500 E Lexington Ave · Jasper, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$32,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 500 Lexington in the quaint little town of Jasper, MO. Sitting on a nice corner lot, this could be a great starter home or buy it for the investment. Central Heat and Air detached 1.5 car garage, and a 2-year-old roof. Call for details!
Key facts
- 2 year old roof
- Corner lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#574 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Jasper County R-V (rural): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #226 of 324 in MO (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($225 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 80.67%
- DSCR
- 4.59
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,437
- List price
- $32,500
- Delta
- -74.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $48,211
- Equity at exit
- $20,265
- IRR
- 84.9%
- Equity multiple
- 13.24×
- Total profit
- $111,378
- Equity at exit
- $36,608
Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64755
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$170
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $533/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $612
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $630 | -5% $621 | +0% $612 | +5% $603 | +10% $593 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $528 | -5% $570 | +0% $612 | +5% $654 | +10% $696 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $628 | -0.5pp $620 | base $612 | +0.5pp $603 | +1.0pp $595 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,125
- Closing costs
- $975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $32,500 Pending 90 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $32,500 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $32,500 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $32,500 Active 87 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $32,500 Active 86 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $32,500 Active 85 DOM
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2026-03-25price $32,500 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Welcome to 500 Lexington in the quaint little town of Jasper, MO. Sitting on a nice corner lot, this could be a great starter home or buy it for the investment. Central Heat and Air detached 1.5 car garage, and a 2-year-old roof. Call for details!
-
2026-03-06$60,000 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Welcome to 500 Lexington in the quaint little town of Jasper, MO. Sitting on a nice corner lot, this could be a great starter home or buy it for the investment. Central Heat and Air detached 1.5 car garage, and a 2-year-old roof. Call for details!
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2015-07-31soldstatus 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
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2015-07-31soldstatus
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
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2015-07-16$25,000 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
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2011-01-25soldstatus
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2009-02-03soldstatus
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2002-02-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $533 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $533 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,821
- − Property taxes
- −$533
- − Insurance
- −$162
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,021
- − Management
- −$1,021
- − Depreciation
- −$945
- Taxable income
- $7,259
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,742
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper County R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2916140
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,891
- Composite
- 29.11/100
- National rank
- #6594
- State rank
- #226 of 324 in MO
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #20629
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jasper, MO
- City population
- 2,440
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,440
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,033 people
- By 2030
- 120,091 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 119,297 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 117,705 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 110,402 · -8.0%
- By 2100
- 99,719 · -16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.92%
- Current HPI
- 228.44
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+30.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $32,500 SOMO
- 2026-03-06 Listed $60,000 SOMO
- 2015-07-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) — OGAR
- 2015-07-16 Listed $25,000 OGAR
- 2011-01-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-02-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $533 · +34.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…