4420 W 111th St #104 · Oak Lawn, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$142,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Desirable 1st floor 2 bedroom condo set in convenient Oak Lawn location. Steps to transportation , shopping, and restaurants. Unit is freshly painted and has new carpeting. Spacious living room and dining room and features a balcony with new patio doors. Lower level coin operated laundry plus extra storage. Monthly maintenance includes heat, water, exterior maintenance, and garbage removal.
Key facts
- 1st floor
- Oak lawn location
- New carpeting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $142k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.4% in Oak Lawn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in IL, #1,614 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-.
- Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.00%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,918
- Equity at exit
- $21,247
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $50,662
- Equity at exit
- $12,321
Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60453
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,795 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$747
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$178 /mo · $2,138/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $232 | -5% $182 | +0% $133 | +5% $84 | +10% $35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-9 | -5% $62 | +0% $133 | +5% $204 | +10% $275 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $205 | -0.5pp $169 | base $133 | +0.5pp $96 | +1.0pp $59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,625
- Closing costs
- $4,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4116 W 109th St Oak Lawn, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,650 | $2.21 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10831 S Keating Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10716 Kilpatrick Ave Unit 2SW Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4209 W 115th St Bldg 82-A Alsip, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,710 | $1.98 | 0d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4209 W 115th St Bldg 123-C Alsip, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,710 | $1.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 10701 S Keating Ave Unit 3D Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4925 W 109th St Unit 102 Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10435 S Keating Ave Apt 3N Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11720 S Kedvale Ave Alsip, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 11635 S Pulaski Rd Unit 1A Alsip, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 11810 S Komensky Ave #102 Alsip, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 12013 S Kildare Ave Unit 1N Alsip, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 12026 S Kildare Ave #19 Alsip, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,650 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3700 W 119th St Unit 3700-3C Alsip, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,595 | $2.18 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10439 S Drake Ave Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $3,000 | $2.58 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3621 W 119th St Alsip, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,525 | $2.18 | 0d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 9957 S Cicero Ave Unit 308 Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9955 S Cicero Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashexterior maint.
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $142,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $142,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $142,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $142,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $142,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $142,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-04-19status Pending
-
2026-04-02price $142,500
-
2026-03-23$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,982
- − Property taxes
- −$2,138
- − Insurance
- −$712
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,723
- − Management
- −$1,723
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$4,145
- Taxable loss
- −$486
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
The property requires moderate renovations to its kitchen, bathroom, and flooring, but is otherwise in fair condition. Upgrading these areas will significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
- Major kitchen appliances — outdated and worn
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Major flooring — carpeted and worn
- Minor interior walls — chipped paint in some areas
Value-add opportunities
- Resale kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
- Resale bathroom renovation — updating the bathroom will improve the home's appeal
- Both flooring replacement — new flooring will improve both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · outdated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · carpeted and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · chipped paint in some areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $60,500–203,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers ↑
- Resale bathroom renovation — updating the bathroom will improve the home's appeal ↑
- Both flooring replacement — new flooring will improve both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chsd 218
- NCES district ID
- 1706540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,166
- Composite
- 16.09/100
- National rank
- #9235
- State rank
- #454 of 620 in IL
Livability — Oak Lawn
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #102
- US rank
- #1614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Lawn, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 56,861
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,861
- Household income
- $83,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 827.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Iranian 1% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Arabic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.83%
- Current HPI
- 214.6977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.23%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $142,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…