104 S Glenellen Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FHA Case#412-424401. Sold-as-is. No warranties or guarantees buyer must be preapproved or have proof of funds , uninsured property, has more than $5000 worth of repairs Financing for this type would be 203 (k). if the house will be worth the total of as is value and cost to rehabilatate then the FHA lender 203(k) lender can make one loan. Must have letter of pre-approval when making bid & earnest money of $500.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- First floor bath
- Rec and storage area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached paved garage; One garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Aluminum siding exterior; Block foundation; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Side porch; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on first level
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living and dining rooms; Carpet on second-level rooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($915 rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $69k implies a 1580% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.31%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,536
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 S Glenellen Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $81 | 79 |
| 405 N Osborn Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,030 (-2%) | 2mo | $83,000 | $81 | 69 |
| 38 S Hartford Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,100 (+4%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $45 | 69 |
| 732 S Hazelwood Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,059 (+0%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $74 | 67 |
| 2617 Scheetz St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-4%) | 3mo | $63,000 | $63 | 64 |
| 26 Bouquet Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+14%) | 1mo | $92,000 | $77 | 64 |
| 512 S Hazelwood Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,128 (+7%) | 5mo | $129,527 | $115 | 59 |
| 207 S Belle Vis | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (+6%) | 1mo | $53,900 | $48 | 57 |
| 433 N Hartford Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (-10%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $131 | 53 |
| 718 N Bon Air Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (-2%) | 2mo | $112,500 | $109 | 52 |
| 503 N Dunlap Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-12%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $135 | 42 |
| 110 S Maryland Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+13%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $25 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $6,558
- Equity at exit
- $10,273
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $28,516
- Equity at exit
- $5,957
Cash invested: $19,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44509
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $915 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$361
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $657/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,225
- Closing costs
- $2,067
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2634 Austin Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $775 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3143 Mahoning Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $850 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 35 Whitney Ave N Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 131 N Edgehill Ave Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $68,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $68,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $68,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $68,900
-
2025-12-06$69,900 Active
-
2008-10-01historical
-
2008-09-04soldstatus $4,100 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
FHA Case#412-424401. Sold-as-is. No warranties or guarantees buyer must be preapproved or have proof of funds , uninsured property, has more than $5000 worth of repairs Financing for this type would be 203 (k). if the house will be worth the total of as is value and cost to rehabilatate then the FHA lender 203(k) lender can make one loan. Must have letter of pre-approval when making bid & earnest money of $500.
-
2008-05-24$5,500 423-char remark
Show marketing remark (423 chars)
FHA Case#412-424401. Sold-as-is. No warranties or guarantees buyer must be preapproved or have proof of funds , uninsured property, has more than $5000 worth of repairs Financing for this type would be 203 (k). if the house will be worth the total of as is value and cost to rehabilatate then the FHA lender 203(k) lender can make one loan. Must have letter of pre-approval when making bid & earnest money of $500.
-
2008-01-03historical
-
2007-11-02$10,509
-
2007-08-03$12,363
-
1999-03-10soldstatus $35,900
-
1989-02-15soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $657 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $866 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$209/yr (+$17/mo · 31.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,859
- − Property taxes
- −$657
- − Insurance
- −$344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$879
- − Management
- −$879
- − Depreciation
- −$2,004
- Taxable income
- $2,361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$567
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Youngstown City
- NCES district ID
- 3904516
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,257
- Composite
- 9.29/100
- National rank
- #9858
- State rank
- #649 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Youngstown, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,775
- Household income
- $36,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.4
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.34%
- Current HPI
- 217.0797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+282.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $68,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-12-06 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-09-04 Sold (MLS) $4,100 MLSNOW
- 2008-05-24 Listed $5,500 MLSNOW
- 2008-01-03 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-11-02 Listed $10,509 MLSNOW
- 2007-08-03 Listed $12,363 MLSNOW
- 1999-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records
- 1989-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $657 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…