4777 Old Dunlap Rd · Griffith Creek, TN 37397

$58,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 644 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market

Built 1988 0.51 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0

Listing remarks

Singlewide mobile home with addition built onto. Level Lot , outbuilding, front porch. Stove, refrigerator home needs some TLC, priced accordingly

Key facts

• Outbuilding
• Front porch
• Level lot

Tags

• LEVEL LOT
• OUTBUILDING
• FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Water connected
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Metal siding; Wood siding; See remarks for foundation details; Built with standard residential construction
• Exterior features: Covered porch/patio; Outbuilding; Has a view; Paved road frontage on a state road

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range
• Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Decorative fireplace in the den; Electric water heater; Electric range
• Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities within the home

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $58k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($814 rent vs $58k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Whitwell Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #191 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 492 students, 0% FRL); Whitwell Middle School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #187 of 333 statewide, top 58%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Whitwell High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #163 of 332 statewide, top 51%, 343 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $58,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.31%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.92%
• DSCR: 1.80
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.74×
• Total profit: $28,273
• Equity at exit: $32,281

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.46×
• Total profit: $72,417
• Equity at exit: $55,234

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Tennessee: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 37397

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 80
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $814 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$304
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$72 /mo · $870/yr
• Insurance: −$24
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$171
• Net cashflow: $242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $507

Max offer price $58,000

Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,500
• Closing costs: $1,740
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-18
   listed $58,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $9,772
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,249
• − Property taxes: −$870
• − Insurance: −$290
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$782
• − Management: −$782
• − Depreciation: −$1,687
• Taxable income: $2,112
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$507
• After-tax cash flow: $2,403/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion County
• NCES district ID: 4702640
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $41,941
• Composite: 20.88/100
• National rank: #8494
• State rank: #89 of 139 in TN

Livability — Griffith Creek

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,044

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 28,889 people
• By 2030: 28,915 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 28,662 · -0.8%
• By 2050: 28,053 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 26,855 · -7.0%
• By 2100: 24,404 · -15.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.83%
• Current HPI: 307.3072
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	3	$91B
▸Retail	3	$72B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$88B
▸Paper / Packaging	1	$19B
▸Insurance	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$12B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Listed $58,000 GCAR

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $73 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.