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10643 156th St Fourplex
F Composite 34.74
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,399,000

10643 156th St · New York, NY 11433
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,200 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1931 2,500 sqft lot Est $1155k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr

Key facts

  • Outside entrance
  • Solid brick property
  • 2,500 sq ft lot

Tags

RENOVATED LEGAL 4-FAMILYSOLID BRICK PROPERTYFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTOUTSIDE ENTRANCE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No carport; No designated parking features
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Trash collection (public); Water available
  • Home design: Quadruplex; Updated / remodeled condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Open kitchen layout; Quartz/quartzite countertops
  • Bedrooms: Four 2-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Open kitchen; Quartz/quartzite counters; Full unfinished basement with walk-out access
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities connected (electricity, natural gas, water, sewer)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.40M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $46/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.08M (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.08M (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,791/mo this rent would consume 167% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.23M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $423k; list at $1.40M implies a 231% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,079,100 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.57%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,155,000
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10551 Remington St 0.64mi 7/5.0 (-1) 2,200 (0%) 4mo $1,155,000 $525 58
145-50 107th Ave 0.43mi 7/4.0 (-1) 2,016 (-8%) 5mo $970,000 $481 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-215,584
Equity at exit
$208,595
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-175,228
Equity at exit
$120,960

Cash invested: $391,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11433

Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
43.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,791 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,337
Tax from tax record
$421 /mo · $5,048/yr
Insurance
$583
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,266
Net cashflow
$185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,557
Max offer price $1,399,000
Occupancy floor 93%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $10,791

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$349,750
Closing costs
$41,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 136 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-01-23
    listed $1,399,000 Active
  12. 2025-08-11
    historical
  13. 2025-03-20
    price $1,299,000
  14. 2025-02-10
    listed $1,399,000 Active
  15. 2025-02-10
    historical
  16. 2022-03-04
    soldstatus $422,573
  17. 2022-02-15
    soldstatus $415,000 Closed 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr

  18. 2021-04-25
    historical 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr

  19. 2021-01-26
    listed $460,000 Active 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Four Family Semi-Detached Brick Residential Home that includes a Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Rear Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 1 Bedroom and 1 Full Bath on the 1st Floor Front Apartment; Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Front Apartment and Living Room/Dining Room Combo, Eat-In-Kitchen, 2 Bedrooms and 1 Full Bath on the 2nd Floor Rear Apartment. Also there is a Full Basement., Additional information: Interior Features:Lr/Dr

  20. 2020-03-27
    status Pending
  21. 2019-01-14
    historical
  22. 2017-07-11
    status Under Contract
  23. 2017-07-11
    historical
  24. 2017-06-29
    listed $239,000 New
  25. 2006-04-20
    soldstatus $650,000
  26. 2003-07-31
    soldstatus $310,000
  27. 2002-03-13
    soldstatus $150,000
  28. 1985-08-26
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,048 · $421/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,346 · $1,195/mo
Expected delta
+$9,297/yr (+$775/mo · 184.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$129,492
− Mortgage interest
−$78,366
− Property taxes
−$5,048
− Insurance
−$6,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,359
− Management
−$10,359
− Depreciation
−$40,698
Taxable loss
−$22,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,360
After-tax cash flow
$7,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
37,884
Household income
$77,519
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
1701.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5% White 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
Languages at home
69% English-only · Other Indo-European 13% Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -250.63%
Current HPI
383.7055
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7462.2% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $1,399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-11 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-20 Price Changed $1,299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-10 Listed $1,399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-10 Coming Soon OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $422,573 Public Records
  • 2022-02-15 Sold (MLS) $415,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-25 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-26 Listed $460,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-27 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-01-14 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-11 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-07-11 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-29 Listed $239,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $650,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 1985-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,048 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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