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1082 Circle Dr #59
D+ Composite 46.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,500

1082 Circle Dr #59 · Jackson, MI 49201
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 55 Days on market
Built 2026 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a clubhouse, a playground, and a basketball court, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Basketball court
  • Playground

Tags

CLUBHOUSEPLAYGROUNDBASKETBALL COURT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $20,000

Exterior

  • Utilities: Central air
  • Home design: Spec-built property
  • Construction: Living area approximately 924; Plan name 90979

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $699 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 47.2% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
  • Northwest Community Schools (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $142 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $615 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $19,885 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.19%
Cap rate
47.20%
Cash-on-cash
146.10%
DSCR
7.50
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.16×
Total profit
$46,825
Equity at exit
$3,057
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
22.56×
Total profit
$123,742
Equity at exit
$1,772

Cash invested: $5,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49201

Rents YoY
10.3%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,064 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$108
Tax est. 1.5%
$26 /mo · $308/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$699

Break-even live

Break-even rent $179
Max offer price $20,500
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,125
Closing costs
$615
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,500 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $20,500 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,500 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $20,500 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,500 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,500 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,500 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $20,500 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,500 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $20,500 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $20,500 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $20,000 Active 39 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,767
− Mortgage interest
−$1,148
− Property taxes
−$308
− Insurance
−$102
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$596
Taxable income
$8,570
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,057
After-tax cash flow
$6,329/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 2-bedroom home with cosmetic updates has potential for significant value increase with minor repairs and updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor exterior siding — Some discoloration
  • Minor interior walls — Paint appears worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile flooring — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
  • Both Update bathrooms with new fixtures and paint — Modern bathrooms attract more buyers and renters
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances and cabinets — A modern kitchen is a key selling point for both buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Some discoloration Minor $500–3,000
interior walls · Paint appears worn Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile flooring — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value
  • Both Update bathrooms with new fixtures and paint — Modern bathrooms attract more buyers and renters
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances and cabinets — A modern kitchen is a key selling point for both buyers and renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Community Schools
NCES district ID
2626010
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$47,509
Composite
25.88/100
National rank
#7342
State rank
#360 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jackson

Score
74/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#4970

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 85,581 people
City population
85,581
Metro
Jackson, MI
Population (ZIP)
49,107
Household income
$74,484
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
840.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,365 people
By 2030
153,123 · -2.1%
By 2040
144,981 · -7.3%
By 2050
135,671 · -13.2%
By 2075
113,833 · -27.2%
By 2100
86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.89%
Current HPI
185.3773
Rent YoY
▲ 10.32%
Metro
Jackson, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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