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B Composite 71.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

229 Carver St · Kingsport, TN 37660
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 1942 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer upper home for sale as is. Investor fix and flip potential. Needs work / Renovation.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Large yard
  • Near local amenities

Tags

LARGE YARDWELL-EQUIPPED KITCHENCOMFORTABLE LIVING AREANEAR LOCAL AMENITIESNEAR SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.17 acres
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Slab foundation; Existing (year built not specified)
  • Exterior features: Smart lighting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Pantry; Extra closets; Walk-in closet(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 3.8% in Kingsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Kingsport (urban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #26 of 139 in TN (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Abraham Lincoln Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Dobyns - Bennett High School (math 23% / reading 56%, grade F, #28 of 332 statewide, top 9%, 2,514 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 453 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sullivan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,700 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.50%
Cap rate
21.74%
Cash-on-cash
55.17%
DSCR
3.45
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$187,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
746 Myrtle St 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,032 (-1%) 3mo $203,250 $197 66
1267 Chestnut St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,028 (-1%) 10mo $196,000 $191 65
1005 Maple St 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 980 (-6%) 7mo $229,000 $234 63
954 Maple St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,136 (+9%) 8mo $205,000 $180 58
1222 Chestnut St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,128 (+8%) 8mo $215,000 $191 58
1006 Myrtle St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (+7%) 5mo $73,000 $66 54
1234 Center St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+6%) 7mo $190,000 $173 52
1228 Garden Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,087 (+4%) 7mo $185,000 $170 51
1238 Holyoke St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,054 (+1%) 10mo $160,000 $152 51
1318 Willow St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,130 (+9%) 6mo $198,453 $176 47
1237 Holyoke St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-9%) 7mo $110,000 $117 41
810 Lamont St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-10%) 3mo $175,000 $187 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.0%
Equity multiple
3.82×
Total profit
$55,230
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
65.5%
Equity multiple
9.35×
Total profit
$163,731
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37660

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
242
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,751 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$901

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $941 -5% $921 +0% $901 +5% $881 +10% $861
Rent -10% $763 -5% $832 +0% $901 +5% $970 +10% $1,039
Rate -1.0pp $936 -0.5pp $919 base $901 +0.5pp $883 +1.0pp $864

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
555 E Main St Unit 211 Kingsport, TN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 14d 1 0.32mi
650 N Wilcox Dr Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 936 $1,187 $1.27 14d 2 0.37mi
453 E Main St Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,875 $2.13 22d 1 0.37mi
453 E Main St Unit 900 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1247 $2,240 $1.80 22d 1 0.37mi
453 E Main St #400 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1292 $2,220 $1.72 22d 1 0.37mi
453 E Main St Unit 700 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1292 $2,252 $1.74 22d 1 0.37mi
453 E Main St #300 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1292 $2,172 $1.68 22d 1 0.37mi
116 E Market St Unit 4 Kingsport, TN 2.0 1.0 1090 $1,395 $1.28 22d 1 0.63mi
1233 E Center St Unit B Kingsport, TN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 14d 1 0.66mi
1232 Garden Dr Kingsport, TN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 22d 1 0.68mi
1304 Holyoke St Unit 9 Kingsport, TN 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 22d 1 0.69mi
455 W Sullivan St Kingsport, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $1,954 $1.98 14d 16 1.12mi
1535 Fort Henry Dr Kingsport, TN 1.0–2.0 1.0 703 $1,000 $1.42 22d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-24
    status Active
  2. 2026-04-15
    price $70,000
  3. 2026-04-02
    status Active
  4. 2026-01-31
    price $80,000
  5. 2026-01-06
    listed $89,500 Active
  6. 2024-04-08
    soldstatus $188,175

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,033 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,033 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,014
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,033
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,681
− Management
−$1,681
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$10,311
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,475
After-tax cash flow
$8,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingsport
NCES district ID
4702190
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,017
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6233
State rank
#26 of 139 in TN

Livability — Kingsport

Score
71/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#6587

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingsport, TN
County
Sullivan County · 121,987 people
City population
83,493
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
Population (ZIP)
40,996
Household income
$49,191
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1384.0

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,030 people
By 2030
156,415 · -0.4%
By 2040
153,778 · -2.1%
By 2050
149,018 · -5.1%
By 2075
138,068 · -12.1%
By 2100
119,927 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.0) · D 22.0% · R 77.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -41.3pp · 2024: -55.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.0 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+41.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.93%
Current HPI
252.9821
Rent YoY
▲ 7.95%
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-62.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $70,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $80,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $89,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $188,175 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,033 · +39.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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