207 River Bluff Dr · Sheffield, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home situated on a spacious, corner lot in River Bluff Subdivision. Conveniently located a few short blocks north of Downtown Sheffield, this property is being sold "as-is".
Key facts
- Upgraded plumbing
- Victorian-style home
- 0.33 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Corner lot; Subdivision: River Bluff
- Construction: Above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Sliding doors; Wood privacy fencing with gate around backyard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Fireplace (1); Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.1% in Sheffield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#312 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sheffield City (suburban): math 12% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #103 of 129 in AL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Wa Threadgill Primary School (304 students, 70% FRL); Sheffield Junior High School (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #200 of 257 statewide, top 78%, 186 students, 84% FRL); Sheffield High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #212 of 305 statewide, top 70%, 278 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.67%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,656
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 Alabama Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,597 (-6%) | 5mo | $113,990 | $71 | 74 |
| 815 Alabama Ct | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,809 (+6%) | 12mo | $214,900 | $119 | 67 |
| 1107 Nashville Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,737 (+2%) | 10mo | $135,900 | $78 | 60 |
| 606 N Nashville Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (-8%) | 6mo | $158,000 | $101 | 60 |
| 804 N Nashville Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,770 (+4%) | 15mo | $158,000 | $89 | 59 |
| 1010 Alabama Ct | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 | 1,819 (+7%) | 13mo | $239,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 1203 N Nashville Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,562 (-8%) | 5mo | $135,900 | $87 | 54 |
| 410 N Atlanta Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,843 (+8%) | 8mo | $97,000 | $53 | 51 |
| 606 Atlanta Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,617 (-5%) | 15mo | $60,000 | $37 | 51 |
| 507 Dover Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+6%) | 1mo | $169,999 | $94 | 49 |
| 809 N Columbia Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,840 (+8%) | 14mo | $130,500 | $71 | 46 |
| 909 Atlanta Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,900 (+12%) | 11mo | $189,900 | $100 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-16,735
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,964
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35660
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $630/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $220 | -5% $177 | +0% $133 | +5% $89 | +10% $45 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $26 | -5% $80 | +0% $133 | +5% $186 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $211 | -0.5pp $172 | base $133 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $52 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1010 N Nashville Ave Sheffield, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3112 E 21st Ave Sheffield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,595 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 701 E 18th St Sheffield, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3323 Oakwood Blvd Sheffield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 46d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $155,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$155,000 Active
-
2023-05-25soldstatus $109,900 Closed 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Come see this charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home situated on a spacious, corner lot in River Bluff Subdivision. Conveniently located a few short blocks north of Downtown Sheffield, this property is being sold "as-is".
-
2023-05-24soldstatus $109,000
-
2023-05-18$109,900 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Come see this charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home situated on a spacious, corner lot in River Bluff Subdivision. Conveniently located a few short blocks north of Downtown Sheffield, this property is being sold "as-is".
-
2023-05-18historical 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Come see this charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home situated on a spacious, corner lot in River Bluff Subdivision. Conveniently located a few short blocks north of Downtown Sheffield, this property is being sold "as-is".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $630 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $636 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6/yr ($0/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$630
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$1,039
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$249
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,841/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sheffield City
- NCES district ID
- 0103000
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,188
- Composite
- 18.8/100
- National rank
- #8866
- State rank
- #103 of 129 in AL
Livability — Sheffield
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #19366
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sheffield, AL
- City population
- 9,385
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,385
Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,154 people
- By 2030
- 53,746 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 52,431 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 50,303 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 44,789 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 36,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 26% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Colbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.23%
- Current HPI
- 177.3226
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+41.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $155,000 SAARMLS
- 2023-05-25 Sold (MLS) $109,900 SAARMLS
- 2023-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-18 Delisted — SAARMLS
- 2023-05-18 Listed $109,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $630 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…