21100 NE Sandy Blvd #62 · Fairview, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This move in ready one level, 2 bedroom home could be converted to a 3 bedroom as it was in the past. This is one of the few spaces in the neighborhood that offers 2 covered parking spaces in carports. Ramp entrance on one side. Tucked away from the bustle of it all in Fairview, minutes from the I-84 and a block away from bus service. Nearly 1600 square foot home with a true ensuite primary bedroom. 2 living rooms and a stellar new pressure treated back deck for your summertime leisure. Well thought out updates throughout the home include some interior and exterior paint, new main area and bedroom flooring, new furnace and A/C. New LED lights and built in oven in the kitchen. Washer and dryer included. Roomy storage shed. 55+ community offers a seasonal pool and recreation hall and spaces.
Key facts
- New bedroom flooring
- Ramp entrance
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 2.7% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#85 in OR, #4,103 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: cost of living D, schools F, amenities F.
- Reynolds SD 7 (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #162 of 183 in OR (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.24%
- DSCR
- 3.72
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,837
- List price
- $82,000
- Delta
- -7.70%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #59 | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,584 (0%) | 5mo | $89,900 | $57 | 89 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #137 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-9%) | 15mo | $43,000 | $30 | 71 |
| 21100 NE Sandy Blvd #79 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (-10%) | 10mo | $83,000 | $58 | 66 |
| 2519 NE 205th Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+5%) | 1mo | $37,000 | $22 | 66 |
| 3150 NE 206th Pl | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,533 (-3%) | 9mo | $355,000 | $232 | 65 |
| 20660 NE Sandview Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (-1%) | 24mo | $375,000 | $239 | 60 |
| 20687 NE Crestview Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+2%) | 21mo | $337,000 | $208 | 60 |
| 2600 NE 205th Ave #20 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-8%) | 8mo | $164,518 | $113 | 59 |
| 2500 NE 201st Ave #26 | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-11%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $48 | 50 |
| 2632 NE 201st Ave #30 | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-11%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $85 | 42 |
| 20695 NE Crestview Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-15%) | 20mo | $335,000 | $248 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $55,138
- Equity at exit
- $12,226
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.23×
- Total profit
- $120,129
- Equity at exit
- $7,090
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97024
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $409/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $1,172
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21123 NE Osburn Loop Unit 21123 Fairview, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1586 | $2,595 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2667 NE 205th Ave Fairview, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 609 Lincoln St Unit 609 Fairview, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,250 | $2.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3794 NE Fairview Lake Way Fairview, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $2,795 | $1.73 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 22100 NE Halsey St Fairview, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,947 | $1.94 | 3d | 10 | 0.72mi |
| 21933 NE Chinook Way Fairview, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 874 | $1,802 | $2.06 | 2d | 8 | 0.78mi |
| 1497 NE Market Dr Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,750 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 22620 NE Hancock St Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 22032 NE Chinook Way Apt A Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 22032 NE Chinook Way Unit B Fairview, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $2,045 | $1.78 | 8d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 19927 NE Halsey St Unit 103 Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $1,895 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 23901 NE Halsey St Wood Village, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 14d | 4 | 1.36mi |
| 23801 NE Treehill Dr Wood Village, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $82,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $82,000 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
This move in ready one level, 2 bedroom home could be converted to a 3 bedroom as it was in the past. This is one of the few spaces in the neighborhood that offers 2 covered parking spaces in carports. Ramp entrance on one side. Tucked away from the bustle of it all in Fairview, minutes from the I-84 and a block away from bus service. Nearly 1600 square foot home with a true ensuite primary bedroom. 2 living rooms and a stellar new pressure treated back deck for your summertime leisure. Well thought out updates throughout the home include some interior and exterior paint, new main area and bedroom flooring, new furnace and A/C. New LED lights and built in oven in the kitchen. Washer and dryer included. Roomy storage shed. 55+ community offers a seasonal pool and recreation hall and spaces.
-
2026-02-17$89,500 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
This move in ready one level, 2 bedroom home could be converted to a 3 bedroom as it was in the past. This is one of the few spaces in the neighborhood that offers 2 covered parking spaces in carports. Ramp entrance on one side. Tucked away from the bustle of it all in Fairview, minutes from the I-84 and a block away from bus service. Nearly 1600 square foot home with a true ensuite primary bedroom. 2 living rooms and a stellar new pressure treated back deck for your summertime leisure. Well thought out updates throughout the home include some interior and exterior paint, new main area and bedroom flooring, new furnace and A/C. New LED lights and built in oven in the kitchen. Washer and dryer included. Roomy storage shed. 55+ community offers a seasonal pool and recreation hall and spaces.
-
2021-07-02soldstatus $80,000 Sold 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Fabulous updated 2bed/2bath manufactured home in the sought after Quail Hollow Community. Tucked away from the bustle of it all in Fairview this home offers nearly 1600 sq. ft., a true ensuite bedroom, two living-rooms and a stellar back deck for summertime leisure! Well thought updates throughout include recent exterior paint, new main area flooring and more! The home comes with AC and appliances. The 55+ community has a seasonal pool & recreational spaces. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2021-06-24status Pending 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Fabulous updated 2bed/2bath manufactured home in the sought after Quail Hollow Community. Tucked away from the bustle of it all in Fairview this home offers nearly 1600 sq. ft., a true ensuite bedroom, two living-rooms and a stellar back deck for summertime leisure! Well thought updates throughout include recent exterior paint, new main area flooring and more! The home comes with AC and appliances. The 55+ community has a seasonal pool & recreational spaces. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2021-06-11$80,000 Active 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Fabulous updated 2bed/2bath manufactured home in the sought after Quail Hollow Community. Tucked away from the bustle of it all in Fairview this home offers nearly 1600 sq. ft., a true ensuite bedroom, two living-rooms and a stellar back deck for summertime leisure! Well thought updates throughout include recent exterior paint, new main area flooring and more! The home comes with AC and appliances. The 55+ community has a seasonal pool & recreational spaces. Don't miss out on this one!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $409 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $795 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$386/yr (+$32/mo · 94.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$409
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable income
- $13,511
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,243
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reynolds SD 7
- NCES district ID
- 4110520
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,502
- Composite
- 27.4/100
- National rank
- #12399
- State rank
- #162 of 183 in OR
Livability — Fairview
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #4103
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairview, OR
- County
- Multnomah County · 786,692 people
- City population
- 12,007
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,007
- Household income
- $69,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 930,825 people
- By 2030
- 996,904 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,121,379 · +20.5%
- By 2050
- 1,242,124 · +33.4%
- By 2075
- 1,464,431 · +57.3%
- By 2100
- 1,576,181 · +69.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Pacific Islander 3% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.88%
- Current HPI
- 286.4915
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+2.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $82,000 RMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $89,500 RMLS
- 2021-07-02 Sold (MLS) $80,000 RMLS
- 2021-06-24 Pending — RMLS
- 2021-06-11 Listed $80,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2016): $409 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…