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277 Mozzette Rd
D+ Composite 46.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$224,500

277 Mozzette Rd · Mountainhome, PA 18325
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1972 1.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ranch. . 1+ Acres. .. Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the peaceful surroundings of Canadensis, offering privacy and a relaxing wooded setting! This home features a spacious living room, dining area, and a functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living. Enjoy the outdoors from the large deck and balcony, perfect for entertaining or unwinding in nature. The full unfinished basement provides endless possibilities for storage, workshop space, or future expansion, and includes a dedicated laundry area for added convenience. Complete with a garage for parking and extra storage, this property is ideal as a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity. Conv

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Garage for parking
  • Near hiking

Tags

1+ ACRESLARGE DECKFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREAGARAGE FOR PARKINGNEAR HIKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes: $2,421.16

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer / septic tank; 150 Amp electric service
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Concrete
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Unfinished basement; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $224k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-134/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Mountainhome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#582 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,996 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$8,964
Equity at exit
$82,487
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$55,876
Equity at exit
$114,290

Cash invested: $62,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18325

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,177
Tax from tax record
$202 /mo · $2,421/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$-11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,864
Max offer price $222,532
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $116 -5% $52 +0% $-11 +5% $-75 +10% $-138
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-84 +0% $-11 +5% $62 +10% $135
Rate -1.0pp $102 -0.5pp $46 base $-11 +0.5pp $-69 +1.0pp $-128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,125
Closing costs
$6,735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $224,500 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,500 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,421 · $202/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,984 · $249/mo
Expected delta
+$563/yr (+$47/mo · 23.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,200
− Mortgage interest
−$12,575
− Property taxes
−$2,421
− Insurance
−$1,122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,776
− Management
−$1,776
− Depreciation
−$6,531
Taxable loss
−$4,002
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$961
After-tax cash flow
$827/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mountainhome

Score
73/100
State rank
#582
US rank
#5598

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,688

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 19%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 22% Scotch-Irish 7% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.50%
Current HPI
168.9888
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $224,500 PWMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,421 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…