 Belle Parc Ave | 0.34mi | 5/4.5 | 3,059 (-11%) | 5mo | $522,823 | $171 | 60 |
| 36443 C Braud Rd | 0.40mi | 5/3.0 | 3,076 (-10%) | 5mo | $799,900 | $260 | 56 |
| 36206 Cypress Way | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,281 (-4%) | 7mo | $675,000 | $206 | 55 |
| 36528 Royal Oak Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,315 (-3%) | 1mo | $700,000 | $211 | 52 |
| 14532 Oak Path Dr | 0.68mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 3,163 (-8%) | 0mo | $639,000 | $202 | 50 |
| 36436 Belle Savanne Ave | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,030 (-12%) | 10mo | $534,000 | $176 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-94,517
- Equity at exit
- $76,788
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-96,699
- Equity at exit
- $44,528
Cash invested: $144,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70734
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,701
- Tax from tax record
- −$432 /mo · $5,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$215
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$850
- Net cashflow
- $-173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $119 | -5% $-27 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-319 | +10% $-464 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-493 | -5% $-333 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-13 | +10% $147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $86 | -0.5pp $-42 | base $-173 | +0.5pp $-306 | +1.0pp $-442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $128,750
- Closing costs
- $15,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37313 Mindy Way Ave Prairieville, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2517 | $4,050 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
- Likely covers
- gaselectriclandscaping
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $515,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $515,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $515,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $515,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $515,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $515,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $539,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $539,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $539,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $539,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $539,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $539,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $539,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $539,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $539,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $539,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-04-06price $539,900 1121-char remark
Show marketing remark (1137 chars)
This Beautiful, Custom Built 3,432 sq. ft. home is sitting on a large corner lot in the Bluff Heritage Subdivision. It has 5 bedrooms, 4 baths & all the bells & whistles. As you enter in the French doors, you will see the beautiful plank wood flooring throughout most of the living area. The kitchen, keeping & breakfast areas are open with beautiful bead board & vaulted ceilings. This house has two kitchens, one with a gas stove & one with an electric stove so you can choose which one to cook on. The main kitchen features a center island, walk in pantry, gas stove, a sink with a corner window, slab granite & backsplash, stainless appliance plus much more. Kitchen opens to the large living room with a fireplace & built ins. The master bedroom features crown molding, bead board with a master bath that has all the extras in it as well. Four additional bedrooms have walk in closets, Plus a bonus room upstairs. Beautiful landscaping outside with an extending back patio, a partially fenced-in yard & an enclosed two car garage. This home is a must see. Call for your showing today.
-
2026-04-06price $539,900 1137-char remark
Show marketing remark (1137 chars)
This Beautiful, Custom Built 3,432 sq. ft. home is sitting on a large corner lot in the Bluff Heritage Subdivision. It has 5 bedrooms, 4 baths & all the bells & whistles. As you enter in the French doors, you will see the beautiful plank wood flooring throughout most of the living area. The kitchen, keeping & breakfast areas are open with beautiful bead board & vaulted ceilings. This house has two kitchens, one with a gas stove & one with an electric stove so you can choose which one to cook on. The main kitchen features a center island, walk in pantry, gas stove, a sink with a corner window, slab granite & backsplash, stainless appliance plus much more. Kitchen opens to the large living room with a fireplace & built ins. The master bedroom features crown molding, bead board with a master bath that has all the extras in it as well. Four additional bedrooms have walk in closets, Plus a bonus room upstairs. Beautiful landscaping outside with an extending back patio, a partially fenced-in yard & an enclosed two car garage. This home is a must see. Call for your showing today.
-
2026-03-28$559,000 Active 1137-char remark
Show marketing remark (1121 chars)
This Beautiful, Custom Built 3,432 sq. ft. home is sitting on a large corner lot in the Bluff Heritage Subdivision. It has 5 bedrooms, 4 baths & all the bells & whistles. As you enter in the French doors, you will see the beautiful plank wood flooring throughout most of the living area. The kitchen, keeping & breakfast areas are open with beautiful bead board & vaulted ceilings. This house has two kitchens, one with a gas stove & one with an electric stove so you can choose which one to cook on. The main kitchen features a center island, walk in pantry, gas stove, a sink with a corner window, slab granite & backsplash, stainless appliance plus much more. Kitchen opens to the large living room with a fireplace & built ins. The master bedroom features crown molding, bead board with a master bath that has all the extras in it as well. Four additional bedrooms have walk in closets, Plus a bonus room upstairs. Beautiful landscaping outside with an extending back patio, a partially fenced-in yard & an enclosed two car garage. This home is a must see. Call for your showing today.
-
2026-03-28$559,000 Active 1121-char remark
Show marketing remark (1121 chars)
This Beautiful, Custom Built 3,432 sq. ft. home is sitting on a large corner lot in the Bluff Heritage Subdivision. It has 5 bedrooms, 4 baths & all the bells & whistles. As you enter in the French doors, you will see the beautiful plank wood flooring throughout most of the living area. The kitchen, keeping & breakfast areas are open with beautiful bead board & vaulted ceilings. This house has two kitchens, one with a gas stove & one with an electric stove so you can choose which one to cook on. The main kitchen features a center island, walk in pantry, gas stove, a sink with a corner window, slab granite & backsplash, stainless appliance plus much more. Kitchen opens to the large living room with a fireplace & built ins. The master bedroom features crown molding, bead board with a master bath that has all the extras in it as well. Four additional bedrooms have walk in closets, Plus a bonus room upstairs. Beautiful landscaping outside with an extending back patio, a partially fenced-in yard & an enclosed two car garage. This home is a must see. Call for your showing today.
-
2021-03-04soldstatus $460,000
-
2021-03-03soldstatus Sold
-
2021-02-08status Pending
-
2021-01-21price $490,000
-
2020-10-26$500,000 Active
-
2020-10-26$490,000
-
2020-10-22historical
-
2020-04-21$510,000 Active
-
2020-04-21$510,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,185 · $432/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,185 · $432/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,848
- − Property taxes
- −$5,185
- − Insurance
- −$2,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,888
- − Management
- −$3,888
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$14,982
- Taxable loss
- −$11,066
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,656
- After-tax cash flow
- $581/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Prairieville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #8507
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 49,278
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,880
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.70%
- Current HPI
- 148.0987
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+5.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $539,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $539,900 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $559,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $559,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-03 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2021-02-08 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2021-01-21 Price Changed $490,000 GBRMLS
- 2020-10-26 Listed $490,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-10-26 Listed $500,000 GBRMLS
- 2020-10-22 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2020-04-21 Listed $510,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-04-21 Listed $510,000 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+14.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,185 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…