Fourplex
10643 156th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,399,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
Key facts
- Outside entrance
- Solid brick property
- 2,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking features
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Trash collection (public); Water available
- Home design: Quadruplex; Updated / remodeled condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Open kitchen layout; Quartz/quartzite countertops
- Bedrooms: Four 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Open kitchen; Quartz/quartzite counters; Full unfinished basement with walk-out access
- Laundry & utility: Utilities connected (electricity, natural gas, water, sewer)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.40M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $46/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.08M (22.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.08M (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,791/mo this rent would consume 167% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.23M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $423k; list at $1.40M implies a 231% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.57%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,155,000
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10551 Remington St | 0.64mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 2,200 (0%) | 4mo | $1,155,000 | $525 | 58 |
| 145-50 107th Ave | 0.43mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 2,016 (-8%) | 5mo | $970,000 | $481 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-215,584
- Equity at exit
- $208,595
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-175,228
- Equity at exit
- $120,960
Cash invested: $391,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11433
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 43.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,791 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$421 /mo · $5,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$583
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,266
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $10,792 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,698 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,698 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $2,698 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $2,698 |
| Total (4 units) | $10,791 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $349,750
- Closing costs
- $41,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,399,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,399,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,399,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,399,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,399,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,399,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,399,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,399,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,399,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,399,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-01-23$1,399,000 Active
-
2025-08-11historical
-
2025-03-20price $1,299,000
-
2025-02-10$1,399,000 Active
-
2025-02-10historical
-
2022-03-04soldstatus $422,573
-
2022-02-15soldstatus $415,000 Closed 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2021-04-25historical 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2021-01-26$460,000 Active 576-char remark
Show marketing remark (576 chars)
Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2020-03-27status Pending
-
2019-01-14historical
-
2017-07-11status Under Contract
-
2017-07-11historical
-
2017-06-29$239,000 New
-
2006-04-20soldstatus $650,000
-
2003-07-31soldstatus $310,000
-
2002-03-13soldstatus $150,000
-
1985-08-26soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,048 · $421/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,346 · $1,195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$9,297/yr (+$775/mo · 184.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $129,492
- − Mortgage interest
- −$78,366
- − Property taxes
- −$5,048
- − Insurance
- −$6,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,359
- − Management
- −$10,359
- − Depreciation
- −$40,698
- Taxable loss
- −$22,334
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,360
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,884
- Household income
- $77,519
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1701.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5% White 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.63%
- Current HPI
- 383.7055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+7462.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-23 Listed $1,399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $1,299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-10 Listed $1,399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-10 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $422,573 Public Records
- 2022-02-15 Sold (MLS) $415,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-25 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-26 Listed $460,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-14 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-11 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-29 Listed $239,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $650,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2002-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1985-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,048 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…