🏗️ New Construction
Clayton 7616-773P The Pulse Plan · Martin, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Listed 759 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Addressed as Clayton 7616-773P The Pulse Plan, Shelbyville, MI 49344
- Financial info: List price $129,900
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas; Electric power (standard); Public/municipal services likely available
- Home design: New construction plan: Clayton 7616-773P The Pulse; Active listing
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,216
- Exterior features: Shake roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 2 total bathrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 0.7% in Martin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#491 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Delton Kellogg Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #300 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $740 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barry County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 760 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 760 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.17%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,008
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11908 Erica Ln #66 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $41 | 89 |
| 4740 Circle Inn Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 10mo | $101,900 | $88 | 79 |
| 3968 England Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-7%) | 19mo | $235,000 | $208 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,026
- Equity at exit
- $15,955
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $26,756
- Equity at exit
- $9,252
Cash invested: $29,962 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49344
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,321 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$561
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$134 /mo · $1,605/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $378 | -5% $341 | +0% $304 | +5% $267 | +10% $230 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $199 | -5% $252 | +0% $304 | +5% $356 | +10% $408 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $358 | -0.5pp $331 | base $304 | +0.5pp $276 | +1.0pp $248 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,752
- Closing costs
- $3,210
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 760 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 758 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 757 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 756 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 755 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 754 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 752 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 751 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 749 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 748 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 747 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 746 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 742 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 741 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 740 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 739 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 738 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,994
- − Property taxes
- −$1,605
- − Insurance
- −$535
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,268
- − Management
- −$1,268
- − Depreciation
- −$3,113
- Taxable income
- $2,064
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$495
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,150/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Delton Kellogg Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2611910
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,057
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6538
- State rank
- #300 of 540 in MI
Livability — Martin
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #14351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,192
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,139
Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,601 people
- By 2030
- 59,185 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 57,121 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 53,139 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 42,814 · -28.2%
- By 2100
- 29,357 · -50.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 16% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Barry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.1% · R 66.4% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -34.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.3 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+18.1 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.27%
- Current HPI
- 234.1713
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…