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15569 Alsip St
F Composite 31.53
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

15569 Alsip St · Roseville, MI 48066
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,186 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1967 6,970 sqft lot $177/sqft · 43% above area Est $217k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Offer deadline is 3pm tomorrow (5/8) * Charming 3-bed, 1.5-bath home. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors, a bright living area, and an updated kitchen that flows easily for everyday living. The finished basement adds valuable bonus space--ideal for a family room, home office, or gym. Outside, a detached garage provides convenient parking and storage. With spacious bedrooms, a functional layout, and inviting indoor-outdoor potential, this home is ready to welcome its next owner. A warm, well-kept property with room to grow and make your own.

Key facts

  • Bright living area
  • Finished basement
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSBRIGHT LIVING AREAUPDATED KITCHENFINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGEINDOOR-OUTDOOR POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; Built in 1967
  • Construction: Aluminum siding, brick, and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Built 1967
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (12 x 10); Bedroom 2 (9 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Second bathroom with shower
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Garage door opener; Eat-in kitchen; Window treatments; Full basement; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room (10 x 23)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-208 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (17.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (27.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $152k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, crime F.
  • Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Roseville High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 1,216 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 269 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $151,992 (27.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.25%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$216,815
List price
$210,000
Delta
-3.14%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27820 Larry St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,186 (0%) 4mo $210,000 $177 90
27277 Leroy St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,218 (+3%) 3mo $187,500 $154 83
27370 Barkman St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+5%) 0mo $224,000 $179 65
27081 Grandmont St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,270 (+7%) 7mo $185,000 $146 62
26700 Belanger St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-7%) 6mo $190,000 $172 61
15238 Troy St 0.43mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-6%) 6mo $158,000 $141 58
26332 Dale Ct 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-8%) 5mo $130,000 $119 52
26354 Dale Ct 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-8%) 6mo $148,000 $136 52
27155 Blum St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,068 (-10%) 3mo $137,000 $128 52
26754 Margaret St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-14%) 5mo $169,990 $167 48
26360 Compson St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-8%) 9mo $150,000 $137 48
27221 Blum St 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,350 (+14%) 1mo $241,000 $179 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.3%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-51,182
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-34.6%
Equity multiple
-0.31×
Total profit
$-76,806
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48066

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,520 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$220 /mo · $2,642/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$-208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,783
Max offer price $173,222
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-89 -5% $-149 +0% $-208 +5% $-268 +10% $-327
Rent -10% $-328 -5% $-268 +0% $-208 +5% $-148 +10% $-88
Rate -1.0pp $-102 -0.5pp $-155 base $-208 +0.5pp $-263 +1.0pp $-318

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27241 Woodmont St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,550 $1.68 3d 1 0.29mi
26711 Lehner St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,575 $1.64 26d 1 0.44mi
26681 Clancy St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 23d 1 0.46mi
26536 Kathy St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,499 $1.50 26d 1 0.58mi
26511 Grandmont St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,495 $1.56 6d 1 0.62mi
26153 Nagel St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,500 $1.62 16d 1 0.68mi
28232 Floral St Unit 1032343P Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1496 $6,419 $4.29 0d 1 0.76mi
26160 Regency Club Dr Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 880 $1,698 $1.93 0d 13 0.82mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 104 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 45d 1 0.84mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 26d 3 0.84mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 23d 3 0.84mi
16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 23d 1 0.84mi
16840 E 11 Mile Rd Unit 109 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 45d 1 0.84mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 103 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 0.84mi
16579 12 Mile Rd Unit 16579 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 45d 1 0.88mi
16577 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 45d 1 0.88mi
29125 Hayes Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 1d 1 0.89mi
16944 E 11 Mile Rd Unit C2 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 26d 1 0.90mi
16651 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0–3.0 1.5 957 $1,720 $1.80 0d 1 0.97mi
17392 Tennyson St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,649 $1.83 4d 1 1.06mi
15175 Raphael Ter Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1250 $1,600 $1.28 14d 1 1.06mi
17405 Ivanhoe St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,600 $1.65 45d 1 1.08mi
25672 Lira Ln Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 831 $1,250 $1.50 19d 1 1.09mi
28744 Maple St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,295 $1.23 45d 1 1.23mi
25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 5d 1 1.25mi
25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 895 $1,750 $1.96 23d 1 1.25mi
28320 Hillview St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,500 $1.23 1d 1 1.25mi
25202 Firwood Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 26d 1 1.27mi
13741 McKinley Ave Unit 1032320P Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 839 $4,983 $5.94 0d 1 1.31mi
25107 Rosenbusch Blvd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 903 $1,523 $1.69 16d 1 1.36mi
26251 Pinehurst St Unit 251d Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 45d 1 1.38mi
26221 Pinehurst St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 1d 1 1.38mi
14926 E 10 Mile Rd Unit 1032312P Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 1291 $5,491 $4.25 0d 1 1.40mi
13250 De Mott Dr Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1386 $1,900 $1.37 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    * Offer deadline is 3pm tomorrow (5/8) * Charming 3-bed, 1.5-bath home. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors, a bright living area, and an updated kitchen that flows easily for everyday living. The finished basement adds valuable bonus space--ideal for a family room, home office, or gym. Outside, a detached garage provides convenient parking and storage. With spacious bedrooms, a functional layout, and inviting indoor-outdoor potential, this home is ready to welcome its next owner. A warm, well-kept property with room to grow and make your own.

