210 Ford St · Pennington Gap, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is an excellent chance to purchase a home in Pennington Gap. The property is ideally situated near downtown, providing convenient access to public services, exceptional musical performances at the Lee Theatre, and a variety of Southwest Virginia's finest dining options. The attractive pricing makes it a great choice for those seeking a charming residence or a valuable investment property. Contact us to schedule a viewing of this beautiful home.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Built 1921
- Listed 50 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is sloped; Lot dimensions approximately 48 x 201 x 46 x 200 (0.22 acres); Zoned residential
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available/connected; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Residential property (fixer condition)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Metal roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 4
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling; Fireplaces in master bedroom, kitchen, and living room (3 total)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#410 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lee County Public School District (rural): math 53% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #62 of 131 in VA (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dryden Elementary (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #696 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 273 students, 87% FRL); Pennington Middle (math 51% / reading 67%, grade B, #166 of 342 statewide, top 50%, 274 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 58% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($550 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $80k implies a 342% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.14%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,595
- List price
- $79,500
- Delta
- -23.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 Main St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,768 (+8%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $51 | 58 |
| 108 Burke St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+9%) | 22mo | $35,000 | $20 | 52 |
| 198 Church Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (-6%) | 23mo | $95,000 | $62 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $43,630
- Equity at exit
- $47,944
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.99×
- Total profit
- $111,117
- Equity at exit
- $85,241
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24277
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $295/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $79,500 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,500 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,500 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,500 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $79,500 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,500 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,500 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $79,500 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,500 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,500 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-04-29$79,500 Active 453-char remark
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1994-07-05soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $295 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $652 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$357/yr (+$30/mo · 121.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$295
- − Insurance
- −$398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $3,128
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$751
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102190
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,356
- Composite
- 50.06/100
- National rank
- #1913
- State rank
- #62 of 131 in VA
Livability — Pennington Gap
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #410
- US rank
- #17149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pennington Gap, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,379
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,861 people
- By 2030
- 21,701 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 19,188 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 16,619 · -27.3%
- By 2075
- 11,795 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 8,290 · -63.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.8% · R 85.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -72.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.0 2020: R+69.1 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Current HPI
- 165.997
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+341.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $79,500 TVRMLS
- 1994-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $295 · +68.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…