7101 Jeanne Ave · Bayonet Point, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home, built in 1967, is set on a 0.16-acre lot in Hudson and offers a practical layout with key updates already in place. The kitchen features cabinetry and granite countertops, while the bathroom includes a double-sink granite vanity. The roof was installed in May 2026, according to the seller, and the home is served by well and septic. Interior laundry is available; washer and dryer do not convey. Interior areas would benefit from cosmetic attention, offering an opportunity for the next owner to add their own finishing touches. Conveniently located near US-19 and State Road 52, with access to shopping, dining, medical facilities, and everyday services.
Key facts
- Interior laundry
- Granite countertops
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot roughly 0.16 acres (about 650 m²)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single wide; One level; South-facing entry
- Construction: Shingle roof; Other construction materials; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Private mailbox; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 5.3% in Bayonet Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#485 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, schools F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 790 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $125k implies a 402% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.86%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,328
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7408 Cynthia Ct | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 636 (-2%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $252 | 66 |
| 12107 Longhorn Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+4%) | 10mo | $107,900 | $161 | 64 |
| 7114 Jeanne Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (+15%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $87 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,884
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,522
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34667
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 790
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,463 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $881/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $379 | -5% $344 | +0% $308 | +5% $273 | +10% $238 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $193 | -5% $251 | +0% $308 | +5% $366 | +10% $424 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $340 | base $308 | +0.5pp $276 | +1.0pp $243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11430 Rohrman Rd Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 13113 Bartow St Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,190 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7213 Seward Dr Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7110 Tudor Ln Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,310 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7110 Tudor Ln Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,310 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $145,000
-
2026-05-20$165,000 Active
-
1998-04-20soldstatus $24,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,038 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 17.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$881
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,405
- − Management
- −$1,405
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,808
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$434
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bayonet Point
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #485
- US rank
- #8934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bayonet Point, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,689
- Household income
- $51,280
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.96%
- Current HPI
- 307.5552
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.26%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+482.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $24,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.4%/yrLatest (2025): $881 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…