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8847 Woodbine
D- Composite 36.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

8847 Woodbine · Redford, MI 48239
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 981 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1959 5,227 sqft lot $204/sqft · 90% above area Est $210k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cozy 3-bedroom brick ranch has 2 full bathrooms. newer furnace and central air conditioner. Finished basement with a kitchen and a full bathroom. Hardwood floors t/o on the main level. (2 stoves, 2 refrigerators, dryer, washer, 65 in TV, fireplace, dehumidifier, cameras to stay ). sold As Is

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Finished basement
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

BRICK RANCHFINISHED BASEMENTHARDWOOD FLOORSCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONERNEWER FURNACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Paved road access
  • Utilities: Municipal water available; Municipal sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and other living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (11.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 12394% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $158k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $170,710 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.67%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,408
List price
$199,900
Delta
2.18%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8915 Wormer Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 981 (0%) 0mo $183,500 $187 96
8841 Virgil 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,013 (+3%) 3mo $185,000 $183 77
9022 Winston 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+4%) 8mo $215,000 $211 76
8627 Robindale Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 980 (-0%) 5mo $169,000 $172 73
9025 Appleton 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+11%) 6mo $205,000 $188 63
24428 W Chicago 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-7%) 4mo $95,000 $104 58
8074 Nightingale St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+4%) 6mo $200,000 $196 54
8152 Virgil St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,061 (+8%) 5mo $156,000 $147 54
8656 Nightingale Ave. St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-8%) 6mo $128,000 $142 52
25115 Joy Rd 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-11%) 2mo $80,000 $92 51
9375 Riverview 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,108 (+13%) 6mo $210,000 $190 51
8356 Glengary St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+12%) 7mo $253,000 $230 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.4%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-39,822
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-42,795
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,707 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,101/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$-125

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,865
Max offer price $177,870
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8187 Lenore St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 768 $1,550 $2.02 43d 1 0.47mi
8455 Robindale Ave Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 4d 1 0.58mi
7462 N Vernon St Dearborn Heights, MI 4.0 1.0 1113 $1,900 $1.71 1d 1 0.94mi
7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,700 $1.57 17d 1 0.98mi
7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,600 $1.48 4d 1 0.98mi
7420 Drexel St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,700 $1.57 43d 1 0.98mi
7466 W Parkway St Redford, MI 2.0 1.5 672 $1,200 $1.79 2d 1 1.10mi
7080 Highview St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 2.5 1105 $2,000 $1.81 18d 1 1.36mi
7014 Kinmore St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,900 $1.98 21d 1 1.44mi
22330 W Warren Ave Redford Charter Twp, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 43d 1 1.44mi
23851 Fullerton Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $999 $1.43 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    remarks 297-char remark
  10. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on marketlisting id $199,900 Active 1 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    listed $215,000 Active 189-char remark
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $215,000 Active 189-char remark
  16. 2026-05-07
    historical
  17. 2026-05-07
    historical
  18. 2026-04-13
    listed $225,000 Active
  19. 2026-04-13
    listed $225,000 Active
  20. 2021-06-02
    soldstatus $158,000
  21. 2021-05-18
    soldstatus $158,000 Sold
  22. 2021-05-18
    soldstatus $158,000 Closed
  23. 2021-03-17
    status Pending
  24. 2021-03-17
    status Pending
  25. 2021-03-15
    status Accepting Backup Offers
  26. 2021-03-15
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  27. 2021-03-15
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  28. 2021-03-15
    historical
  29. 2021-03-12
    listed $149,000 Active
  30. 2021-03-12
    listed $149,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,101 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,101 · $342/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,485
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$4,101
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,639
− Management
−$1,639
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$4,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,177
After-tax cash flow
$-319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Redford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
36,976
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed for Rent $1,600 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $215,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $215,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-18 Sold (MLS) $158,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-18 Sold (MLS) $158,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-17 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-15 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-15 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-15 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Listed $149,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-12 Listed $149,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,101 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…