Duplex
14818 Broadway Ave SW · Midland, MD
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity with Built-In Income and Room to Grow! Add this duplex to your investment portfolio and start building income potential from day one. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, along with an eat-in kitchen, separate dining room, and large living room — giving tenants the space and comfort they look for in a rental. One unit is currently rented for $550 per month to a long-term tenant, with the tenant responsible for her own electric. The second unit is currently being completely remodeled and has a projected rental income of $800 per month, creating an excellent opportunity to increase cash flow once completed. The owner currently pays water and gas, with wa
Key facts
- Rear and side yard
- Enclosed rear porch
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annually paid ground rent
- Financial info: Two total units, one currently leased; Existing lease type: yearly
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Good condition; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block and stone foundation; Shingle roof; Built (year per assessor)
- Exterior features: Level lot with rear yard and side yards; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (multifamily)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate plank; Vinyl; Wood
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Paneled, plaster, and drywall walls and ceilings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $501/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#359 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $130k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.01%
- DSCR
- 2.47
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,817
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- 155.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4247 N Chestnut St | 0.00mi | 4/— | 2,100 (0%) | 12mo | $36,000 | $17 | 90 |
| 14824 Back St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,992 (-5%) | 21mo | $70,000 | $35 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $42,678
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 35.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.27×
- Total profit
- $119,163
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21532
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,275 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $721/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $1,001
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,276 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,138 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,138 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,275 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-03$130,000 Active 1300-char remark
-
2026-04-29$850
-
2026-04-28historical $850
-
2026-04-24$850
-
2005-06-27soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $721 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$348/yr (+$29/mo · 48.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$721
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,184
- − Management
- −$2,184
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $10,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,519
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,496/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #359
- US rank
- #19546
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, MD
- City population
- 161
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,123
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.31%
- Current HPI
- 244.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+225.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Rental Removed $850 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-05-03 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed for Rent $850 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-28 Rental Removed $850 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-24 Listed for Rent $850 TURBOTENANT
- 2005-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $721 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…