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4453 Stevens Rd Triplex
D Composite 42.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$690,000

4453 Stevens Rd · Palm Springs, FL 33461
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,576 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1977 0.35 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This is a short sale. It has been approved for 150K.Ready to close, good investment, all units rented,there is parking for 8 cars and fully fenced.

Key facts

  • Three separate units
  • No hoa
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFTHREE SEPARATE UNITSNO HOA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.35 acre; Publicly maintained road access; Not waterfront
  • Financial info: Four total units; Tenants pay cable TV, electricity, and water; Pets allowed with no restrictions; Three units in the community; No land lease

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available; Three separate electric meters; Three separate water meters
  • Home design: Triplex; One story; Resale property; Located on a city street west of US-1
  • Construction: CBS construction; Composition roof; Building area about 3,104 total (public records); Living area about 2,576
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Patio

Interior

  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Heating & cooling: Window/wall heating; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Ceramic tile flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $690k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $35/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $613k (11.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $613k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#297 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Palm Springs Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 1,010 students, 79% FRL); Lake Worth Community Middle (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 1,249 students, 75% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,133/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($680k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $690k implies a 590% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $613,300 (11.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.66%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-122,968
Equity at exit
$102,881
10-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-167,557
Equity at exit
$59,659

Cash invested: $193,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33461

Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
276
Price-to-rent
28.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,618
Tax from tax record
$833 /mo · $10,000/yr
Insurance
$288
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,288
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,999
Max offer price $690,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $496 -5% $301 +0% $106 +5% $-89 +10% $-285
Rent -10% $-379 -5% $-136 +0% $106 +5% $348 +10% $590
Rate -1.0pp $453 -0.5pp $281 base $106 +0.5pp $-73 +1.0pp $-255

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,133

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$172,500
Closing costs
$20,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4425 Steven Rd Lake Worth, FL 5.0 3.0 2304 $2,900 $1.26 26d 1 0.06mi
4820 Vermont Ave Lake Worth, FL 5.0 3.0 1948 $5,500 $2.82 1d 1 0.25mi
417 N Country Club Dr Lake Worth, FL 4.0 3.5 2868 $7,250 $2.53 26d 1 0.95mi
5029 Starblaze Dr Greenacres, FL 4.0 2.5 2077 $3,500 $1.69 24d 1 1.39mi
5049 Starblaze Dr Greenacres, FL 4.0 2.5 2077 $3,100 $1.49 26d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $690,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $690,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $690,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $690,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $690,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $690,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $690,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $690,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $690,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $690,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $690,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $690,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $690,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $690,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $690,000 Active
  16. 2011-09-27
    soldstatus $100,000
  17. 2011-09-22
    soldstatus $100,000 147-char remark
    Show marketing remark (147 chars)

    This is a short sale. It has been approved for 150K.Ready to close, good investment, all units rented,there is parking for 8 cars and fully fenced.

  18. 2011-08-24
    historical 147-char remark
    Show marketing remark (147 chars)

    This is a short sale. It has been approved for 150K.Ready to close, good investment, all units rented,there is parking for 8 cars and fully fenced.

  19. 2010-06-14
    listed $120,000 147-char remark
    Show marketing remark (147 chars)

    This is a short sale. It has been approved for 150K.Ready to close, good investment, all units rented,there is parking for 8 cars and fully fenced.

  20. 2010-06-12
    historical
  21. 2009-04-30
    listed $183,000
  22. 2009-03-11
    historical
  23. 2008-12-01
    historical
  24. 2008-03-11
    listed $260,000
  25. 2007-11-30
    listed $349,000
  26. 2005-01-24
    soldstatus $335,000
  27. 2005-01-11
    soldstatus $335,000
  28. 2004-12-06
    historical
  29. 2004-10-10
    listed $345,000
  30. 2003-12-02
    soldstatus $265,000
  31. 2003-11-20
    soldstatus $265,000
  32. 2003-10-01
    historical
  33. 2003-08-07
    listed $269,999
  34. 2003-02-25
    soldstatus $179,900
  35. 2003-02-14
    soldstatus $179,900
  36. 2002-12-13
    historical
  37. 2002-01-15
    listed $179,900
  38. 1987-12-01
    soldstatus $129,000
  39. 1987-01-01
    soldstatus $129,000
  40. 1986-12-01
    soldstatus $129,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$10,000 · $833/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,000 · $833/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$73,596
− Mortgage interest
−$38,651
− Property taxes
−$10,000
− Insurance
−$3,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,888
− Management
−$5,888
− Depreciation
−$20,073
Taxable loss
−$10,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,485
After-tax cash flow
$3,754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Springs

Score
73/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#5045

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
49,443
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
49,443
Household income
$61,963
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
2663.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% Two or more races 26% White 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 16% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
52% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
31% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -269.03%
Current HPI
493.0041
Rent YoY
▼ -2.47%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+434.9% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $690,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2011-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2011-09-22 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2011-08-24 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2010-06-14 Listed $120,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2010-06-12 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2009-04-30 Listed $183,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2009-03-11 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2008-12-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2008-03-11 Listed $260,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2007-11-30 Listed $349,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2005-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $335,000 Public Records
  • 2005-01-11 Sold (MLS) $335,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2004-12-06 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2004-10-10 Listed $345,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
  • 2003-11-20 Sold (MLS) $265,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-10-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2003-08-07 Listed $269,999 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
  • 2003-02-14 Sold (MLS) $179,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2002-12-13 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2002-01-15 Listed $179,900 Beaches MLS
  • 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 1986-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,000 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…