58 S Singley Dr · Locust Grove, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$227,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that's getting harder to find. Inside, you'll find a solid, maintained home that's ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it's the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
Key facts
- 1.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $227k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $227k).
- Recommended offer: $220k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.1% in Locust Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#315 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 499 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $92k; list at $227k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.71%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $268,584
- List price
- $227,000
- Delta
- -15.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 S Singley Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (-3%) | 16mo | $259,000 | $215 | 79 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-9,402
- Equity at exit
- $33,846
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $21,535
- Equity at exit
- $19,627
Cash invested: $63,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30248
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 499
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,271 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $568/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $590 | -5% $526 | +0% $462 | +5% $397 | +10% $333 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $282 | -5% $372 | +0% $462 | +5% $551 | +10% $641 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $576 | -0.5pp $519 | base $462 | +0.5pp $403 | +1.0pp $343 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,750
- Closing costs
- $6,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239 Kings Cv Locust Grove, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,570 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 213 Abby Ct Locust Grove, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $227,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Back On Market 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-05-06status Active 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-05-01status Pending 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that's getting harder to find. Inside, you'll find a solid, maintained home that's ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it's the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-05-01status Under Contract 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that's getting harder to find. Inside, you'll find a solid, maintained home that's ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it's the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-04-22price $227,000 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-04-22price $227,000 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-04-22price $229,750 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-04-22price $229,750 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-04-06$247,000 New 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
2026-04-06$247,000 Active 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Welcome to peaceful country living in the beautiful and growing Locust Grove area! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch sits on 1.25 acres, offering the kind of space and freedom that’s getting harder to find. Inside, you’ll find a solid, maintained home that’s ready for its next chapter. With all original finishes, it’s the perfect opportunity to create a space that truly reflects your style and memories for years to come. This home is to be sold "as is". Agents please see private remarks about the home.
-
1997-05-16soldstatus $92,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $568 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,088 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,520/yr (+$127/mo · 267.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,716
- − Property taxes
- −$568
- − Insurance
- −$1,135
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,180
- − Management
- −$2,180
- − Depreciation
- −$6,604
- Taxable income
- $1,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$448
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,091/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Locust Grove
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #315
- US rank
- #17034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,038
- Household income
- $83,823
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 485.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.09%
- Current HPI
- 203.5358
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.16%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+145.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-01 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-01 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $227,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $227,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $229,750 GAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $229,750 FMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $247,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $247,000 GAMLS
- 1997-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $568 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…