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3611 I St NE #188
B- Composite 67.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

3611 I St NE #188 · Auburn, WA 98002
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 133 Days on market
Built 1981 Est $115k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy living in this sought-after 55+ community — located on a private corner lot with extra sunshine, added space, and a beautiful garden setting that feels like your own little retreat. With fewer neighbors and more privacy, this home offers a peaceful, tucked-away feel that’s hard to find. Enjoy slow mornings on the spacious front deck overlooking the garden, perfect for coffee, planting flowers, or simply relaxing in the fresh air. Step inside to a bright, open great room designed for comfortable everyday living, with a natural flow between the living, dining, and kitchen spaces that makes the home feel welcoming and connected. Large windows invite in warm natural

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Spacious front deck
  • Newer heat pump

Tags

PRIVATE CORNER LOTBEAUTIFUL GARDEN SETTINGSPACIOUS FRONT DECKBRIGHT OPEN GREAT ROOMLARGE WINDOWSNEWER HEAT PUMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manufactured home approved for sale in park
  • Financial info: Land lease: $860; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Located in The River Estates (senior community); Park amenities: BBQs, clubhouse, common area, community waterfront, exercise room, high-speed internet availability, pool, sauna, sidewalks, spa/hot tub

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Electric energy source
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home (Fleetwood Sandlewood); One level
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Patio/porch/deck; Landscaped; Corner lot; Paved lot; Has view; Community waterfront / private beach access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (2 tubs, 2 showers)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Forced air cooling; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Water heater in unit
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater (in unit)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $507 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Dick Scobee Elementary School (825 students, 84% FRL); Auburn Senior High School (1,844 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 44% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $125k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.62%
Cash-on-cash
22.60%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,200
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3611 I St NE #182 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (0%) 14mo $115,000 $100 83
3611 I St NE #203 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,150 (-0%) 20mo $60,000 $52 79
3611 I St NE #260 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (0%) 13mo $47,500 $41 75
3611 I St NE #91 0.20mi 2/1.5 1,232 (+7%) 3mo $138,000 $112 75
3611 I St NE #293 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 20mo $162,000 $130 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$9,326
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$38,877
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,928 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$507

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,286
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $594 -5% $550 +0% $507 +5% $464 +10% $421
Rent -10% $355 -5% $431 +0% $507 +5% $583 +10% $660
Rate -1.0pp $570 -0.5pp $539 base $507 +0.5pp $475 +1.0pp $442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
802 45th St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 934 $1,999 $2.14 0d 11 0.52mi
902 28th St NE Unit 902 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 938 $1,699 $1.81 0d 1 0.58mi
2701 J St NE Unit 2701JB Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,050 $2.56 25d 1 0.62mi
987 26th Pl NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 939 $1,795 $1.91 25d 1 0.64mi
2602 J St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 897 $1,972 $2.20 3d 10 0.67mi
4750 Auburn Way N Auburn, WA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $2,102 $2.08 0d 9 0.70mi
2441 I St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $1,795 $1.97 15d 1 0.75mi
2556 M Pl NE Unit 2556MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 20d 1 0.75mi
2545 M Pl NE Unit 2545MPC Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 25d 1 0.77mi
2502 M St NE Unit 2502MA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 910 $2,050 $2.25 3d 1 0.79mi
2319 L St NE Unit 2319LB Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 3d 1 0.83mi
2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,275 $1.62 25d 1 0.84mi
2315 L St NE Unit 2315LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,995 $2.02 3d 1 0.85mi
2409 N St NE Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,950 $2.17 15d 1 0.85mi
2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,950 $1.53 25d 1 0.86mi
2222 L St NE Unit 2222LA Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 895 $1,995 $2.23 3d 1 0.91mi
802 22nd St NE Unit 802 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,585 $2.11 13d 1 0.96mi
2212 O St NE Unit D Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,925 $1.93 22d 1 0.98mi
2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1248 $2,095 $1.68 22d 1 1.03mi
925 18th St NE Unit D Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,670 $2.09 0d 1 1.07mi
1015 18th St NE Unit 931 935 1001 1007 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,699 $1.89 25d 1 1.07mi
1741 22nd St NE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,662 $1.84 0d 3 1.11mi
1413 12th St NE Unit ADU Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 5d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 119 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-03-13
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-07
    status Pending
  17. 2026-01-29
    listed $125,000 Active
  18. 2024-02-12
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
  19. 2024-01-23
    status Pending
  20. 2024-01-10
    listed $69,500 Active
  21. 2011-05-23
    historical
  22. 2011-05-20
    soldstatus $14,000 Sold
  23. 2011-04-09
    status Pending
  24. 2010-11-29
    listed $14,000 Active
  25. 2005-11-17
    soldstatus $55,000
  26. 2005-09-13
    listed $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,136
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$2,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,851
− Management
−$1,851
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$4,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,073
After-tax cash flow
$5,014/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-07 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-23 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-10 Listed $69,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-05-23 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-05-20 Sold (MLS) $14,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-04-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-29 Listed $14,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-17 Sold (MLS) $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-13 Listed $55,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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