21552 La Hwy 16 · Port Vincent, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
Key facts
- Quick access to i-12
- Larger lot
- Wood burning stove
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.3% in Port Vincent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 976 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.34%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,388
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -44.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21184 La Hwy 16 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+3%) | 4mo | $249,000 | $159 | 58 |
| 13122 N Montrose North Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (+13%) | 16mo | $210,000 | $122 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $15,250
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $63,127
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70726
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 976
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,258/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $535
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13419 Hammack Rd Unit A Denham Springs, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $1,350 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 22871 Balsam Dr Denham Springs, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1814 | $1,975 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 22862 Monterey Ave Dennis Mills, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $1,875 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $125,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-01status $130,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Pending 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-05-11status Pending 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-04-30price $130,000 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-04-30price $130,000 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-03-24price $140,000 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-03-24price $140,000 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-02-11price $145,000 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-02-11price $145,000 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-01-19$150,000 Active 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
-
2026-01-19$150,000 Active 768-char remark
Show marketing remark (768 chars)
FIXER UPPER ASSUMABLE LOAN Investor opportunity in a convenient location near the Bass Pro Shops area and I-12. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath fixer upper sits on approximately 1 acre, offering space and potential for renovation, resale, or rental. The home features a functional layout with a den anchored by a wood-burning stove, a kitchen equipped with granite countertops, range oven, and dishwasher, along with a separate dining area. The primary bedroom includes an en suite bath, while two additional bedrooms share a hall bathroom. With solid structure and a desirable lot size, this property presents a great opportunity for buyers looking to update and add value. Property is being sold as-is. Home did NOT flood in 2016, Flood zone X (according to LSU FLood Maps)
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2017-09-06historical
-
2017-08-15price $149,900
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2017-08-08$154,900 Active
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2017-08-08$149,900
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2016-09-14historical
-
2016-08-09price $155,000
-
2016-08-06price $155,900
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2016-06-30price $159,900
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2016-06-27price $164,000
-
2016-06-02$169,000 Active
-
2016-06-02$155,000
-
2014-08-18soldstatus $134,800
-
2014-08-15soldstatus
-
2014-06-29$134,800
-
2014-06-29$134,800
-
2014-06-02$1,350
-
2014-02-07$139,800
-
2014-02-07$139,800
-
2013-10-11soldstatus
-
2013-06-02$55,000
-
2013-06-02$55,000
-
2006-11-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,258 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,258 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,258
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,637
- − Management
- −$1,637
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,671
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,121
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,299/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livingston Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201020
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,755
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3811
- State rank
- #13 of 98 in LA
Livability — Port Vincent
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #12539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Livingston Parish · 87,496 people
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,575
- Household income
- $78,621
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 158,511 people
- By 2030
- 168,241 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 186,252 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 201,516 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 231,217 · +45.9%
- By 2100
- 241,697 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.37%
- Current HPI
- 170.2207
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.83%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+136.4% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $130,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $140,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $140,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $145,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $150,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-09-06 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2017-08-15 Price Changed $149,900 GBRMLS
- 2017-08-08 Listed $154,900 GBRMLS
- 2017-08-08 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-09-14 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2016-08-09 Price Changed $155,000 GBRMLS
- 2016-08-06 Price Changed $155,900 GBRMLS
- 2016-06-30 Price Changed $159,900 GBRMLS
- 2016-06-27 Price Changed $164,000 GBRMLS
- 2016-06-02 Listed $169,000 GBRMLS
- 2016-06-02 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $134,800 Public Records
- 2014-08-15 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2014-06-29 Listed $134,800 GBRMLS
- 2014-06-29 Listed $134,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-06-02 Listed $1,350 GBRMLS
- 2014-02-07 Listed $139,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-02-07 Listed $139,800 GBRMLS
- 2013-10-11 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2013-06-02 Listed $55,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-06-02 Listed $55,000 GBRMLS
- 2006-11-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,258 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…