3909 Brookmont Dr · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home filled with opportunity and potential. Whether you’re a first-time buyer looking to make a place your own or an investor seeking to expand your rental portfolio, this property offers a great foundation to bring your vision to life. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and easy interstate access, the home provides both comfort and accessibility. With a little creativity and personal touch, this property could truly shine. Don’t miss the chance to unlock the possibilities this home has to offer.
Key facts
- 9,426 sq ft lot
- Listed 78 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($881/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $43k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.31%
- DSCR
- 2.62
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,905
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- 1.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3920 Brookmont Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $83 | 80 |
| 3766 Alta Vista Dr E | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (+12%) | 4mo | $22,500 | $28 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $1,226
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $34,784
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36605
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $495/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $107 | -5% $90 | +0% $73 | +5% $57 | +10% $40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-14 | -5% $30 | +0% $73 | +5% $117 | +10% $161 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $88 | base $73 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $43 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3922 Wiggins Dr Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2314 Gill Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 572 | $675 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $59,000 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home filled with opportunity and potential. Whether you’re a first-time buyer looking to make a place your own or an investor seeking to expand your rental portfolio, this property offers a great foundation to bring your vision to life. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and easy interstate access, the home provides both comfort and accessibility. With a little creativity and personal touch, this property could truly shine. Don’t miss the chance to unlock the possibilities this home has to offer.
-
2026-03-16$64,900 Active 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home filled with opportunity and potential. Whether you’re a first-time buyer looking to make a place your own or an investor seeking to expand your rental portfolio, this property offers a great foundation to bring your vision to life. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and easy interstate access, the home provides both comfort and accessibility. With a little creativity and personal touch, this property could truly shine. Don’t miss the chance to unlock the possibilities this home has to offer.
-
2021-08-13soldstatus $43,000 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
This home would make an excellent home for someone on a budget, or for an investor looking for a low maintenance rental property.This home has shopping just minutes away and also easy interstate access. Call to schedule an appointment
-
2021-07-29soldstatus $50,000
-
2019-10-30soldstatus $80,000
-
2019-10-10soldstatus $300,000
-
2016-12-08soldstatus $60,000
-
2013-07-09soldstatus $46,992
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$495
- − Insurance
- −$5,414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $237
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,104
- Household income
- $43,538
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1521.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 27% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.46%
- Current HPI
- 125.9526
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.26%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+25.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $59,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-16 Listed $64,900 GCMLS AL
- 2021-08-13 Sold (MLS) $43,000 GCMLS AL
- 2021-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2013-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $46,992 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $495 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…