13829 Park Pl Lot 5 · La Feria, TX 78559

$99,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,253 sqft · Manufactured · 66 Days on market

Built 1981 Good condition 5,000 sqft lot $79/sqft · 16% above area Est $85k · 16% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.1/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.1/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• ARV discount +0.1/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms mobile home in Green Bay South community! Property has upgraded with laminate flooring, freshly painted, new light fixtures, ceiling fans, new toilets, new shower/tub & mirrors. Has a huge deck to have a relaxing evening! Call today for an appointment!

Key facts

• New toilets
• Ceiling fans
• New shower tub

Tags

• HUGE DECK
• NEW LIGHT FIXTURES
• CEILING FANS
• NEW TOILETS
• NEW SHOWER TUB
• NEW MIRRORS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
• Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.4% in La Feria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $93,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.31% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.82%
• DSCR: 1.66
• GRM: 6.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $85,000
• List price: $99,000
• Delta: 16.47%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 5 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.06×
• Total profit: $1,596
• Equity at exit: $14,761

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.88×
• Total profit: $24,270
• Equity at exit: $8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78559

• Home prices YoY: -6.1%
• Active inventory: 260
• Price-to-rent: 6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,300 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$273
• Net cashflow: $276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $950

Max offer price $99,000

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,750
• Closing costs: $2,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $99,000 Active 61 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $99,000 Active 58 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $99,000 Active 57 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 50 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 49 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
16. 2026-04-13
    listed $99,000 Active 292-char remark

    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    Very nice 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms mobile home in Green Bay South community! Property has upgraded with laminate flooring, freshly painted, new light fixtures, ceiling fans, new toilets, new shower/tub & mirrors. Has a huge deck to have a relaxing evening! Call today for an appointment!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,594
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,546
• − Property taxes: −$1,485
• − Insurance: −$1,292
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,248
• − Management: −$1,248
• − Depreciation: −$2,880
• Taxable income: $1,896
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$455
• After-tax cash flow: $2,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, ready for a new owner or renter.

Value-add opportunities

• Both new flooring — improves aesthetics and durability
• Both new paint — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both new lighting — enhances safety and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both new flooring — improves aesthetics and durability ↑
• Both new paint — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both new lighting — enhances safety and aesthetics ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: La Feria ISD
• NCES district ID: 4826040
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -25.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $33,306
• Composite: 25.41/100
• National rank: #7460
• State rank: #630 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Feria

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #667
• US rank: #12330

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 12,752

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 441,603 people
• By 2030: 448,113 · +1.5%
• By 2040: 456,385 · +3.3%
• By 2050: 456,294 · +3.3%
• By 2075: 423,851 · -4.0%
• By 2100: 342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 35% White 8%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 87%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada
• Languages at home: 40% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -12.21%
• Current HPI: 187.8512
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Listed $99,000 RGVMLS