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222 N Hilton St
B Composite 72.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

222 N Hilton St · Baltimore, MD 21229
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Townhouse public records · 307 Days on market
Built 1945 1,650 sqft lot $98/sqft · 8% below area Est $120k · 8% under ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this updated brick townhome in the neighborhood of Allendale. The main level is an open floor plan with new paint and hardwood flooring that flows from the living room to the dining area. The upgraded kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry and tile flooring. When you venture to the upper level, you will find three bedrooms and a full bathroom with a soaking tub. The lower level is unfinished but awaits your design and personal touch to expand the living space. The home is located across from Daily Field Park and is within walking distance or on the same block as the grocery store and public transportation. In addition, it is two blocks away from the food market and a six-minute car ride to Westside Shopping Center. Note - Some images in this listing have been virtually staged.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Upgraded kitchen
  • Granite countertops

Tags

UPDATED BRICK TOWNHOMEOPEN FLOOR PLANUPGRADED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSWHITE SHAKER CABINETRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $616 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.02%
Cash-on-cash
24.01%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,677
List price
$110,000
Delta
-8.09%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
222 N Hilton St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,120 (0%) 1mo $89,775 $80 99
107 N Monastery Ave 0.18mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,080 (-4%) 2mo $65,000 $60 77
209 Mount Holly St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-4%) 2mo $228,000 $211 72
119 Hilton St 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (-7%) 0mo $211,000 $203 72
3039 Harlem Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-4%) 1mo $27,500 $26 68
300 Denison St 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+12%) 2mo $205,000 $163 67
3302 W Franklin St 0.26mi 3/1.0 960 (-14%) 2mo $50,000 $52 63
28 S Bernice Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+14%) 1mo $147,000 $115 60
3306 W Franklin St 0.26mi 3/2.0 960 (-14%) 1mo $51,500 $54 59
537 Longwood St 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (+5%) 0mo $60,000 $51 59
5 Rosedale St S 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+14%) 1mo $110,000 $86 56
21 Culver St 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+12%) 1mo $210,000 $167 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$25,916
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
4.00×
Total profit
$92,429
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21229

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,806 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$616

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,026
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $679 -5% $647 +0% $616 +5% $585 +10% $554
Rent -10% $474 -5% $545 +0% $616 +5% $688 +10% $759
Rate -1.0pp $672 -0.5pp $644 base $616 +0.5pp $588 +1.0pp $559

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,800 $1.48 24d 1 0.07mi
3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 920 $1,550 $1.68 24d 1 0.13mi
3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,625 $1.31 24d 1 0.19mi
3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,895 $1.80 5d 1 0.23mi
405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1408 $2,950 $2.10 5d 1 0.24mi
3423 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1400 $1,710 $1.22 44d 1 0.35mi
3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1428 $2,300 $1.61 44d 1 0.36mi
3706 W Franklin St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 735 $1,100 $1.50 5d 1 0.41mi
709 Denison St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 840 $1,630 $1.94 24d 1 0.46mi
623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 24d 1 0.47mi
730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1360 $1,750 $1.29 24d 1 0.51mi
780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,590 $1.30 44d 1 0.57mi
787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,575 $1.41 24d 1 0.58mi
3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 24d 1 0.58mi
3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 44d 1 0.59mi
2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1040 $2,050 $1.97 44d 1 0.59mi
798 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,295 $1.69 24d 1 0.60mi
212 S Loudon Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1310 $1,550 $1.18 44d 1 0.64mi
4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 24d 1 0.66mi
3130 Stafford St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 21d 1 0.68mi
4020 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,875 $1.48 44d 1 0.72mi
2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1232 $1,900 $1.54 44d 1 0.76mi
2 S Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 856 $1,160 $1.36 15d 1 0.78mi
2 N Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 738 $1,335 $1.81 3d 5 0.78mi
2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,675 $1.30 24d 1 0.78mi
304 Collins Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1016 $2,100 $2.07 44d 1 0.80mi
1042 Ellicott Dr Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 44d 1 0.82mi
3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 44d 1 0.85mi
2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 24d 1 0.85mi
2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.87mi
2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1412 $2,100 $1.49 24d 1 0.90mi
111 Upmanor Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,163 $1.77 44d 1 0.92mi
332 S Franklintown Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 776 $795 $1.02 24d 1 0.92mi
2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1412 $1,900 $1.35 4d 1 0.94mi
110 S Catherine St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1330 $1,500 $1.13 44d 1 0.94mi
2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,400 $1.30 24d 1 0.96mi
3935 Stokes Dr #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,400 $1.22 44d 1 0.99mi
2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,000 $0.95 44d 1 0.99mi
1307 Wildwood Pkwy Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 725 $1,295 $1.79 44d 1 1.00mi
4103 Mountwood Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,700 $1.65 44d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to this updated brick townhome in the neighborhood of Allendale. The main level is an open floor plan with new paint and hardwood flooring that flows from the living room to the dining area. The upgraded kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry and tile flooring. When you venture to the upper level, you will find three bedrooms and a full bathroom with a soaking tub. The lower level is unfinished but awaits your design and personal touch to expand the living space. The home is located across from Daily Field Park and is within walking distance or on the same block as the grocery store and public transportation. In addition, it is two blocks away from the food market and a six-minute car ride to Westside Shopping Center. Note - Some images in this listing have been virtually staged.

