229 Carver St · Kingsport, TN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer upper home for sale as is. Investor fix and flip potential. Needs work / Renovation.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Large yard
- Near local amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.17 acres
- HOA & community: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Wood siding; Slab foundation; Existing (year built not specified)
- Exterior features: Smart lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Freezer
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Pantry; Extra closets; Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 3.8% in Kingsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Kingsport (urban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #26 of 139 in TN (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Abraham Lincoln Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Dobyns - Bennett High School (math 23% / reading 56%, grade F, #28 of 332 statewide, top 9%, 2,514 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 453 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sullivan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.17%
- DSCR
- 3.45
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 746 Myrtle St | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-1%) | 3mo | $203,250 | $197 | 66 |
| 1267 Chestnut St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,028 (-1%) | 10mo | $196,000 | $191 | 65 |
| 1005 Maple St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 980 (-6%) | 7mo | $229,000 | $234 | 63 |
| 954 Maple St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (+9%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $180 | 58 |
| 1222 Chestnut St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,128 (+8%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $191 | 58 |
| 1006 Myrtle St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+7%) | 5mo | $73,000 | $66 | 54 |
| 1234 Center St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+6%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $173 | 52 |
| 1228 Garden Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (+4%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $170 | 51 |
| 1238 Holyoke St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,054 (+1%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $152 | 51 |
| 1318 Willow St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (+9%) | 6mo | $198,453 | $176 | 47 |
| 1237 Holyoke St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 942 (-9%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $117 | 41 |
| 810 Lamont St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-10%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $187 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.82×
- Total profit
- $55,230
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 65.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.35×
- Total profit
- $163,731
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37660
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,751 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $901
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $941 | -5% $921 | +0% $901 | +5% $881 | +10% $861 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $763 | -5% $832 | +0% $901 | +5% $970 | +10% $1,039 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $936 | -0.5pp $919 | base $901 | +0.5pp $883 | +1.0pp $864 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 555 E Main St Unit 211 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 650 N Wilcox Dr Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,187 | $1.27 | 14d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 453 E Main St Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,875 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 453 E Main St Unit 900 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $2,240 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 453 E Main St #400 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,220 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 453 E Main St Unit 700 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,252 | $1.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 453 E Main St #300 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,172 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 116 E Market St Unit 4 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,395 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1233 E Center St Unit B Kingsport, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1232 Garden Dr Kingsport, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1304 Holyoke St Unit 9 Kingsport, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 455 W Sullivan St Kingsport, TN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $1,954 | $1.98 | 14d | 16 | 1.12mi |
| 1535 Fort Henry Dr Kingsport, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,000 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-24status Active
-
2026-04-15price $70,000
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-01-31price $80,000
-
2026-01-06$89,500 Active
-
2024-04-08soldstatus $188,175
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,014
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,033
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,681
- − Management
- −$1,681
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $10,311
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,475
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,338/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingsport
- NCES district ID
- 4702190
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,017
- Composite
- 30.44/100
- National rank
- #6233
- State rank
- #26 of 139 in TN
Livability — Kingsport
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #6587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingsport, TN
- County
- Sullivan County · 121,987 people
- City population
- 83,493
- Metro
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,996
- Household income
- $49,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1384.0
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,030 people
- By 2030
- 156,415 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 153,778 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 149,018 · -5.1%
- By 2075
- 138,068 · -12.1%
- By 2100
- 119,927 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 22.0% · R 77.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -41.3pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+41.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.93%
- Current HPI
- 252.9821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.95%
- Metro
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-62.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $70,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $80,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listed $89,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $188,175 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,033 · +39.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…