  2. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    * Offer deadline is 3pm tomorrow (5/8) * Charming 3-bed, 1.5-bath home. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors, a bright living area, and an updated kitchen that flows easily for everyday living. The finished basement adds valuable bonus space--ideal for a family room, home office, or gym. Outside, a detached garage provides convenient parking and storage. With spacious bedrooms, a functional layout, and inviting indoor-outdoor potential, this home is ready to welcome its next owner. A warm, well-kept property with room to grow and make your own.

  3. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    * Offer deadline is 3pm tomorrow (5/8) * Charming 3-bed, 1.5-bath home. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors, a bright living area, and an updated kitchen that flows easily for everyday living. The finished basement adds valuable bonus space--ideal for a family room, home office, or gym. Outside, a detached garage provides convenient parking and storage. With spacious bedrooms, a functional layout, and inviting indoor-outdoor potential, this home is ready to welcome its next owner. A warm, well-kept property with room to grow and make your own.

  4. 2026-05-05
    listed $210,000 Active 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    * Offer deadline is 3pm tomorrow (5/8) * Charming 3-bed, 1.5-bath home. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors, a bright living area, and an updated kitchen that flows easily for everyday living. The finished basement adds valuable bonus space--ideal for a family room, home office, or gym. Outside, a detached garage provides convenient parking and storage. With spacious bedrooms, a functional layout, and inviting indoor-outdoor potential, this home is ready to welcome its next owner. A warm, well-kept property with room to grow and make your own.

  5. 2026-05-05
    listed $210,000 Active 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    * Offer deadline is 3pm tomorrow (5/8) * Charming 3-bed, 1.5-bath home. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors, a bright living area, and an updated kitchen that flows easily for everyday living. The finished basement adds valuable bonus space--ideal for a family room, home office, or gym. Outside, a detached garage provides convenient parking and storage. With spacious bedrooms, a functional layout, and inviting indoor-outdoor potential, this home is ready to welcome its next owner. A warm, well-kept property with room to grow and make your own.

  6. 2026-05-05
    listed $210,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    * Offer deadline is 3pm tomorrow (5/8) * Charming 3-bed, 1.5-bath home. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors, a bright living area, and an updated kitchen that flows easily for everyday living. The finished basement adds valuable bonus space--ideal for a family room, home office, or gym. Outside, a detached garage provides convenient parking and storage. With spacious bedrooms, a functional layout, and inviting indoor-outdoor potential, this home is ready to welcome its next owner. A warm, well-kept property with room to grow and make your own.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,642 · $220/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,938 · $245/mo
Expected delta
+$296/yr (+$25/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,239
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,642
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,459
− Management
−$1,459
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$6,244
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,498
After-tax cash flow
$-1,000/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roseville Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630210
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,590
Composite
14.98/100
National rank
#9363
State rank
#483 of 540 in MI

Livability — Roseville

Score
72/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#6400

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseville, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
47,123
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,123
Household income
$62,182
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1712.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -232.95%
Current HPI
217.4171
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $220,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $220,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $220,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $210,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $210,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,642 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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