4629 Willow Bend Ave · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34219

$380,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,525 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 22 Days on market

Built 2021 Poor condition 5,776 sqft lot $306/mo HOA · 16% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.6/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

Key facts

• Gated canoe creek
• Gorgeous pool
• Maintenance free

Tags

• IMPACT RESISTANT WINDOWS
• MAINTENANCE FREE
• GATED CANOE CREEK
• EXTENDED SCREENED LANAI
• GORGEOUS POOL
• OUTDOOR KITCHEN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $380k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $380k).
• Recommended offer: $374k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 2170 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $374,300 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.77%
• DSCR: 1.26
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -10.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-40,534
• Equity at exit: $56,659

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.64×
• Total profit: $-37,870
• Equity at exit: $32,855

Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34219

• Home prices YoY: -23.7%
• Rents YoY: -0.9%
• Active inventory: 2170
• Price-to-rent: 16.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,946 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,993
• Tax from tax record: −$149 /mo · $1,788/yr
• Insurance: −$158
• HOA: −$306
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$829
• Net cashflow: $511

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,299

Max offer price $380,000

Occupancy floor 82%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	2	$3,946
Total (2 units)			$3,946

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $95,000
• Closing costs: $11,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4723 Willow Bend Ave Parrish, FL	2.0	2.0	1524	$2,800	$1.84	23d	1	0.15mi
13832 Old Creek Ct Parrish, FL	2.0	2.0	1641	$2,700	$1.65	23d	1	0.49mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $306 · $3,672/yr
• Likely covers: poolgymsecurity

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-04-14
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-06
   price $380,000
3. 2026-03-23
   listed $385,000 Active
4. 2023-10-30
   soldstatus $395,000 Closed 1989-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

   Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

5. 2023-10-01
   status Pending 1989-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

   Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

6. 2023-09-25
   price $395,000 1989-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

   Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

7. 2023-09-17
   status Active 1989-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

   Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

8. 2023-09-09
   status Pending 1989-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

   Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

9. 2023-09-08
   price $405,000 1989-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

   Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

10. 2023-08-18
    price $416,990 1989-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

    Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

11. 2023-08-04
    listed $420,000 Active 1989-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1989 chars)

    Why wait to build when you can buy this pristine villa on a premium pond homesite that priced to sell!! Welcome to paradise in this stunning coastal-inspired villa located in the highly sought-after gated & maintenance-free section of Canoe Creek. This exquisite villa boasts a perfect blend of elegance and comfort, all while embracing the breathtaking views of the peaceful pond and enchanting sunsets. Step inside and be captivated by the luxurious ambiance. This villa features two spacious bedrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and privacy. Additionally, there is a den that can be used as a home office or an extra room to suit your needs. With two beautifully appointed bathrooms, every convenience has been carefully considered. Designed with discerning tastes in mind, this villa showcases upgrades throughout including hurricane impact windows & sliding door, speckled epoxy flooring on the front patio and screened lanai, 8-foot doorways & built-in cabinetry and overhead storage in the garage. Indulge in the ultimate Florida lifestyle on the extended screened lanai, where you can unwind and soak in the serene surroundings. Whether you're sipping your morning coffee or hosting gatherings with loved ones, this outdoor space is sure to be a favorite spot. Canoe Creek is a desirable community renowned for its resort-style amenities. Just a short walk away is a gorgeous pool, hot tub & covered sitting area with a beautifully appointed outdoor kitchen for just the residents of the villas. Experience the allure of the luxurious main community clubhouse, complete with another sparkling pool for those sunny afternoons, Lifestyle Coordinator with a full calendar of activities, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pickle ball courts, fire pit and 2 dog parks for those fur babies. Embrace a life of luxury and serenity in this coastal inspired villa in Canoe Creek. Don't miss out on the opportunity to call this captivating oasis your home.

12. 2021-04-10
    soldstatus $305,687

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,788 · $149/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,154 · $263/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,366/yr (+$114/mo · 76.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $47,352
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,286
• − Property taxes: −$1,788
• − Insurance: −$1,900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,788
• − Management: −$3,788
• − HOA: −$3,672
• − Depreciation: −$11,055
• Taxable income: $75
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$18
• After-tax cash flow: $6,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and updates across all systems and areas, significantly impacting its current condition and value. Significant improvements are needed to bring the property up to a livable and marketable standard.

Repairs flagged

• Major Kitchen — No photos of kitchen
• Major Bathrooms — No photos of bathrooms
• Major Roof — No photos of roof
• Major Exterior — No photos of exterior
• Major Flooring — No photos of flooring
• Major Interior walls/paint — No photos of interior walls/paint
• Major Windows — No photos of windows
• Major Foundation/structure — No photos of foundation/structure
• Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of HVAC/mechanicals
• Major Landscaping/curb appeal — No photos of landscaping/curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

• Both New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value
• Both New flooring — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value
• Both Paint interior walls — Painting interior walls would improve the home's appearance and value
• Both Replace windows — Replacing windows would improve the home's appearance and value
• Both Update HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system would improve the home's comfort and value
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping and curb appeal would enhance the home's appeal and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Kitchen · No photos of kitchen	Major	$15,000–50,000
Bathrooms · No photos of bathrooms	Major	$15,000–50,000
Roof · No photos of roof	Major	$15,000–50,000
Exterior · No photos of exterior	Major	$15,000–50,000
Flooring · No photos of flooring	Major	$15,000–50,000
Interior walls/paint · No photos of interior walls/paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
Windows · No photos of windows	Major	$15,000–50,000
Foundation/structure · No photos of foundation/structure	Major	$15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of HVAC/mechanicals	Major	$15,000–50,000
Landscaping/curb appeal · No photos of landscaping/curb appeal	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 10 items		$150,000–500,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value ↑
• Both New flooring — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value ↑
• Both Paint interior walls — Painting interior walls would improve the home's appearance and value ↑
• Both Replace windows — Replacing windows would improve the home's appearance and value ↑
• Both Update HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system would improve the home's comfort and value ↑
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the landscaping and curb appeal would enhance the home's appeal and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Manatee County · 416,364 people
• City population: 33,319
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,296
• Household income: $113,773
• Rent vs Own: 8.1% rent · 91.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 219.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Hispanic 2% Russian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.45%
• Current HPI: 271.7131
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+24.3% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-06 Price Changed $380,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-23 Listed $385,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-10-30 Sold (MLS) $395,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-10-01 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-25 Price Changed $395,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-17 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-08 Price Changed $405,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-08-18 Price Changed $416,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-08-04 Listed $420,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $305,687 Public Records

Property tax history

+63.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,788 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.