5603 Yorkwood St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- Appreciation +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEVER FLOODED per seller and exceptionally WELL MAINTAINED with undeniable charm throughout. GUEST HOUSE in the backyard adds incredible flexibility for guests, office space, or additional living use. BEAUTIFUL KITCHEN with GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, great storage, and strong flow into the main living areas. MASSIVE LIVING ROOM, dedicated FAMILY ROOM, and spacious DINING AREA provide plenty of room for entertaining and everyday comfort. NATURAL WOOD FLOORS throughout add warmth and character. Backyard built for relaxing with a COVERED PATIO, OUTDOOR FIREPLACE, and GRILL area. Extended PRIVATE DRIVEWAY with COVERED CARPORT and room for multiple vehicles. Strong CURB APPEAL and true pride of owners
Key facts
- Outdoor fireplace
- Private driveway
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Garage apartment
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Detached carport (2 spaces); Driveway
- Security: Prewired for security; Leased security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces southeast; Full ownership; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Built in 1971
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Patio; Private yard; Fence (back yard); Paved driveway; Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Double oven; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor); Bedroom (first floor); Bedroom (first floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Attic fan
- Interior features: Crown molding; Entrance foyer; Granite counters; Kitchen/family room combo; Pantry; Tub with shower; Window treatments; Ceiling fans; Living/dining room; Programmable thermostat; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($904/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shadydale El (math 11% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,990 of 4,322 statewide, top 93%, 631 students, 95% FRL); Forest Brook Middle (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 613 students, 98% FRL); North Forest H S (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 974 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.75%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,764
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5515 Knightwood St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,595 (-5%) | 3mo | $229,000 | $144 | 84 |
| 10618 Wolbrook St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (-1%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $126 | 82 |
| 5618 Briarwick Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,725 (+2%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $104 | 80 |
| 5406 Yorkwood St | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,594 (-5%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $104 | 72 |
| 10502 Hollyglen Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,719 (+2%) | 4mo | $182,900 | $106 | 61 |
| 10427 Envoy St | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,629 (-3%) | 10mo | $185,900 | $114 | 57 |
| 10513 Wolbrook St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (-7%) | 10mo | $242,500 | $155 | 54 |
| 5820 Tautenhahn Rd | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+7%) | 12mo | $335,000 | $186 | 53 |
| 7302 Marilyn Ln | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,811 (+8%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $121 | 48 |
| 5110 Noldale Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (-13%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $102 | 45 |
| 10509 Kelburn Dr | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,562 (-7%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $96 | 42 |
| 10538 Royal Oaks Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,453 (-14%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $127 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $84,368
- Equity at exit
- $148,791
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.51×
- Total profit
- $233,660
- Equity at exit
- $303,575
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77016
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,769 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,295/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $75
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10329 Wicklowe St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10221 Bretton Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7314 Saunders Rd Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $1,723 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 10750 Nyla Spring St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7176 Parker Rd Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11235 Lemond Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7726 Spinet St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,375 | $1.63 | 7d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6823 Hanley Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,610 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7426 Bigwood St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1997 | $1,850 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 10314 Woodwick St Unit 1283919P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $3,782 | $2.53 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 235 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 11610 Danford Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 10474 Red Orchid Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $1,875 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $185,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-22$185,000 Active
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,295 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,386 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- +$91/yr (+$8/mo · 2.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,223
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$3,295
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,698
- − Management
- −$1,698
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$2,137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,841
- Household income
- $47,677
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1297.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 37%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.65%
- Current HPI
- 315.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $185,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,295 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…