8605 Truevine Rd · Union Hall, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculate, Move-In Ready 2Bed/1Bath Home on Rural 1.648 acres, Convenient to Rocky Mount & Amenities! Enjoy Main Level Living, with Spacious Covered Front & Rear Porches. Fresh Paint, Hardwood & Lam/Vinyl Floors throughout, Large Rear Foyer/Mud Rm Area. Kitchen Opened to Dining Room, Lots of Natural Light throughout. Partial Basement for Storage, and NEW 12x20 Storage Shed conveys.
Key facts
- Sweeping views
- Hardwoods
- Covered back porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: Marina access; On-site restaurant nearby
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1925
- Construction: Built in 1925
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Approximately 1.65-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms, both on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate, vinyl, and wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom, on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric) providing heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Screen and metal doors; Insulated, tilt-in windows; Laminate, vinyl, and wood flooring; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 1.4% in Union Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#480 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Franklin County Public School District (town): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #24 of 131 in VA (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Glade Hill Elementary (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #381 of 1,108 statewide, top 36%, 205 students, 75% FRL); Benjamin Franklin Middle (math 64% / reading 72%, grade A-, #94 of 342 statewide, top 28%, 1,397 students, 74% FRL); Franklin County High (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A, #57 of 319 statewide, top 18%, 1,904 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 45% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.79%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-411
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $39,571
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24092
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,092 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $692/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $491
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $601 | -5% $546 | +0% $491 | +5% $436 | +10% $381 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $326 | -5% $408 | +0% $491 | +5% $574 | +10% $656 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $589 | -0.5pp $541 | base $491 | +0.5pp $440 | +1.0pp $389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-16$195,000 Active
-
2022-03-01soldstatus $165,000
-
2022-02-28soldstatus $165,000 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Immaculate, Move-In Ready 2Bed/1Bath Home on Rural 1.648 acres, Convenient to Rocky Mount & Amenities! Enjoy Main Level Living, with Spacious Covered Front & Rear Porches. Fresh Paint, Hardwood & Lam/Vinyl Floors throughout, Large Rear Foyer/Mud Rm Area. Kitchen Opened to Dining Room, Lots of Natural Light throughout. Partial Basement for Storage, and NEW 12x20 Storage Shed conveys.
-
2021-12-22$169,900 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Immaculate, Move-In Ready 2Bed/1Bath Home on Rural 1.648 acres, Convenient to Rocky Mount & Amenities! Enjoy Main Level Living, with Spacious Covered Front & Rear Porches. Fresh Paint, Hardwood & Lam/Vinyl Floors throughout, Large Rear Foyer/Mud Rm Area. Kitchen Opened to Dining Room, Lots of Natural Light throughout. Partial Basement for Storage, and NEW 12x20 Storage Shed conveys.
-
2007-06-20soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $692 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,599 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$907/yr (+$76/mo · 131.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,101
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$692
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,008
- − Management
- −$2,008
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $2,822
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$677
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101440
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,093
- Composite
- 59.5/100
- National rank
- #921
- State rank
- #24 of 131 in VA
Livability — Union Hall
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #20927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,506
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,336
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,242 people
- By 2030
- 55,742 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 53,669 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 50,291 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 42,395 · -24.6%
- By 2100
- 32,981 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.9% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -45.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.3 2020: R+42.1 2016: R+42.2 2012: R+28.6 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.69%
- Current HPI
- 221.4193
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+267.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $195,000 MLSRV
- 2022-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-28 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MLSRV
- 2021-12-22 Listed $169,900 MLSRV
- 2007-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $692 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…