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21552 La Hwy 16
B+ Composite 76.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

21552 La Hwy 16 · Port Vincent, LA 70726
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,518 sqft · SingleFamily · 125 Days on market
0.97 ac lot $82/sqft · 45% below area Est $225k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

Key facts

  • Quick access to i-12
  • Larger lot
  • Wood burning stove

Tags

WOOD BURNING STOVELOTS OF COUNTER SPACEDEDICATED DINING AREALARGER LOTQUICK ACCESS TO I-12

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.3% in Port Vincent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 976 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.43%
Cash-on-cash
18.34%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,388
List price
$125,000
Delta
-44.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21184 La Hwy 16 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+3%) 4mo $249,000 $159 58
13122 N Montrose North Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,720 (+13%) 16mo $210,000 $122 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$15,250
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$63,127
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70726

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
976
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,258/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$535

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,028
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13419 Hammack Rd Unit A Denham Springs, LA 2.0 2.0 1375 $1,350 $0.98 23d 1 0.81mi
22871 Balsam Dr Denham Springs, LA 4.0 2.0 1814 $1,975 $1.09 23d 1 1.23mi
22862 Monterey Ave Dennis Mills, LA 3.0 2.0 1618 $1,875 $1.16 43d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $125,000 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    status $130,000 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  15. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  16. 2026-04-30
    price $130,000 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  17. 2026-04-30
    price $130,000 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  18. 2026-03-24
    price $140,000 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  19. 2026-03-24
    price $140,000 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  20. 2026-02-11
    price $145,000 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  21. 2026-02-11
    price $145,000 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  22. 2026-01-19
    listed $150,000 Active 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  23. 2026-01-19
    listed $150,000 Active 768-char remark
    Show marketing remark (768 chars)

    FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)

  24. 2017-09-06
    historical
  25. 2017-08-15
    price $149,900
  26. 2017-08-08
    listed $154,900 Active
  27. 2017-08-08
    listed $149,900
  28. 2016-09-14
    historical
  29. 2016-08-09
    price $155,000
  30. 2016-08-06
    price $155,900
  31. 2016-06-30
    price $159,900
  32. 2016-06-27
    price $164,000
  33. 2016-06-02
    listed $169,000 Active
  34. 2016-06-02
    listed $155,000
  35. 2014-08-18
    soldstatus $134,800
  36. 2014-08-15
    soldstatus
  37. 2014-06-29
    listed $134,800
  38. 2014-06-29
    listed $134,800
  39. 2014-06-02
    listed $1,350
  40. 2014-02-07
    listed $139,800
  41. 2014-02-07
    listed $139,800
  42. 2013-10-11
    soldstatus
  43. 2013-06-02
    listed $55,000
  44. 2013-06-02
    listed $55,000
  45. 2006-11-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,258 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,258 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,468
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,258
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,637
− Management
−$1,637
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$4,671
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,121
After-tax cash flow
$5,299/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Livingston Parish
NCES district ID
2201020
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$56,755
Composite
40.07/100
National rank
#3811
State rank
#13 of 98 in LA

Livability — Port Vincent

Score
65/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#12539

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Livingston Parish · 87,496 people
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
63,575
Household income
$78,621
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
1211.0

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
158,511 people
By 2030
168,241 · +6.1%
By 2040
186,252 · +17.5%
By 2050
201,516 · +27.1%
By 2075
231,217 · +45.9%
By 2100
241,697 · +52.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.37%
Current HPI
170.2207
Rent YoY
▲ 3.83%
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.4% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $130,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $140,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $140,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $145,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $150,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2017-09-06 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2017-08-15 Price Changed $149,900 GBRMLS
  • 2017-08-08 Listed $154,900 GBRMLS
  • 2017-08-08 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2016-09-14 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2016-08-09 Price Changed $155,000 GBRMLS
  • 2016-08-06 Price Changed $155,900 GBRMLS
  • 2016-06-30 Price Changed $159,900 GBRMLS
  • 2016-06-27 Price Changed $164,000 GBRMLS
  • 2016-06-02 Listed $169,000 GBRMLS
  • 2016-06-02 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2014-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $134,800 Public Records
  • 2014-08-15 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2014-06-29 Listed $134,800 GBRMLS
  • 2014-06-29 Listed $134,800 AcadianaMLS
  • 2014-06-02 Listed $1,350 GBRMLS
  • 2014-02-07 Listed $139,800 AcadianaMLS
  • 2014-02-07 Listed $139,800 GBRMLS
  • 2013-10-11 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2013-06-02 Listed $55,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2013-06-02 Listed $55,000 GBRMLS
  • 2006-11-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,258 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…