  2. 2026-02-20
    price $110,000 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to this updated brick townhome in the neighborhood of Allendale. The main level is an open floor plan with new paint and hardwood flooring that flows from the living room to the dining area. The upgraded kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry and tile flooring. When you venture to the upper level, you will find three bedrooms and a full bathroom with a soaking tub. The lower level is unfinished but awaits your design and personal touch to expand the living space. The home is located across from Daily Field Park and is within walking distance or on the same block as the grocery store and public transportation. In addition, it is two blocks away from the food market and a six-minute car ride to Westside Shopping Center. Note - Some images in this listing have been virtually staged.

  3. 2025-10-08
    price $125,000 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to this updated brick townhome in the neighborhood of Allendale. The main level is an open floor plan with new paint and hardwood flooring that flows from the living room to the dining area. The upgraded kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry and tile flooring. When you venture to the upper level, you will find three bedrooms and a full bathroom with a soaking tub. The lower level is unfinished but awaits your design and personal touch to expand the living space. The home is located across from Daily Field Park and is within walking distance or on the same block as the grocery store and public transportation. In addition, it is two blocks away from the food market and a six-minute car ride to Westside Shopping Center. Note - Some images in this listing have been virtually staged.

  4. 2025-09-12
    price $135,000 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to this updated brick townhome in the neighborhood of Allendale. The main level is an open floor plan with new paint and hardwood flooring that flows from the living room to the dining area. The upgraded kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry and tile flooring. When you venture to the upper level, you will find three bedrooms and a full bathroom with a soaking tub. The lower level is unfinished but awaits your design and personal touch to expand the living space. The home is located across from Daily Field Park and is within walking distance or on the same block as the grocery store and public transportation. In addition, it is two blocks away from the food market and a six-minute car ride to Westside Shopping Center. Note - Some images in this listing have been virtually staged.

  5. 2025-07-31
    price $155,000 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to this updated brick townhome in the neighborhood of Allendale. The main level is an open floor plan with new paint and hardwood flooring that flows from the living room to the dining area. The upgraded kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry and tile flooring. When you venture to the upper level, you will find three bedrooms and a full bathroom with a soaking tub. The lower level is unfinished but awaits your design and personal touch to expand the living space. The home is located across from Daily Field Park and is within walking distance or on the same block as the grocery store and public transportation. In addition, it is two blocks away from the food market and a six-minute car ride to Westside Shopping Center. Note - Some images in this listing have been virtually staged.

  6. 2025-07-11
    listed $165,500 Active 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Welcome to this updated brick townhome in the neighborhood of Allendale. The main level is an open floor plan with new paint and hardwood flooring that flows from the living room to the dining area. The upgraded kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, white shaker cabinetry and tile flooring. When you venture to the upper level, you will find three bedrooms and a full bathroom with a soaking tub. The lower level is unfinished but awaits your design and personal touch to expand the living space. The home is located across from Daily Field Park and is within walking distance or on the same block as the grocery store and public transportation. In addition, it is two blocks away from the food market and a six-minute car ride to Westside Shopping Center. Note - Some images in this listing have been virtually staged.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,256 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,256 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,677
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,256
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,734
− Management
−$1,734
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$6,040
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,450
After-tax cash flow
$5,946/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
46,679
Household income
$60,047
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
2776.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.07%
Current HPI
226.896
Rent YoY
▲ 5.38%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $165,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,256 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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